Tropical Storm Nicole is headed towards east-central Florida for a likely landfall early Thursday morning. Some intensification is likely during the next 24-36 hours before landfall which could result in Nicole reaching category 1 or even 2 hurricane status before making landfall. After landfall, Nicole will be increasingly influenced by a deep upper-level trough over the central states and it’ll turn to the north and northeast resulting in a major rain event all along the east coast from Florida-to-Maine. In addition to the rain, severe weather will be a threat in the coastal plain from the Carolinas to the Northeast US which will be on the right side of the storm track…prime location for tornadic activity. The passage of the tropical system will be part of an overall significant temperature pattern change in the eastern US that will bring much colder weather conditions beginning this weekend and likely lasting through the remainder of November.
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Yesterday was very likely the warmest day that we’ll experience around here until next spring as a cold frontal passage has ushered in a noticeably cooler air mass for the next couple of days and a big-time pattern change to cold begins later this weekend. Before we get to the transition to a cold pattern, a major rain event is in the cards for the eastern seaboard from Florida to Maine as tropical moisture associated with Tropical Storm Nicole rides up along the coast. The rain is likely to begin here during the day on Friday and then intensify on Friday night before winding down early Saturday. By later Sunday night into early Monday, a widespread hard freeze will be possible with temperatures likely dropping to well below freezing levels.
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The tropical scene is still active and kicking in the Atlantic Basin and an area of disturbed weather in recent days has organized into Tropical Storm Nicole over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. This system is likely to reach Florida later this week and there is a chance that it reaches category 1 hurricane status before making landfall. The moisture associated with Nicole is likely to then ride up along the eastern seaboard at week’s end. The passage of the tropical system will be part of an overall significant temperature pattern change across the nation that will bring much colder weather conditions to the central and eastern US.
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The week will start off on the warm side, but a cold front swings through later in the day and it’ll usher in cooler air for later tonight and Tuesday. High pressure takes control for the mid-week and then attention will turn down the coast at week’s end. A tropical system could ride up along the eastern seaboard from Friday into Saturday and this could result in a heavy rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region. Following the passage of the tropical system, the weekend is likely to see a flip in the overall temperature pattern to one that is noticeably colder for the eastern states.
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High pressure to our northeast will remain in control of the weather into the weekend. A cool front will approach the region from Sunday into Monday and it does turn cooler by the middle of next week. The location of the high pressure system will allow for an increasingly moist low-level flow of air from the southeast which will result in more clouds here this weekend and the chance of light rain/drizzle and patchy fog.
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High pressure to our northeast will remain in control of the weather around here during the next few days. As a result, there should be plenty of sunshine into the first half of the weekend and temperatures will be mild by day and on the cool side overnight. A weak frontal system could cause clouds here on Sunday and perhaps a couple of showers, but no significant rainfall is expected.
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The tropical scene is still active and kicking in the Atlantic Basin as we begin the month of November with a couple systems to currently monitor and signs point to the possibility of another system near the east coast in about 7-10 days. Tropical Storm “Martin” - soon to be Hurricane “Martin” - is located well out over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean and will become a powerful “extratropical” storm in the North Atlantic later this week. “Lisa” is now a category 1 hurricane and is closing in on Belize in Central America and could ultimately emerge over the Bay of Campeche. Elsewhere, the overall pattern looks to remain warmer-than-normal across the eastern US during the next 7-10 days, but important changes can come in terms of temperatures for the middle and latter parts of November.
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A cold front passed through the region early yesterday and drier air filtered in during the PM hours. High pressure has built into the Northeast US and will be in control of the weather around here over the next few days. The result will be plenty of daily sunshine and comfortably warm temperatures for the beginning of November as the overall weather pattern for the eastern US in coming days will feature above-normal temperatures.
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A cold front will swing through the region this morning and drier air will arrive later in the day and high pressure takes control of the weather for the remainder of the week. In fact, sunshine should return in full force on Wednesday and temperatures will be quite mild through the rest of the week.
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High pressure will move offshore today and a weak low pressure system will push into the Mid-Atlantic region from the Tennessee Valley. As a result, showers are a threat here by later today and tonight, and a thunderstorm can be mixed into the picture. High pressure will return by mid-week with dry weather and milder-than-normal temperatures for the second half of the week.
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