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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

4:15 PM | ****Low pressure to intensify on Monday off the Mid-Atlantic coastline reaching near Long Island by mid-day Tuesday…snow on Tuesday can swing all the way down into SE PA and southern NJ****

Paul Dorian

It was thirty years ago that the so-called “Storm of the Century” pounded the eastern US all the way from Florida to Maine after what was a relatively quiet winter season of 1992-1993.  In much the same manner, this winter season has been relatively quiet as well in much of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US in terms of cold and snow. However, as was the case thirty years ago, it looks like there will be a late winter March storm that years from now could make this relatively mild winter much more of a memorable season…at least for many of those in the Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | **Precipitation likely arrives by mid-morning...rain or a mix of rain/snow to rain...precipitation can change to snow tonight across northern suburbs...next storm Sunday/Monday**

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active across the nation during the next couple of weeks with most sections experiencing colder-than-normal conditions. In the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US, there may be as many as three storms during the next week or so presenting chances of rain and snow. Precipitation is likely to arrive here with the first system by the mid-morning hours in the form of rain or a mix of rain and snow that would change to rain. As low pressure intensifies off the Mid-Atlantic coastline later tonight, an influx of colder air can change the rain or the mix to all snow in some of the northern suburbs. Another system threatens the area with rain or a mix of rain and snow from Sunday into Monday night and it could become a monster storm for the Northeast US…so much for an early spring.

One final note, clocks turn ahead an hour this weekend.

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12:45 PM | ****Active, colder pattern with multiple storm threats… possible burst of snow early Saturday eastern PA/NJ with inverted trough...second system can become a monster storm for NE US****

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active across the nation during the next couple of weeks with most sections experiencing colder-than-normal conditions. In the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US, there may be as many as three storms during the next week or so presenting chances of rain and snow. The first threat of rain and snow will come from Friday into Saturday, the second system from late Sunday into Tuesday and this could turn into a monster storm for the NE US, and the potential exists for a third storm around the end of next week.  In all cases, the most favored areas for accumulating snow will be the usual interior, higher elevation locations, but even the I-95 corridor can get some accumulating snow; especially, to the north and west of the big cities.  One interesting aspect about the first storm, it will likely feature an inverted trough extending from the low pressure center over the western Atlantic to the Mid-Atlantic coastline early Saturday and will undergo rapid intensification…both of which can lead to a last minute burst of heavier snow in such places as eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey.

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7:00 AM | ***Two shots at rain/snow in coming days...tomorrow morning into early Saturday...later Sunday into Monday***

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain active during the next several days in the Mid-Atlantic region with two upcoming chances of rain and/or snow.  The first threat of rain and/or snow here will come from tomorrow morning into early Saturday and there will likely be a second chance from later Sunday into Monday. In both cases, the more favored areas for snow will the interior higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic. However, small accumulations of snow are even on the table in the DC metro region; primarily on grassy surfaces in the northern and western suburbs.

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1:00 PM | ***Two upcoming threats of rain/snow in the Mid-Atlantic…Friday into early Saturday…Sunday night into Monday...first system to feature inverted trough, off-shore rapid intensification***

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain active during the next several days in the Mid-Atlantic region with two upcoming chances of rain and snow.  The first threat of rain and snow will come from Friday into Saturday and there will likely be a second chance from Sunday night into Monday. In both cases, the more favored areas for snow will the interior higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic; however, even parts of the I-95 corridor can see some accumulating snow. Both systems have to be closely monitored in coming days as, for example, rapid intensification and an “inverted trough” early Saturday morning can result in some last minute surprises.

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7:00 AM | **Still windy and on the cool side today...low pressure can impact us from later Friday into Saturday**

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active during the next several days with storm threats possible in the Mid-Atlantic region both at week’s end and again early next week. On Friday, low pressure is likely to push towards the northern Ohio Valley, weaken, and a secondary system may form by early Saturday just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The result here can be rain or a combination of rain and snow in the period from later Friday into early Saturday at which time the ocean low will become the main player. A repeat performance is possible early next week with the possibility of another storm system heading towards the northern Ohio Valley and then a secondary system develops off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. 

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12:00 PM | ***An active, colder pattern…MJO, high-latitude blocking…storm threats for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US at week's end and again early next week***

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active during the next several days with storm threats possible in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US both at week’s end and again early next week. The overall weather pattern is also turning colder due in large part to significant high-latitude blocking that has developed over northern Canada/Greenland in response to recent stratospheric warming and to the likely upcoming disappearance of a stubborn ridge over the southern US.

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7:00 AM | *Winds pick up in intensity later today and remain quite strong through Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

Fast-moving low pressure will push away from the east coast this morning and winds will increase markedly by the afternoon in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.  The increasing NW winds can gust to 40 mph from mid-day through the afternoon and they’ll stay strong tonight and on Wednesday as high pressure builds into the Mid-Atlantic region. The on-going active weather pattern will produce another storm threat by early this weekend and perhaps another one early next week, but the details will have to be ironed out over the next few days.   

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12:45 PM **An active and colder pattern…snow late tonight/early Tuesday across portions of PA/NJ…additional threats in the Mid-Atlantic region early this weekend and perhaps again early next week**

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active in the Mid-Atlantic region during the next several days with one quick-moving system late tonight and there can be additional threats both early this weekend and early next week.  This initial system can generate snow or rain changing to snow from late tonight into early Tuesday across portions of upstate Pennsylvania and western New Jersey and some higher-elevation spots can receive as much as 3-6 inches by daybreak. The overall weather pattern is turning colder due in large part to significant high-latitude blocking that has developed over northern Canada/Greenland and to a disappearing stubborn ridge over the southern US.

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7:00 AM | *Plenty of sun to start the week...overall pattern turns colder*

Paul Dorian

The new work week starts off on the sunny side as high pressure edges into the Mid-Atlantic region. Low pressure passes to our north from late tonight into early Tuesday and it can bring us some late night rain showers. After highs well up in the 50’s today, temperatures will trend downward with highs generally at or below 50 degrees for the remainder of the week. Winds will be quite strong on Tuesday and Wednesday which will make it feel even colder than the actual air temperature. Low pressure may try to form near the east coast this weekend with the potential of bringing us rain and/or snow….something to monitor in coming days.

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