High pressure over the western Atlantic will be a main player this week and will pump warm, humid air into the eastern states for much of the week. Locally, temperatures will generally be confined to the 80’s given the expected abundance of clouds and moisture. The unsettled pattern will result in a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms for the northern part of Alabama.
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Tropical Storm Elsa made landfall yesterday in the northern Gulf coastal region of Florida and will push northeastward today through the Carolinas. This tropical system will then reach the Delmarva Peninsula region of the Mid-Atlantic by late tonight/early Friday and bring with it some heavy rainfall for the I-95 corridor. By later Friday, the remains of Elsa will head to the eastern part of New England and then ultimately to near Nova Scotia Canada by the early part of the upcoming weekend. Around here, very unsettled conditions will lead to the chance of showers and storms on a daily basis right into the early part of next week.
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“Elsa” is a strong tropical storm this morning and has reached Florida’s northern Gulf coast. The tropical storm actually reached hurricane status late yesterday, but has since dropped just below that level with maximum sustained winds at 65 mph as it heads northward at 14 mph. Tropical Storm Elsa will cross the northern part of Florida later today and then take a turn more to the northeast by early Thursday as it moves over the southeastern states. Tropical Storm Elsa will then likely reach the Delmarva Peninsula region of the Mid-Atlantic by early Friday and bring with it an enhanced chance of heavy rainfall to the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from late Thursday into early Friday. By later Friday, the remains of Elsa will likely reach the eastern part of New England and then ultimately to near Nova Scotia Canada by early Saturday.
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“Elsa” is now a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph and will make landfall later this morning on the northern Gulf coast of Florida. It will then cross the northern part of the Sunshine State and reach the Georgia/South Carolina border region by early tomorrow. After that, “Elsa” will turn to the northeast and through the eastern states likely reaching the Delmarva Peninsula region by early Friday enhancing the chance for showers/storms and heavy rainfall in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. From there, the remains of “Elsa” could move to eastern New England by later Friday and then to near Nova Scotia (Canada) by early Saturday.
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“Elsa” is a strong tropical storm that is on the verge of reaching hurricane status as it pushes slowly northward just off Florida’s southwest coastline. It is having significant impact in the state of Florida and is likely to have an impact later in the week all the way up into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. In the short-term, a very unstable atmosphere could bring severe thunderstorms to the northern Mid-Atlantic later today and tonight in this hot and humid air mass.
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“Elsa” is a strong tropical storm this morning near the Florida Keys and has slowed down from its rapid movement during the weekend. This system will ride up to the north today just off the west coast of Florida and then cross northern Florida on Wednesday morning after landfall near the Big Bend region. After that, the remains of “Elsa” will likely turn to the northeast and move up along the eastern seaboard – perhaps to a position by later Thursday over the Delmarva Peninsula or southern New Jersey.
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An upper-level low will drop from the Great Lakes region to a position over the Mid-Atlantic region by the early part of the upcoming weekend, but it’ll be far enough removed from this area to allow for decent weather and that decent weather should continue through the holiday on Monday. It’ll turn more humid again by the middle of next and the chance of showers and storms will be on the increase. Elsewhere, “Elsa” has reached hurricane status this morning and threatens Hispaniola (especially on the Haiti side), Jamaica and Cuba later this weekend and then the SE US/Gulf of Mexico early next week…stay tuned.
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It’s never easy to break the back of a heat wave in the Mid-Atlantic region and this one will be no different with the formation of strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the transition and there will be torrential rainfall included in the mix. The threat for storms and heavy rainfall will continue into Friday as a slow-moving cold front works its way through the region. It’ll turn noticeably cooler on Friday and Saturday and the weather will stay unsettled as we begin the holiday weekend, but improvement will set in for Sunday and Monday.
Elsewhere, an impressive tropical wave that exited off of the west coast of Africa last week has strengthened into Tropical Storm “Elsa” and it will enter the Caribbean Sea later tomorrow. This system is likely to become an important player for the Caribbean islands of Hispaniola (Haiti/Dominican Republic), Jamaica and Cuba later in the weekend and could threaten southern Florida early next week.
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An upper-level low will drop from the Great Lakes region to a position over the Mid-Atlantic region by the early part of the upcoming weekend. As a result, it’ll stay unsettled here for the next couple of days with a threat of showers and storms. However, the weather will improve for the holiday weekend with sunshine likely on all three days and increasingly warmer conditions.
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There was intense heat across the Pacific Northwest earlier in the week and also quite a hot spell in the Mid-Atlantic region with strong upper-level ridging the main culprit in both parts of the nation. The heat in the Mid-Atlantic will transition to much cooler conditions by the time we get to the end of the work week and early part of the holiday weekend. This change will come about with numerous strong-to-severe thunderstorms and torrential rainfall with localized flooding a real threat. The weekend will start off quite a bit cooler-than-normal in the Mid-Atlantic and also very unsettled with deep upper-level low pressure moving directly overhead, but improvement and warming will come later in the weekend.
Elsewhere, an impressive tropical wave exited off of the west coast of Africa last week and it is now churning over the central Atlantic. We certainly could be dealing with a “tropical storm” nearing the Caribbean Sea by the end of the week and this system will have to be closely monitored heading into the first full week of July.
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