The threat for showers and thunderstorms will continue for the next couple of days as the remains of a frontal boundary zone stall out in this area. Any storm that forms today, tonight or Wednesday can produce some heavy rainfall in a short period of time as moisture content is quite high. High temperatures over the next couple of days will be pretty typical for late June primarily in the mid-to-upper 80’s across central Florida.
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An approaching cool front will combine with lots of low-level moisture and cooling aloft to bring us the chance of showers and thunderstorms as we begin a new work week. The threat for showers and thunderstorms will continue on Tuesday as well as the frontal boundary zone will stall out in this area. In fact, it looks like we'll have a daily threat of showers and thunderstorms in central Florida right through the week and into the upcoming weekend. High temperatures over the next couple of days will be rather typical for late June primarily in the mid-to-upper 80’s across the region.
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High pressure centered to our northeast will maintain a southeasterly flow of air in our region as we close out the work week. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will likely occur over the interior sections today with the inland moving sea breezes and the coastal areas should remain on the dry side. Rain chances will slowly increase this weekend and with the approach of a frontal boundary and reach "likely" territory by early next week.
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High pressure centered to our northeast will maintain a southeasterly flow of moist air in our region for the next few days. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will likely occur over the interior sections with the inland moving sea breezes. High pressure ridging builds east of the area this weekend and it’ll extend across the Florida peninsula bringing somewhat drier air to the region.
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Tropical Storm Cindy is now over the west-central Gulf of Mexico with its latest winds clocked at 60 mph. This system is likely to continue on a general northwest track today and make landfall early tomorrow near the Louisiana/Texas border region. After that, Tropical Storm Cindy is likely to recurve and head northeastward towards the Tennessee Valley by the end of the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Bret has dissipated overnight as it encountered strong wind shear over the central Caribbean Sea
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There are now two named tropical storms to monitor in the Atlantic Basin with one over the central Gulf of Mexico and the second over the eastern part of the Caribbean Sea. Tropical Storm Cindy has formed in the central Gulf of Mexico and is likely to turn northwest over the next couple of days perhaps making landfall by early Thursday near Galveston, Texas. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Bret has pushed into the eastern Caribbean Sea and it will likely encounter some strong wind shear in the near term inhibiting further strengthening. It is unusual to have two named tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin during the month of June with the last couple of occurrences in 1959 and 1968. The US hasn’t had a hurricane landfall during June for over 30 years, but the US had three June hurricanes in 1886 – which was the most active hurricane year on record for the US.
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The tropics have become quite active and we’ll continue to monitor one system now over the south-central Gulf of Mexico and another one, Tropical Storm Bret, now over the southeastern Caribbean Sea. The Gulf system is likely to intensify somewhat over the next couple of days - perhaps reaching tropical storm status - as it slides to the north and then to the west. It is likely to then recurve and turn towards the northeast. Meanwhile, Bret is liable to face some strong wind shear over the next couple of days which is likely to weaken it eventually back to tropical depression status.
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A potent cold front is headed towards the I-95 corridor and it may help to generate severe thunderstorms in DC, Philly and New York City from late today into tonight. Heavy rainfall is likely at times during this event and flash flooding is a concern for the entire region. Any thunderstorm can produce damaging wind gusts, downpours, hail, intense lightning and even possible isolated tornado activity. The most likely timetable for these potential powerful storms is 3pm -9pm.
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Deep tropical moisture will remain over the area and our recent wet pattern will continue this week. A tropical system is likely to head into the central and western sections of the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days.
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The overall weather pattern will remain quite active with weak high pressure ridging to our east and upper-level troughing to our south. High moisture combined with instability in the atmosphere will allow for the continuation of showers and thunderstorms for the next several days. There are also some signs that tropical moisture will play an increasing role later this month and potentially intensify Florida’s recent wet weather pattern.
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