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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | **Another day and another threat of PM showers and strong storms in the Mid-Atlantic region**

Paul Dorian

A very unsettled weather pattern will continue through the second half of the week in the Mid-Atlantic region with additional strong storms and downpours likely. Given the already well saturated grounds, any additional heavy rainfall can lead to localized flash flooding conditions. Ingredients for this unsettled weather pattern include a tropical air mass left behind by TS Barry, a slow-moving surface frontal system, and an upper-level trough of low pressure.

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Tuesday PM - ****Strong-to-severe thunderstorms later today/early tonight...tropical downpours with possible flash flooding...similar scenario likely later tomorrow****

Paul Dorian

The combination of an upper-level trough, a slow-moving surface frontal system, and an extremely humid air mass will result in strong-to-severe thunderstorms later today and early tonight and there can be a repeat performance later tomorrow. Any shower or thunderstorm in this tropical air mass can produce flooding rainfall given the well saturated nature of the grounds in the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures today have soared to 90+ degrees all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor and the high humidity is making for a very uncomfortable day. The unsettled weather pattern continues from Thursday into Sunday with a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms.

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6:15 AM | **Hot weather through Thursday including a flirtation with 100 degrees at mid-week**

Paul Dorian

The next few days will be among the hottest of the summer so far with afternoon highs in the middle 90’s today and Thursday and a flirtation with the 100-degree mark is likely on Wednesday. There can be scattered showers and thunderstorms later today, but Wednesday and Thursday are liable to be completely rain-free to go along with the very hot conditions.

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6:15 AM | ***Severe thunderstorm threat later this afternoon and evening...tropical downpours can cause flash flooding conditions...unsettled pattern continues second half of the week***

Paul Dorian

Tropical air is in place across the region and an upper-level trough of low pressure will combine with a slow-moving surface frontal system to enhance upward motion during the afternoon and evening hours. This combination of ingredients can lead to severe thunderstorms for later today and early tonight and tropical downpours can cause flash flooding given the already well saturated grounds. The unsettled weather pattern will continue through the second half of the week with a daily shot at additional showers and thunderstorms and some of that rain is likely to be heavy at times. .

As far as temperatures are concerned, today could turn out to be the hottest day of the week with afternoon highs near the 95-degree mark. The heat today combined with the high humidity will make for very uncomfortable conditions all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. The remainder of the week is likely to feature temperatures a bit more limited around here compared to today with 90 degrees the likely afternoon high.

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6:15 AM | ***Severe thunderstorm threat later this afternoon and evening...tropical downpours can cause flash flooding conditions...unsettled pattern continues second half of the week***

Paul Dorian

Tropical air is in place across the region and an upper-level trough of low pressure will combine with a slow-moving surface frontal system to enhance upward motion during the afternoon and evening hours. This combination of ingredients can lead to severe thunderstorms for later today and early tonight and tropical downpours can cause flash flooding given the already well saturated grounds. The unsettled weather pattern will continue through the second half of the week with a daily shot at additional showers and thunderstorms and some of that rain is likely to be heavy at times. .

As far as temperatures are concerned, today could turn out to be the hottest day of the week with afternoon highs near the 95 degree mark. The heat today combined with the high humidity will make for very uncomfortable conditions all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. The remainder of the week is likely to feature temperatures a tad more limited compared to today with afternoon highs generally in the 85-90 degree range.

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6:15 AM | ***Severe thunderstorm threat later this afternoon and evening...tropical downpours can cause flash flooding conditions...unsettled pattern continues second half of the week***

Paul Dorian

Tropical air is in place across the region and an upper-level trough of low pressure will combine with a slow-moving surface frontal system to enhance upward motion during the afternoon and evening hours. This combination of ingredients can lead to severe thunderstorms for later today and early tonight and tropical downpours can cause flash flooding given the already well saturated grounds. The unsettled weather pattern will continue through the second half of the week with a daily shot at additional showers and thunderstorms and some of that rain is likely to be heavy at times. .

As far as temperatures are concerned, today could turn out to be the hottest day of the week with afternoon highs near the 95 degree mark. The heat today combined with the high humidity will make for very uncomfortable conditions all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. The remainder of the week is likely to feature temperatures a tad more limited compared to today with afternoon highs close to the 90-degree mark in most areas.

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Monday Mid-Day Update - ***Tropical moisture enhances the threat of flooding downpours in the Mid-Atlantic region...daily threat of showers and storms likely to last right to the weekend***

Paul Dorian

A very unsettled stretch of weather is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region with a shot of showers and thunderstorms on a daily basis right into the upcoming weekend. The rainfall during the next few days will be enhanced by a tropical air mass that pushed northward this weekend along with the remnants of Tropical Storm Chantal. In addition, a slow-moving upper-level trough of low pressure now centered over the Great Lakes will enhance upward motion in the Mid-Atlantic region between now and mid-week. As a result, tropical downpours are possible during each of the next few days which can bring flash-flooding conditions to portions of the Mid-Atlantic region with today’s greatest concern centered around the Chesapeake Bay region. Any thunderstorm from later today into the mid-week can reach strong-to-severe levels with perhaps the highest risk of severe weather coming on Tuesday afternoon and evening.

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6:15 AM | ***Tropical moisture adds fuel to the fire...an unsettled week with a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms...some of the rain will be heavy***

Paul Dorian

After a dry and warm holiday weekend, the weather will turn noticeably more humid today with an influx of tropical moisture from the remains of Tropical Storm Chantal which formed during the weekend over the western Atlantic. The week as a whole will be very unsettled with the daily chance of showers and thunderstorms…some of the storms can be strong and some of the rain will be heavy at times. High pressure ridging that has been in control will retreat offshore today as low pressure troughing develops across the Midwest/Great Lakes region and combines with a tropical air mass to influence our weather.

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6:15 AM | ***Tropical moisture adds fuel to the fire...an unsettled week with a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms...some of the rain will be heavy***

Paul Dorian

After a dry and warm holiday weekend, the weather will turn noticeably more humid today with an influx of tropical moisture from the remains of Tropical Storm Chantal which formed during the weekend over the western Atlantic. The week as a whole will be very unsettled with the daily chance of showers and thunderstorms…some of the storms can be strong and some of the rain will be heavy at times. High pressure ridging that has been in control will retreat offshore today as low pressure troughing develops across the Midwest/Great Lakes region and combines with a tropical air mass to influence our weather.

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