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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

6:30 AM | ****A messy weekend with plenty of rainfall and strong winds...snow/sleet can precede the rain on Saturday and small accumulations are possible...mid-week snow threat****

Paul Dorian

A long-lasting storm system will impact the region this weekend with snow and/or ice possible at the onset later Saturday morning into mid-afternoon and then rain is likely from late Saturday into Sunday. There can be small snow accumulations of a coating to an inch or so on Saturday before any changeover to rain takes place; especially, across some of the far northern suburbs. Some of the rain that falls on Saturday night and early Sunday can be heavy at times and a rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out. A strong cold front pushes through the region later Sunday and its passage will usher in very cold air for the first half of next week. Winds will become very strong behind the cold front potentially gusting past 50 mph from later Sunday into Monday…power outages on the table.

Looking ahead, there are signs of an accumulating snow threat by the middle or latter part of next week (later Wednesday/Thursday time frame).

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****Strong storm pounds western US...reaches northeastern states this weekend...very cold next week...mid-week east coast major storm threat****

Paul Dorian

A major storm system will pound the western states during the next couple of days and it will then trek across the nation and wreak havoc in the eastern states this weekend. In California, the rainfall in coming days will be heavy all along low-lying coastal sections from Oregon to the Mexican border, and snowfall will be measured by the foot in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. By the early part of the upcoming weekend, this same storm system will bring flooding rainfall to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys and then significant snow is likely on Sunday across interior New York State and New England.

In the Mid-Atlantic region, there will be plenty of rainfall this weekend; however, it is likely to be preceded on the front-end by snow and accumulations are possible; especially, to the north of the PA/MD border. Cold air will pour into the eastern states following this weekend storm system and next week is indeed looking very cold across the eastern two-thirds of the nation. Low pressure is likely to gather strength in the southern states by the middle of next week aided by an influx of Gulf moisture and it could become a major east coast storm system by later Wednesday or Thursday.

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6:30 AM | **Light rain/drizzle/fog this morning...windy, mild this afternoon...a messy weekend with plenty of rain that can be preceded by some accumulating snow**

Paul Dorian

After some light rain or drizzle this morning, it’ll turn windy this afternoon with gusts to 35 mph and milder with afternoon highs near 50 degrees. The work week will end with sunshine on Friday, but it will be cold and windy with afternoon high temperatures confined to the upper 30’s and lower wind chills.  A long-lasting storm system will impact the region this weekend with snow and/or ice possible at the onset from mid-morning to mid-day on Saturday and then rain is likely from later Saturday into Sunday. There can be some small accumulations on Saturday before the changeover to rain. A strong cold front pushes through later Sunday and its passage will usher in a very cold air mass for the first half of next week. Looking ahead, there are signs of an east coast storm threat by the middle or latter part of next week...something we’ll closely monitor in coming days.

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11:30 AM | ***Active pattern continues...double-barrel weekend storm system with snow or ice possible on the front end...rain to follow...possibly heavy...east coast storm threat later next week***

Paul Dorian

One low pressure system is pulling away this morning and another one is following right on its heels and will end up over the eastern Great Lakes by early Thursday. There will be some snow shower activity in the Mid-Atlantic region during the next several hours and then (light) mixed precipitation late today/early tonight should change to plain rain by late tonight/early tomorrow. Another storm system will hit the Mid-Atlantic region during the weekend and it’ll have an impact on both Saturday and Saturday. At the front end, there can be a burst of snow and/or sleet later Saturday morning or mid-day...perhaps even some accumulations north of the PA/MD border...and then rain is likely on Saturday night and Sunday. In fact, some of the rain can be heavy at times which would raise some flooding concerns given the combination of the rain with melting snow. A strong cold front pushes through the Mid-Atlantic later Sunday ushering in much colder-than-normal air mass for the first half of next week. By the middle of next week, we’ll have to watch for the possibility of an east coast storm system that would have plenty of cold air to work with in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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6:30 AM | ***One system moves away and another heads this way***

Paul Dorian

One low pressure system is departing off to our east this morning and another is headed towards the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes. Given the track of this next storm to our northwest, warmer air should push northward along the east coast by later tonight and Thursday. In the meantime, there can be some snow shower activity this morning…perhaps even some “snizzle”…a word I have coined for “snow drizzle”. After a lull in the precipitation, snow and sleet may return by the end of the day and then rain is likely later tonight. High pressure builds in for Friday and then a double-barreled strong storm system will impact us from Saturday into Sunday. There can be a burst of snow and/or sleet on Saturday morning and then rain is likely during the PM hours and also on Sunday.

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12:30 PM (Tuesday) | ****A wild ten days of weather****

Paul Dorian

The hits just keep on coming and it looks like a wild ten days of weather...

The very active weather patten will bring the Mid-Atlantic region a snow event later today/tonight...a mixed precipitation event later tomorrow/tomorrow night...a weekend double-barreled strong storm system with gusty winds, rain that can get heavy at times, and snow cannot be ruled out on the front end...and, finally, there can be an east coast storm threat later next week.

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6:15 AM | ****Snow develops by mid-day and continues into the late night with several inches of accumulation****

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will track towards the coastal waters of Virginia/North Carolina later today and tonight and snow should overspread our area during the mid-day or early afternoon hours…it can become heavy at times later in the afternoon and early this evening. The snow wind down late tonight with final accumulations on the order of 4-7 inches and there should be isolated higher amounts. A quick follow-up storm system will bring more wintry precipitation to the region later tomorrow before an ultimate changeover to plain rain by later tomorrow night.

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1:15 PM | ***Accumulating snow in the Mid-Atlantic from later tomorrow into early Wednesday...highest amounts across DC, Virginia, Delmarva, southern NJ...more wintry precipitation Wed. night***

Paul Dorian

The next low pressure to impact the Mid-Atlantic region will take more of a southern track compared to recent systems and head to a position off the Mid-Atlantic coastline by early Wednesday. As a result, cold air will become better established farther to the south and we are looking at primarily a snow event in the Mid-Atlantic including across the DC metro region. Given the southern track, the highest snowfall amounts are likely to cut across the southern Mid-Atlantic in places like DC, Virginia, Delmarva and southern New Jersey where several inches are possible. A follow-up low pressure system will quickly follow from late Wednesday into Thursday, and it will have a lot of cold air on its front end likely resulting in snow and/or sleet by Wednesday evening in much of the Mid-Atlantic region. However, this second system will take a track to the northwest of I-95 and that path will allow for milder air to push northward resulting in a changeover by Thursday of snow/sleet to freezing rain and rain.

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7:00 AM | ***Several inches of snow on the table from later tomorrow into Wednesday morning***

Paul Dorian

High pressure will remain in control of the weather here today, but it shifts off the coast by tomorrow and that opens the door for moisture to head this way from our southwest. Low pressure will gather strength on Tuesday and head towards the coastal waters of the Mid-Atlantic region. With this more southern track compared to recent storms, cold air will be better established in the Mid-Atlantic region and pushed farther to the south leading to primarily a snow event in the DC metro region. Snow likely begins during the mid-day or early afternoon and continues into Wednesday morning with accumulations likely in the 4-7 inch range . Another storm threatens to bring snow, ice and rain to the area from late Wednesday into Thursday as this on-going active pattern continues.

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6:00 AM | ***Snow/ice on Saturday/Saturday night with some accumulations possible...accumulating snow threat early next week***

Paul Dorian

After a dry, chilly day on Friday, the next storm in a series of storms will bring snow and ice to the region on Saturday and Saturday night and snow/ice accumulations of a coating to a couple of inches are possible. Any clouds early Sunday will give way to mainly sunny skies so there should be no travel issues in the leadup to the Super Bowl (start time at 6:30pm). Another storm system in this on-going active weather pattern can bring additional accumulating snow to the region from Tuesday into Wednesday of next week.

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