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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information
Filtering by Category: HSV
It remains hot and humid from today into Thursday with afternoon highs generally in the low-to-mid 90’s. There is some relief coming by the end of the work week with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms and highs likely confined to the upper 80’s for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Read MoreErin has strengthened today and is now a category 4 “major” hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 140 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at around 10 mph. Hurricane Erin will begin a turn to the northwest later today followed by a general turn to the north from Tuesday into Wednesday and then it’ll begin an acceleration on Thursday and take a sharp turn to the northeast.
Even though the center of Hurricane Erin will remain offshore as it curves away from the east coast, its strength, expansion in size, and the prolonged nature of an onshore flow of air will likely result in significant impact to the Outer Banks of North Carolina where beach and coastal damage may be extreme. Elsewhere along the east coast, rip currents and high surf are likely along many coastal sections and there is likely to be beach erosion and coastal flooding with a prolonged period of onshore flow.
Read MoreIt remains hot and humid from today into mid-week with afternoon highs generally in the middle 90’s. There is some relief coming by the end of the week with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms and highs likely confined to the 80’s for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Read MoreIt remains very warm and humid today with a continuing shot at PM showers and thunderstorms. The weekend and early part of next week will feature hotter conditions and generally rain-free as high pressure takes full control of the weather around here.
Read MoreTropical Storm Erin appears better organized today and has indeed undergone a bit of strengthening with maximum sustained winds now clocked at 60 mph as it churns to the west at around 17 mph. Over the next few days, Tropical Storm Erin will push over increasingly warm waters of the southwest Atlantic Ocean and atmospheric conditions will become more favorable for intensification (less dry air, less wind shear). As a result, significant and rapid intensification is on the table for Erin which could take it from its current tropical storm status to hurricane (category 1) classification on Friday and then to “major” hurricane status (category 3 or higher) later Saturday. It is at this time that the overall flow aloft should allow for Erin to begin a curve away from the east coast …first to the northwest then to the north and ultimately to the northeast and out over the open waters of the North Atlantic. Two key players in this expected curve of Erin will be an upper-level ridge over eastern Canada that will tend to get displaced by an upper-level trough of low pressure...all of these systems still need to be closely monitored as small changes can potentially have big impacts on some coastal sections.
Read MoreThe remainder of the work week will feature very warm and humid conditions and a daily shot of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The weekend will feature hotter conditions and generally rain-free as high pressure takes full control of the weather around here.
Read MoreThe intensity of Tropical Storm Erin has been relatively unchanged during the past 24 hours maintaining maximum sustained winds of around 45 mph as it churns to the west across the tropical Atlantic. There is not likely to be much intensification over the next 24 hours or so as it continues to deal with a dry air mass and moves over only modestly warm waters. Later this week, TS Erin will push over increasingly warm water in the western Atlantic Ocean and this will very likely result in intensification to category 1 hurricane status...the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic Basin tropical season.
Over the weekend, overall environmental conditions will become more favorable for intensification as it moves over very warm water and this can result in Erin attaining “major” hurricane status of category 3 (or higher). It is at this time that the overall flow aloft should allow for Erin to begin a curve to the north over the western Atlantic Ocean and then ultimately to the northeast…likely resulting in it not reaching the US east coast. However, there are several days to go and this system needs to be closely monitored as nothing is written in stone this far out.
Read MoreThe remainder of the week will feature very warm and humid conditions and a daily shot of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. High pressure off the northeast coastline (Bermuda high position) continues to be the main player across the eastern states.
Read MoreThe upcoming week will generally feature very warm conditions with a daily shot of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. High pressure off the northeast coastline continues to be the main player across the eastern states.
Read MoreThe work week will end with quite warm weather and afternoon highs near the 90 degree mark. It remains quite warm this weekend with similar high temperatures and there can be some scattered PM shower and thunderstorm activity.
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