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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

****An active February with multiple winter storms...mid-week ice threat in Mid-Atlantic...possible front end snow...back-end plain rain...similar scenario this weekend...snow threat next week****

Paul Dorian

February is now a few days old, and it looks like it will be a very active month with plenty of cold air around and it is likely to feature a polar vortex “split” and high-latitude blocking. There should be plenty of opportunities for snow, ice and rain in the Mid-Atlantic region as we progress through the month with just the next week or so likely to feature as many as three precipitation events. The first opportunity comes at mid-week, and it may turn out to be the first significant icing event in quite awhile for much of the Mid-Atlantic region with possible snow on the front end and plain rain on the back end. A similar scenario may take place this weekend with frozen precipitation possible on the front-end of the next storm system and plain rain on the back end. A third storm may threaten by the middle of next week and this one should have more cold air to work with raising the chance of accumulating snow in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | *70+ degrees for highs first half of the week*

Paul Dorian

It turns very mild around here for the next few days as south-to-southwest winds develop on the backside of high pressure pushing well to the east of here. Temperatures can peak each day at 70+ degrees right through the mid-week, but it does become more unsettled as the week progresses with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms.

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****A look ahead to the month of February…a polar vortex split, plenty of cold air around, and a very active pattern which includes the potential of significant icing in some cases****

Paul Dorian

February is now underway and it looks like it will be a very active month with plenty of cold air around and is likely to feature a stratospheric polar vortex split that can impact US temperatures all the way into March. There should be plenty of opportunities for snow, ice and rain in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US as we progress through the new month with just the next week or so likely to feature as many as three precipitation events. Another player on the field that will have to be monitored this month will be the occasional appearance of the Southeast US high pressure ridge – often seen during La Nina winters – and this enhances the possibility of quite warm conditions across the southern states and also chances for severe weather.

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7:00 AM | *Nearby frontal system brings us the chance of showers today and tonight...mild conditions stick around through the weekend and into early next week*

Paul Dorian

It stays mild today with afternoon high temperatures likely near the 60-degree mark as a frontal system brings some shower activity to the region. It stays quite mild on Friday with a lingering shower possible and the weekend is setting up nicely with mild and dry conditions likely across northern Alabama.

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7:00 AM | *A milder weather pattern takes us right through the upcoming weekend*

Paul Dorian

It turns milder today with afternoon high temperatures likely near the 60-degree mark as high pressure intensifies to the east of here. While showers are possible during the next couple of days, it’ll stay quite mild with temperatures reaching 60+ degrees for highs. The weekend is looking pretty nice for the beginning of February with dry and mild conditions likely across the northern part of Alabama.

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7:00 AM | *60 degrees possible at mid-week ahead of next cold frontal system*

Paul Dorian

It turns milder today with afternoon high temperatures likely in the lower 50’s as high pressure to the east of here. It’ll turn even milder on Tuesday and mid-week temperatures could approach the 60-degree mark ahead of an incoming cold front. That frontal passage will usher in a chilly air mass for the latter part of the week and winds will become noticeable as well.

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11:30 AM | ***Nationwide deep freeze continues...snow, extreme cold hits southern states...February 1895 cold air outbreak and major winter storm revisited***

Paul Dorian

Bitter cold Arctic air persists across much of the nation with numerous daily low temperature records set across the southern and eastern states. In fact, a few all-time low temperature records were set this morning across southern Louisiana where clear skies, light winds, and a fresh, deep snowpack allowed temperatures to plunge to single digit levels across the region. A rare major winter storm has brought significant accumulating snow across the southern US from Texas-to-Florida-to-the Carolinas and, in some cases, this matched or surpassed the great winter storm of February 1895. The precipitation field associated with this southern storm will push off the southeast coast today, but the bitter cold will persist for a bit longer.

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