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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | ***Potential for some icing here this weekend...two more storms to deal with next week and icing will be on the table for both***

Paul Dorian

A very active weather pattern continues for much of the nation and it will continue here right through next week. One fast-moving system is now exiting the Mid-Atlantic region and another system will bring us a wintry mess this weekend likely to include some icing. In fact, icing could very well be a problem here not only this weekend, but also twice next week as we will have to deal with two separate storm systems. The weekend system does not look all that strong, but it doesn’t take much in the way of ice to cause some problems and temperatures should remain below freezing for much of the time. Looking ahead, there is likely to a significant storm to deal with later Monday into Tuesday and then another one later next week with ice on the table in both events.

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1:10 PM (Thurs.) | ***Weekend threat continues for icing in the Mid-Atlantic region…major winter storm potential for early next week from the Deep South-to-Ohio Valley-to-Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US***

Paul Dorian

A very active weather pattern continues for much of the nation as we close in on the end of the week and it will continue right through next week. One fast-moving system produced some accumulating snow last night in the Mid-Atlantic region and another one will do the same tonight although a bit farther to the south. Another system will likely bring some icing to the Mid-Atlantic region from later Saturday into early Sunday as temperatures stay below freezing in most areas. In fact, the overall weather pattern is evolving into one that favors ice events across a good part of the nation. The weekend system does not look all that strong, but it doesn’t take much in the way of ice to cause some problems. Looking ahead, there is growing potential for a major winter storm early next week that can have a significant impact from the Rockies to the southern Plains to the Ohio Valley and then finally to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | ***Residual snow this morning from initial system...on the northern fringes of next system for tonight and early Friday...weekend threat continues for snow, ice***

Paul Dorian

Snow will continue for awhile today with additional small accumulations possible and it can then mix with rain from the mid-day into the afternoon. Another system will push towards us tonight and the DC metro region will be on the northern fringes of the precipitation field with some more now possible at times; especially, in southern suburbs. A stronger system is set to arrive this weekend and it will likely result in mixed precipitation of snow, sleet and/or freezing rain with some ice buildup possible. Yet another storm could have an impact on the region from later Monday into Tuesday with snow, sleet and/or freezing rain on the table.

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1:30 PM | ****The worst that winter has to offer next ten days across much of the nation…accumulating snow…significant icing…persistent cold that will be extreme in some areas****

Paul Dorian

The next ten days will bring the worst that winter has to offer too much of the nation which will include accumulating snow, significant icing and persistent cold that will be extreme in some areas. The energetic pattern of recent days will continue with storm-after-storm impacting the nation from coast-to-coast in this next ten day time period. Perhaps the best example of the most extreme winter weather that is on the way will take place deep in the heart of Texas where temperatures could drop to near zero by early next week and snow and ice can accumulate all the way down into the southeastern part of the state.

In the Mid-Atlantic region, one system will bring accumulating snow to areas near and to the north of the PA/MD border from tonight into early Thursday and it’ll produce a mixed bag of snow, sleet and rain in the DC metro region. A second and relatively weak system will have little or no impact on areas to the north of the PA/MD border on Thursday night and early Friday, but it can produce a small amount of snow in the DC metro region. A stronger system set to arrive this weekend will have more moisture to deal with than these first two and it could result in more significant ice and/or snow in the Mid-Atlantic region. And yes, there may be two other storms to deal with in the Mid-Atlantic region next week with significant snow and/or ice on the table for either or both of these systems.

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7:00 AM | **One system produces snow, sleet and rain here from later today into early Thursday with a coating to 2 or 3 inches possible...a second system will be suppressed a bit farther to the south*

Paul Dorian

A couple of systems will pass to our south from tonight through Friday, but they are on the weak side with little support in the upper part of the atmosphere. The first system should produce a mix of snow, sleet and rain around here from tonight into early Thursday and there can be accumulations of a coating to 2 or 3 inches in the DC metro region with slightly higher amounts possible in the far northern and western suburbs. The second system will be suppressed a bit farther to the south on Thursday night and early Friday and its impact around here may be more limited; especially, in areas to the north of the District. While there can be additional accumulations of snow from tomorrow night into early Friday with this second wave, they are likely to limited. A storm system over the weekend promises to have much more moisture to work with and there can be accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region from later Saturday into early Sunday. Other winter storms may threaten the region next week as this active weather pattern continues with more accumulating snow and/or ice on the table.

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1:00 PM | ***Second half of the week event comes in two waves (Wednesday PM/Thursday AM; Thursday PM/Friday AM)…heaviest snow likely to be suppressed to the south of the PA/MD border***

Paul Dorian

The second half of the week will feature two waves of precipitation for the Mid-Atlantic region with one wave coming from Wednesday night into early Thursday and the second from later Thursday into mid-day Friday. It appears that the heaviest snows associated with both of these systems will be suppressed to areas south of the PA/MD border across Virginia, Maryland, southern Delmarva, and southern New Jersey. The DC metro region will likely be right in or very close to the zone with the heaviest snow and there should be less impact to the northeast in places like Philadelphia and New York City. Another winter storm system may impact the Mid-Atlantic region this weekend and its passage early next week could be the catalyst for an intrusion of bitter cold air into the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. And yes, there may be another winter storm threat for the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week. Unfortunately, the potential threats coming this weekend and by the middle part of next week present the possibility of significant icing issues in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | ****Long duration system impacts the region from later Wednesday into Friday...significant snow accumulations are on the table****

Paul Dorian

This “second half of week” event coming could be the most widespread snowfall so far this season in the DC metro region as a whole. A very active weather pattern will continue for much of the eastern half of the nation during the next ten days or so and there will be multiple chances of accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region. A relatively weak system passing by to our north today can cause a bit of freezing rain early this morning and a spotty, light (plain) rain shower from late morning into early afternoon. A stronger system is likely to impact the region in two waves during the second half of the week with one concentrating on the period from later Wednesday into early Thursday and then a second from later Thursday into Friday. Significant accumulations of snow are on the table during this long-duration event from late Wednesday into early Friday. Looking ahead, the late Wednesday-to-early Friday threat won’t be the last one for the region and yet another system could generate snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region later in the upcoming weekend - and potentially more activity could come next week.

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1:30 PM (Monday) | ***Buckle up…very active pattern continues for the next ten days with plenty of cold air around and multiple chances of accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

It just won’t let up…a very active weather pattern will continue for much of the eastern half of the nation during the next ten days and there will be multiple chances of accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region. Arctic air is in place as we begin the new work week across the northeastern quadrant of the nation and intense cold will grip the much of the northern and central US in coming days….in other words, there will be plenty of cold air around to tap into for the Mid-Atlantic region by approaching systems.

The first chance for snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region will come late tonight and tomorrow from a relatively weak system that moves into the northeastern states. Despite its weakness, this initial system can cause some problems with accumulating snow north of the PA/MD border and potential ice south of there. A stronger system is likely to then impact the region in two waves during the second half of the week with one concentrating on the period from later Wednesday into early Thursday and then a second from later Thursday into Friday. Accumulations of snow are certainly on the table in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor during this long-duration second half of the week event - and this won’t be the end of the wintry precipitation threats. Yet another system could generate snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region later in the upcoming weekend and potentially more activity could come next week.

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7:00 AM | ***Active pattern to continue with multiple chances of snow, ice and/or rain in coming days***

Paul Dorian

Our active weather pattern of recent days will continue this week and there will be multiple opportunities for snow, ice, and/or rain in the DC metro region. High pressure will briefly take control of the weather around here today as we begin the new work week, but then a “clipper” type of system will push by to our north on Tuesday with little impact around here. A stronger system will impact the region in two waves beginning late Wednesday into early Thursday and again late Thursday into Friday. Accumulations are on the table for this long duration event during the second half of the week and the threat of wintry precipitation will not end there.

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11:00 AM | ****Accumulating snow on the way for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with several inches on the table****

Paul Dorian

A moderately cold air mass has moved into the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of a cold frontal system and now attention has turned to the Gulf of Mexico and the southeastern states where moisture is gathering. A storm will develop near the South Carolina coastline by early tonight and move to a position off the New Jersey coastline by mid-day Sunday. This system is going to generate a new round of accumulating snow in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from late tonight into the mid-day or early afternoon hours on Sunday with several inches on the table for many spots. Looking ahead, the active weather pattern of recent days will continue beyond tomorrow’s storm with additional chances of snow and/or ice coming to the Mid-Atlantic from around mid-week into next weekend.

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