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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | ****Torrential rain/strong storms later today/tonight as the heat wave breaks down...watch for localized flooding...noticeably cooler on Friday and Saturday****

Paul Dorian

A cold frontal system will edge closer to our region later today and low pressure will form along its slow-moving boundary zone. As a result, the threat for showers and thunderstorms is quite high right through tonight and any rain that falls can be heavy at times with localized flooding a threat. The front will stick close enough to the region on Friday to continue the threat of showers and thunderstorms and temperatures will be noticeably cooler as we end the work week. An upper-level low will then move directly overhead of the Mid-Atlantic region at the beginning the holiday weekend resulting in cool conditions for early July and a lingering chance of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. The weather should show some improvement on Sunday and then Monday will likely turn out to be the warmest day of the long holiday weekend with the most sunshine. Elsewhere, an impressive tropical system will enter the Caribbean Sea early this weekend and will have to be closely monitored in coming days.

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2:10 PM | ***Strong storms and torrential rain a threat from later tonight into the weekend as the Mid-Atlantic transitions from high heat to noticeably cooler conditions…important tropical update***

Paul Dorian

There was intense heat across the Pacific Northwest earlier in the week and also quite a hot spell in the Mid-Atlantic region with strong upper-level ridging the main culprit in both parts of the nation. The heat in the Mid-Atlantic will transition to much cooler conditions by the time we get to the end of the work week and early part of the holiday weekend. This change will come about with numerous strong-to-severe thunderstorms and torrential rainfall with localized flooding a real threat. The weekend will start off quite a bit cooler-than-normal in the Mid-Atlantic and also very unsettled with deep upper-level low pressure moving directly overhead, but improvement and warming will come later in the weekend.

Elsewhere, an impressive tropical wave exited off of the west coast of Africa last week and it is now churning over the central Atlantic. We certainly could be dealing with a “tropical storm” nearing the Caribbean Sea by the end of the week and this system will have to be closely monitored heading into the first full week of July.

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7:00 AM | ***Another very hot and humid day in the Mid-Atlantic...chance of heavy rain/strong storms increases next few days as we transition to noticeably cooler conditions***

Paul Dorian

It’ll be another very hot and humid day in the Mid-Atlantic region with high pressure still in control as it sits just off the eastern seaboard. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase by tonight and to a high level on Thursday and Friday as a slow-moving frontal system works its way into the area. In fact, there is a good chance that the next few days will include some very heavy rainfall as the front stalls out in the region and temperatures will trend downward. The holiday weekend is looking cooler-than-normal for early July and unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region with rain still a threat as it gets underway. Much like the weather during the Memorial Day weekend, the weather will tend to improve as we head towards the Monday holiday (July 5th).

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2:00 PM (Tuesday) | **The transition from high heat and humidity to a cool and unsettled holiday weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region will include some heavy rainfall and possible strong storms**

Paul Dorian

The weather for Memorial Day weekend was quite cool in the Mid-Atlantic region with some rainfall as well and the best weather day turned out to be the Monday holiday. Unfortunately, there are some similarities between that holiday weekend and what could happen this 4th of July weekend. The high heat and humidity of today and Wednesday will transition to cooler conditions for the end of the week and for the upcoming holiday weekend and the conversion is likely to include some heavy rainfall and possible strong storms. In addition to the cooler-than-normal weather this weekend, it’ll remain unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region and as with the Memorial Day weekend, the best weather day may turn out to be the Monday holiday.

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7:00 AM | **Another couple of days with high heat and humidity...heavy rain threat 2nd half of the week...cool, unsettled weekend**

Paul Dorian

The weather for the next two days in the Mid-Atlantic region will continue to be controlled by strong high pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean - in the familiar “Bermuda-high” position. As a result, the low-level flow of air will remain from a southwesterly direction on the backside of the high and this system will continue to pump hot and humid air into the region. Temperatures both today and Wednesday will soar well up into the 90's for afternoon highs to go along with high humidity values. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase for the mid and late week time periods as a frontal system slowly inches its way towards the area. In fact, there is a good chance that the second half of the week will feature downpours as the front stalls out in the region and temperatures will trend downward. The holiday weekend is looking cooler-than-normal and quite unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region with rain still a threat as it gets underway.

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7:00 AM | **Hot, humid through mid-week...chance of showers and storms increases mid and late week...cooler for the weekend**

Paul Dorian

The weather for the next few days in the Northeast US will be controlled by strong high pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean - in the familiar “Bermuda-high” position. As a result, the low-level flow of air will be southwesterly on the backside of the high and this will bring hot and humid air into the Mid-Atlantic region. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase by mid-week and we’ll have to watch the possibility of some heavy rainfall as we transfer to cooler conditions for the late week and weekend.

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7:00 AM | *An uncomfortable weekend with a rise in heat and humidity*

Paul Dorian

Our comfortable weather conditions of the past couple of days will disappear as we head through the upcoming weekend with a noticeable rise in humidity levels and temperatures. High pressure will shift to over the western Atlantic over the next 24 hours or so and strengthen as well allowing for a stiffening southwesterly flow of air in the eastern US. With the increase in moisture this weekend, the threat of showers and thunderstorms will increase and the steamier weather and threat of rain will continue early next week.

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11:10 AM (Thursday) | *Intense heat in the Pacific Northwest in the near-term…strong tropical wave exits off of Africa and may become a concern for the Southeast US/Gulf of Mexico in the longer-term*

Paul Dorian

One big weather story in the near-term that will likely become a big news story is the heat that will intensify across the Pacific Northwest later this weekend and early next week. As high pressure expands and intensifies over the Pacific Northwest later this weekend, many places including Seattle, Washington will approach or surpass the 100 degree mark for afternoon highs. In fact, Portland, Oregon could actually surpass their all-time high temperature record of 107°F on Sunday afternoon. In the longer-term, another weather story may develop across the tropics. A strong tropical wave has just exited off the west coast of Africa and signs point to a favorable pattern for intensification down the road potentially leading to problems for the Gulf of Mexico/Southeast US by the time we get to the early part of July.

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7:00 AM | *Another nice day in the DC metro region*

Paul Dorian

Nice weather will continue today in the Mid-Atlantic region with high pressure remaining in control and an air mass with comfortable temperatures and humidity levels still firmly in place. It’ll turn warmer and more humid as we head into the weekend and the chance of showers and thunderstorms will return to the area. Elsewhere, a heat wave will intensify later this weekend over the Pacific Northwest where temperatures could actually approach all-time highs in places like Portland, Oregon. Also, a strong tropical wave has just exited off of the west coast of Africa and it is something to keep an eye on and could have an impact on the Gulf of Mexico/Southeast US by early July.

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7:00 AM | *Spectacular weather for late June*

Paul Dorian

Spectacular weather takes place for the next couple of days in the Mid-Atlantic region with high pressure back in control and a very comfortable air mass firmly in place. It’ll turn warmer and more humid as we head into the weekend and the chance of showers will return to the area, but no significant rain event is likely through Sunday.

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