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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | ****Major rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday and Thursday night****

Paul Dorian

**A major rain event is on the way**...The active weather pattern that we have been experiencing in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US over the past few weeks will continue well into May aided in part by a continuation of cold air outbreaks from Canada into the central and eastern US. The upper-level jet stream across the country as we close out the month of April is very active and has featured numerous strong waves of energy in recent days and another one is on the way. This next powerful wave of energy aloft will dive southeast from southwestern Canada into the Upper Midwest by this afternoon and then slide into the Mid-Atlantic region by late tomorrow. The combination of this wave of energy in the upper atmosphere, a painfully slow-moving surface frontal system, and a strong flow of very humid air up along the east coast will result in a major rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday into Thursday night. Given the well saturated grounds from recent rains, this next soaking rain event could very well lead to localized flash flooding conditions – something to closely monitor. Looking ahead, the good news is that the weekend looks like it’ll start off with very nice weather on Saturday and it could hold on for much of Sunday as well before more showers return to the area.

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12:30 PM | ***Major rain event likely on Thursday/Thursday night in the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

The active weather pattern that we have been experiencing in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US over the past few weeks will continue well into May aided in part by a continuation of cold air outbreaks from Canada into the central and eastern US. The upper-level jet stream across the country as we close out the month of April is very active and has featured numerous strong waves of energy in recent days and another one is on the way. This next powerful wave of energy aloft will dive southeast from southwestern Canada into the Upper Midwest by tomorrow afternoon and then slide into the Mid-Atlantic region by late Thursday. The combination of this wave of energy in the upper atmosphere, a painfully slow-moving surface frontal system, and a strong flow of very humid air up along the east coast will likely result in a major rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday and Thursday night.  Given the well saturated grounds from recent rainfall, this type of potential significant rain event could very well lead to localized flash flooding conditions and will have to be closely monitored.

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7:00 AM | **Significant rain event possible on Thursday...weekend could actually start with pretty decent weather**

Paul Dorian

A significant rain event is in the offing for the Mid-Atlantic region and it would primarily take place during the day on Thursday. Low pressure will push to the Great Lakes region at mid-week and a trailing north-to-south oriented frontal system will grind its way to the eastern seaboard on Thursday. The combination of this slow-moving front, vigorous energy aloft, and a long fetch of humid air up along the east coast from the Gulf of Mexico and SW Atlantic will likely result in some heavy rainfall around here on Thursday and localized flash flooding may become a concern. The good news is that after another unsettled day on Friday, the weekend is likely to start off with a nice day on Saturday, but another system could threaten us with showers by Sunday night and Monday.

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7:00 AM | *Still lots of clouds around on Monday and Tuesday...soaking rain event possible Wednesday night/Thursday*

Paul Dorian

The overall active weather pattern will continue this week with a soaking rain event possible late Wednesday night and Thursday. High pressure will try to build into the region later today, but there will lots of clouds around both today and on Tuesday. After that, low pressure will begin to influence the weather around here as it heads in this direction and there can be some heavy rainfall associated with it along with a thunderstorm or two from late Wednesday night into Thursday. A cool front arrives on Friday and then high pressure will make an attempt to take control during the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Storm #1 winds down later today...storm #2 impacts the region on Saturday night and Sunday*

Paul Dorian

A very active weather pattern will likely continue across the eastern half of the nation into the early part of May in large part due to a continuation of cold air outbreaks from Canada into the central and eastern US. The latest in a series of storms will continue to impact the Mid-Atlantic region today and then another system will arrive over the weekend with more rainfall likely from Saturday night into Sunday. Given the pretty well saturated grounds, the chances for localized flooding will be on the increase as we progress through this event and into the next one. More rain is possible by the middle of next week as this stormy and chilly pattern continues.

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11:30 AM (Thursday) | *Active weather pattern persists as cold air outbreaks continue into the central and eastern US...pattern to hold into early May…includes additional severe weather outbreaks*

Paul Dorian

A very active weather pattern will likely continue across the eastern half of the nation into the early part of May in large part due to a continuation of cold air outbreaks from Canada into the central and eastern US. These on-going cold air outbreaks are combining with increasingly warm and humid conditions across the southern US to help in the generation of storms and also has increased the chances for severe weather outbreaks; especially, across the southern states. In fact, tornadoes this year are running at above-normal levels and are the highest for the month of April since 2011. The next storm in a series of storms will impact the Mid-Atlantic region from today into late Friday and then another system arrives over the upcoming weekend and colder-than-normal conditions will persist through the period.

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7:00 AM | **Rain returns to the region today and continues well into the day on Friday...yet another storm to impact the region this weekend with additional rainfall*

Paul Dorian

Our active weather pattern will persist as long as cold air outbreaks continue to drop into the central and eastern US from Canada and indications are that this flow will continue into at least early May. The next storm in a series of storms is going to impact the region from today into later Friday. There can be a couple of showers this morning and then periods of rain should form later in the afternoon. There can be some soaking rainfall in the overnight hours and into the day on Friday and, given the recent soaking rainfall, the chances for localized flooding will increase during this event. Yet another storm is likely to follow over the weekend with more rain from late Saturday into Sunday and this will be followed by yet another cold air outbreak during the early part of next week. Beyond that, you guessed it, another storm system may follow by late Tuesday and there can be more cold air behind that…and the same pattern just goes on and on and on.

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7:00 AM | **Another chilly and windy day in the Mid-Atlantic...more rain on the way for later tomorrow into Friday as active pattern continues**

Paul Dorian

Our active weather pattern will likely persist as long as cold air outbreaks continue to drop into the central and eastern US from Canada. Indications are that this pattern is likely to continue into at least early May leading to multiple storms in coming days and the potential for new severe weather outbreaks in parts of the country. After a chilly and windy day on Wednesday, the next storm in a series of storms is likely to impact the Mid-Atlantic region from later tomorrow into Friday. Given the recent rainfall and the expectation of some soaking rain with this next system, the concern for localized flooding will probably rise in the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday night and Friday. Yet another storm is likely to follow over the weekend with more rain in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from later Saturday into Sunday. Following the weekend storm, yet another cold air outbreak is likely to reach the Mid-Atlantic region after dropping southeastward from Canada into the Great Lakes region and there is no sign of sustained warm weather through at least the beginning of May.

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10:30 AM (Tues) | ***Strong thunderstorms possible mid-day/afternoon with gusty winds and hail the primary threats…very cold once again by late tonight with at or below freezing overnight lows***

Paul Dorian

A very active weather pattern continues for much of the nation aided by a continuing influx of cold air masses from Canada into the central and eastern US. A strong cold front at the leading edge of the next cold air outbreak will arrive this afternoon in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor and there can be strong thunderstorm activity with very gusty winds and hail the primary threats. Much colder air will push into the region in the overnight hours riding in on stiff NW winds and temperatures in many suburban locations by early tomorrow will once again be at or slightly below the freezing mark. Multiple chances of rain will follow in coming days and there will be additional cold air outbreaks for the central and eastern US - perhaps into the early part of May.

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7:00 AM | ***A strong cold front brings showers to the region, strong-to-severe thunderstorm an afternoon threat...much colder air returns late tonight***

Paul Dorian

The overall active weather pattern will continue for at least another week or so with multiple chances of rain and there will be additional cold air outbreaks in the central and eastern US. A strong cold front will approach the region today causing shower activity and there can be a strong-to-severe thunderstorm with damaging winds and hail a threat. Following the passage of the cold front, much colder air will return late tonight on stiff NW winds and temperatures will once again drop way down into the low-to-mid 30’s for overnight lows which is way below-normal for this time of year. Another low pressure system is likely to impact the region with more rain later Thursday and Thursday night and yet another storm could follow over the upcoming weekend. The weekend storm will be followed by another cold air outbreak for the early part of next week.

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