The rest of the week will remain quite hot in northern Alabama and a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms will persist as weak boundary meanders around the region. The main player is an upper-level ridge that extends across much of the southern US allowing for temperatures to reach well into the 90’s for highs during the next few days around this area. A large ridge of high pressure extending from Bermuda to the Appalachians will keep a persistent E-NE flow of air in central Florida for the remainder of the week. This flow will keep high temperatures somewhat limited in coming days to the middle 80’s in general across the region. On the tropical scene, there are three different waves lined up in the Atlantic right now as we arrive at the climatological peak of the tropical season. The first system should head to the Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend and will have to be monitored, the second wave has little chance of survival, and the third wave may very well become an important issue for the SE US/Gulf of Mexico region in about ten days or so...stay tuned.
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The week looks quite hot in northern Alabama for this time of year and a weak boundary zone will increase the chance of showers and thunderstorms for the next couple of days. The main player will be an upper-level ridge that will allow for temperatures to reach well into the 90’s for highs during the next few days and this heat wave extends across much of the southern US.
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An approaching upper-level trough of low pressure now crossing the Great Lakes will cause Hurricane Dorian to accelerate to the northeast later today and well to the east of the Mid-Atlantic region. Around here, it’ll remain quite hot and then the heat will intensify this weekend with highs in the middle 90’s by Sunday and the excessive heat will continue early next week.
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Hurricane Dorian is headed towards the South Carolina coastline - now as a "major" category 3 storm - and it will reach a location near the Outer Banks of North Carolina by mid-day tomorrow. At that time, Dorian will become influenced by an advancing trough of low pressure over the Great Lakes and this will cause it to accelerate to the northeast and well to the east of the Mid-Atlantic region. Around here, it’ll stay very warm for the next couple of days and then a September heat wave will begin on Saturday with highs in the low-to-mid 90’s this weekend and the heat will continue into at least the early part of next week.
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Hurricane Dorian is on the move again and will head northward today paralleling the east coast of Florida on its way towards the Carolina coastline. By later tomorrow, Hurricane Dorian will head right over the Outer Banks of North Carolina and will begin to be influenced by an upper-level trough of low pressure pushing southeast across the Great Lakes. As a result, Hurricane Dorian will begin to accelerate to the northeast and should slide well east of the Mid-Atlantic region tomorrow night and Friday.
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Hurricane Dorian has finally resumed some movement today as the latest measurements have it moving to the northwest at 2 mph after being stationary for nearly 24 hours. From later today into Wednesday, Hurricane Dorian should turn north-northwest and run parallel to the east coast of Florida as it picks up some forward speed. It’ll then close in on the Carolina coastline by Thursday where it is not out of the question that it makes a landfall somewhere on its way to the Outer Banks (North Carolina). After that, Hurricane Dorian will likely pass well to the east of the Mid-Atlantic coastline from Thursday night into Friday with its greatest impact limited to coastal sections.
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Hurricane Dorian continues to pound the eastern part of Florida and will begin a slow turn to the northwest today that will gradually take the storm up along the east coast of the state. Over the next couple of days, Dorian will slide up along the SE US coastline and will be in a position near the Outer Banks of North Carolina by early Friday. After that, Dorian will push to the northeast off the Mid-Atlantic and New England coastlines and there is likely to be some impact in coastal sections of the Delmarva Peninsula on Thursday night and Friday.
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A serious weather situation continues to unfold as Hurricane Dorian intensifies and continues on a path towards the Bahamas and Florida with possible landfall later Monday into Tuesday. Hurricane Dorian has reached category 2 status as of early Friday morning and could reach “major” hurricane status (i.e., category 3) later in the day. High pressure ridging in the upper part of the atmosphere is a key player in the intensification and movement of Hurricane Dorian and it should result in additional strengthening over the next couple of days – perhaps to category 4 status.
As Hurricane Dorian nears the northwestern Bahamas later this weekend, the upper-level ridge will tend to weaken and this is likely to result in a slowing down of the system. The weakening ridge may also allow for a turn to the northwest as Hurricane Dorian approaches Florida and then a turn to the north and northeast once near or just over land. This could very well result in a slow trek up along the eastern seaboard later next week; in other words, we may still be talking about Hurricane Dorian a week from now.
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Hurricane Dorian is churning NW over the warm waters of the southwestern Atlantic and it will encounter more favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions in coming days that can result in intensification to “major” hurricane status. There will be a strong ridge of high pressure building over the western Atlantic over the next couple of days and this will likely result in a shift from northwest-to-west and set Dorian on a path right towards the Florida Peninsula. There are some signs that the ridging to the north will weaken late in the weekend and this could lead to a last minute turn by Dorian to the northwest or north and potentially a slowing down of the storm which would raise the possibility of serious flooding near the east coast. Stay tuned.
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Hurricane Dorian continues to move to the northwest and is still categorized as a category 1 storm with max sustained winds at 85 mph. There have been intermittent signs of a small inner eye in satellite imagery during the past few hours. As atmospheric and oceanic conditions become more favorable over the next few days, Dorian is likely to strengthen into “major” hurricane status as it begins a shift from northwest-to-west with intensifying upper-level ridging to the north. On this track, Dorian would approach the east coast of Florida on Monday or Tuesday – likely as a “major” – but all residents from the Carolinas to Georgia have to stay on guard as a last minute turn to the northwest/north cannot be ruled out before it ever even reaches Florida.
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