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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | *Mild and wet weather next few days*

Paul Dorian

The next few days will be mild in the Mid-Atlantic region and quite wet as well as moisture steadily flows to the northeast from the Gulf of Mexico. The warmest day of the week will be on Friday when temperatures surge to near 70 degrees in the DC metro region. Another storm system is then likely to impact the Mid-Atlantic region later in the upcoming weekend with one surface low pressure system (primary) heading into the Ohio Valley and a secondary likely to form near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. While there will be little cold air around initially, strong high pressure will build into southeastern Canada and act as a cold air source…possibly resulting in a changeover from rain-to-snow across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US on Sunday night.

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7:00 AM | *Chance for some freezing rain late tonight far N/W suburbs...wet and milder second half of the week with a surge in temperatures on Friday*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure system will push off the eastern seaboard today opening the door for moisture to push northeastward from the Gulf of Mexico and into the northern Ohio Valley. From there, the moisture will slide eastward later tonight bringing us the chance for late night rain and it could freeze on some surfaces across the far northern and western suburbs. On Wednesday - and also during the days on Thursday and Friday - it should be warm enough for just plain rain to fall throughout the metro region. Indeed, the warmest day of the week is likely to be on Friday at which time afternoon temperatures might peak near the 65 degree mark. The weekend begins on a mild note, but it turns colder by Sunday and low pressure is likely to bring us some rain to close out the weekend.

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11:15 AM | **Milder pattern sets up across the Mid-Atlantic/NE US, but it doesn’t come without wintry threats…a very wet stretch in the Miss. Valley...a stormy couple of weeks for the west coast**

Paul Dorian

The 7-day period from 14 January to 20 January was very cold across most of the nation with the mean temperature anomaly of -11°F in the Lower 48. The next 7-days will be quite a different story as a milder weather pattern develops for much of the country. This warm-up, however, will not come without wintry threats in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. The change in the overall pattern will bring copious amounts of rainfall for the Lower Mississippi Valley region in the near-term and plenty of moisture-filled storm systems for the US west coast during the next couple of weeks.

In the near term, there is likely to be some freezing rain from later Tuesday night into early Wednesday across much of Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey and maybe all the way into the nearby N/W suburbs of Philly and NYC and the far N/W suburbs of DC. It does turn wet and milder in the Mid-Atlantic region during the second half of the week with the warmest day likely to be on Friday when temperatures will surge. Another storm system is then likely to impact the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US late in the upcoming weekend with one surface low pressure system (primary) heading into the Ohio Valley and a secondary likely to form near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. While there will be little cold air around initially, strong high pressure will build into southeastern Canada and act as a cold air source…possibly resulting in a changeover from rain-to-snow across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. Looking ahead, there are signs that an overall colder weather pattern may re-develop in the central and eastern states as we progress through the early part of February and towards the middle of next month.

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7:00 AM | **After a very cold start, the week turns milder and wet for the second half...there is a threat for freezing rain late tomorrow night across far northern suburbs**

Paul Dorian

Arctic chill continues to have the Mid-Atlantic region in its grips this morning with many spots in the teens and there are a few places in the single digits such as Dulles Airport at 7AM with a 7 degree reading. After highs in the 30’s later today, temperatures should reach 40+ degrees on Tuesday afternoon. There will be a chance of some rain late tomorrow night and it can freeze on some surfaces across some of the far northern suburbs…something to watch for going into Wednesday morning. The weather does turn noticeably milder during the second half of the week and it’ll be quite unsettled as well with multiple chances for rain.

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12:30 PM | **Snow winds down later today...possible brightening skies late...an Arctic blast for the weekend**

Paul Dorian

Occasional snow or snow showers will wind down this afternoon and there can be brightening skies by day’s end…general final accumulation amounts of 2-5 inches. An Arctic air mass will follow this system with some very cold conditions for the weekend, but the chill will slowly fade away during the early part of next week. In fact, rain may return to the forecast by the middle and latter parts of next week as a “January thaw” develops and takes us to the end of the month.

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7:15 PM | ****Accumulating snow on Friday begins early in the day in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor…Arctic blast to follow for the weekend…a warming trend next week****

Paul Dorian

Another round of accumulating snow is headed to the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday and it should get underway early in the day in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. This is a dynamic storm system that will have strong upper-level support and complicating factors will include small-scale heavier snow bands that are likely to develop and an inverted (aka “norlun”) trough that will extend northwestward back to the Mid-Atlantic region from the low pressure center out over the western Atlantic. On the heels of the snow, another Arctic air mass will plunge into the eastern US for the weekend and lower teens or even upper single digit overnight lows will be possible in many suburban locations. Looking ahead, the Arctic chill will dissipate early next week and we’ll turn warmer-than-normal for the middle and latter parts with rain likely back into the forecast.

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7:00 AM | ***Accumulating snow on Friday begins by daybreak...an Arctic blast for the weekend...warmer next week***

Paul Dorian

Another round of accumulating snow is headed to the DC metro region on Friday as low pressure intensifies just off the Carolina coastline. The snow should arrive between 2 and 6 AM and snowfall estimates are 1-3 inches across the area. On the heels of the late week snow event, another Arctic air mass will plunge into the eastern states from Canada and lows in the teens will be quite likely again this weekend in most suburban locations. Looking ahead, the Arctic chill will fade away around here early next week and we’ll turn warmer-than-normal for the middle and latter parts of next week with rain likely back in the forecast.

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11:30 AM | ****Accumulating snow in the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday and we'll have to watch for small-scale "banding"…an Arctic blast to follow for the weekend…a warming trend next week****

Paul Dorian

Accumulating snow fell in the Mid-Atlantic region from Monday into Tuesday and a second such event is headed this way for the end of the work week. Snow should develop early in the day on Friday in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor as low pressure starts to intensify just off the Carolina coastline aided by vigorous support in the upper part of the atmosphere. On the heels of the late week snow event, another Arctic air mass will plunge into the eastern US from Canada and single digits lows will be possible this weekend in some suburban locations. Looking ahead, the Arctic chill will dissipate around here early next week and we’ll turn warmer-than-normal for the middle and latter parts of next week with rain likely back in the forecast.

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7:00 AM | ***Frozen solid this morning...accumulating snow on Friday...another Arctic blast for the weekend***

Paul Dorian

Very cold air has poured into the region on the heels of yesterday’s snow and temperatures today will be hard-pressed to climb past the mid-to-upper 20’s for afternoon highs and stiff winds will make it feel even colder than the actual air temperature. Another coastal low pressure system is likely to bring us accumulating snow on Friday and cold high pressure will follow for the weekend anchoring another Arctic air mass.

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6:30 AM | ***A touch of freezing rain and/or snow this morning...more accumulating snow comes late in the week and that system will be followed by an Arctic blast***

Paul Dorian

There can be a bit of freezing rain and/or snow this morning with little, if any, in the way of additional accumulations. Low pressure pushes off to our northeast and very cold air will flow into the area on its backside. Temperatures later tonight could drop to the teens with the influx of Arctic air and fresh snow cover. Another accumulating snow event is on tap for the end of the work week and this storm system will be followed by another Arctic blast for the upcoming weekend.

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