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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | ***Becoming milder today...colder by mid-week with good chance for some icing before plain rain and a similar scenario possible this weekend***

Paul Dorian

A warm front lifted through the region last night and today will become milder with afternoon temperatures likely reaching into the lower 50’s for highs. A colder air mass pushes in by mid-week and it’ll be supported by a strong high pressure system situated over New England. This is likely to set the stage for some frozen precipitation around here from late Wednesday into early Thursday including a period of sleet and freezing rain. On Thursday, temperatures should climb to warm enough levels for plain rain in most of the Mid-Atlantic region. Looking ahead, there may be a similar scenario to deal with this weekend with the possibility of some frozen precipitation later Saturday/Saturday night and then likely plain rain on Super Bowl Sunday. Yet another system could threaten us with snow by the middle of next week as the overall pattern looks very active for the month of February.

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6:15 AM | ***Becoming milder today...colder by mid-week with good chance for some icing before plain rain and a similar scenario possible this weekend***

Paul Dorian

A warm front lifted through the region last night and today will become milder with afternoon temperatures likely reaching into the upper 40’s for highs. A colder air mass pushes in by mid-week and it’ll be supported by a strong high pressure system situated over New England. This is likely to set the stage for some frozen precipitation around here from late Wednesday into early Thursday including a period of sleet and freezing rain. On Thursday, temperatures should climb to warm enough levels for plain rain in most of the Mid-Atlantic region. Looking ahead, there may be a similar scenario to deal with this weekend with the possibility of some frozen precipitation later Saturday/Saturday night and then likely plain rain on Super Bowl Sunday. Yet another system could threaten us with snow by the middle of next week as the overall pattern looks very active for the month of February.

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****A look ahead to the month of February…a polar vortex split, plenty of cold air around, and a very active pattern which includes the potential of significant icing in some cases****

Paul Dorian

February is now underway and it looks like it will be a very active month with plenty of cold air around and is likely to feature a stratospheric polar vortex split that can impact US temperatures all the way into March. There should be plenty of opportunities for snow, ice and rain in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US as we progress through the new month with just the next week or so likely to feature as many as three precipitation events. Another player on the field that will have to be monitored this month will be the occasional appearance of the Southeast US high pressure ridge – often seen during La Nina winters – and this enhances the possibility of quite warm conditions across the southern states and also chances for severe weather.

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6:15 AM | ***January ends on a wet note...colder for the weekend...chance of snow on Sunday night***

Paul Dorian

The month of January has been a dry one in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor, but it will end on a wet note with rainfall today; primarily, focused on the PM hours. Moderately cold conditions will follow for the weekend likely with clouds giving way to sun on Saturday and sun giving way to clouds on Sunday. There can be some snow in the area on Sunday night from a low pressure system passing by to our north. A warm front should lift northward across the area by early Monday paving the way for milder conditions to start the new work week and then a cold front arrives by early Tuesday of next week.

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6:15 AM | *January ends on a wet note...moderately cold for the weekend*

Paul Dorian

The month of January has been a dry one in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor, but it will end on a wet note with rainfall today primarily focused on the PM hours. Moderately cold conditions will follow for the weekend likely with clouds giving way to sun on Saturday and plenty of clouds on Sunday. A warm front should lift northward across the area by early Monday paving the way for milder conditions to start the new work week and then a cold front arrives by early Tuesday of next week.

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6:15 AM | ***January ends on a wet note...colder for the weekend...chance of snow Sunday night***

Paul Dorian

The month of January has been a dry one in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor, but it will end on a wet note with rainfall today; primarily, focused on the PM hours. Moderately cold conditions will follow for the weekend likely with clouds giving way to sun on Saturday and sun giving way to clouds on Sunday. There can be some snow in the area on Sunday night from a low pressure system passing by to our north. A warm front should lift northward across the area by early Monday paving the way for milder conditions to start the new work week and then a cold front arrives by early Tuesday of next week.

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**Battle setting up for next week with cold, dense air up north and increasingly warm air down south...eventually, the cold air wins out and there is plenty of winter left in the tank**

Paul Dorian

February can feature quite active weather across the nation with increasingly warm and humid air down across the southern states and some very cold Arctic air remaining up to the north. In fact, this kind of clash in the atmosphere appears to be setting up for next week which may lead to a storm system that features a wide range of precipitation types at mid-week from rain/thunderstorms in its warm sector to snow and ice in the cold sector. Eventually, it appears the cold air will “win” this battle and overspread the eastern half of the nation in about ten days or so. By the way, Sunday is Groundhog Day and - if I were Phil - I might be apt to see my shadow as it looks like there is plenty of cold air left in the tank for 6 more weeks of winter. Meanwhile, in the short-term, the month of January will end on a wet note in the Mid-Atlantic region with primarily a rain event from late tonight through Friday; however, accumulating snow is likely from interior New York State to New England where at least a few inches are on the table.

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7:00 AM | *Nearby frontal system brings us the chance of showers today and tonight...mild conditions stick around through the weekend and into early next week*

Paul Dorian

It stays mild today with afternoon high temperatures likely near the 60-degree mark as a frontal system brings some shower activity to the region. It stays quite mild on Friday with a lingering shower possible and the weekend is setting up nicely with mild and dry conditions likely across northern Alabama.

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