High pressure ridging will drift off the coast today and there will be the chance of showers and thunderstorms, but this threat will be smaller than the past couple of days. Moisture will tend to increase in the region this weekend and that will increase chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms and that threat will last through the middle of next week.
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High pressure ridging will extend from the Mid-Atlantic region today to the Gulf of Mexico as an upper-level trough shifts northeast across the Great Lakes. Humidity levels will remain high across Florida and this will allow for the formation of showers and thunderstorms across central Florida over the next few days right into the early part of next week.
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High pressure ridging will maintain an easterly flow of air around here with very warm and humid conditions. The high humidity will allow for the formation of showers and thunderstorms across central Florida over the next couple of days and the same pattern will continue this weekend. Any shower or thunderstorm through tomorrow can produce torrential downpours given the high humidity levels of the atmosphere.
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The remains of Cristobal continue to push to the north over the Mississippi River Valley and it will produce a swath of heavy rainfall from the Gulf states to the Canadian border. In the east, high pressure ridging will build over Florida and it will maintain a southerly flow of air here with warm, humid conditions. The high humidity will allow for the formation of showers and thunderstorms across central Florida over the next couple of days. Drier air will make an attempt to reach the area later in the week.
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The remains of Tropical Storm Cristobal will push northward over the next couple of days producing heavy rainfall all along the Mississippi Valley from the Gulf of Mexico to the Canadian border. High pressure ridging will build in the eastern US today and generally have control of the region’s weather. There will be plenty of entrenched moisture in the area this week and it should be enough to result in scattered daily showers and thunderstorms.
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There are two important weather stories here at the end of the work week with continued very unsettled weather conditions in the Mid-Atlantic region and also tropical depression Cristobal which remains just inland over the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico at mid-day. The surge of summer-like heat and humidity into the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday was accompanied by severe thunderstorm activity and a stalled out frontal boundary zone will remain the focus area for showers and thunderstorms over the next 24 hours or so. Any rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region can be heavy at times with the potential of localized flash flooding and any thunderstorm that forms can be strong-to-severe with gusty winds.
Meanwhile, tropical depression is parked inland over Mexico, but it is likely to move back out over the open warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico and take a turn to the north this weekend. There is a chance that Cristobal – the third named tropical system of this young tropical season – will close in on the north-central Gulf coastal region by the end of the weekend and all eyes from the Panhandle of Florida to Texas should remained focused on this threat.
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Tropical depression Cristobal remains parked just inland over Mexico this morning, but it should head out over the open warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico by tonight and then move generally in a northward direction over the next couple of days. This kind of a track would bring Cristobal in the vicinity of southern Louisiana by late in the weekend likely as a strong tropical storm, but there is the chance that it reaches minimal hurricane status - all should closely monitor the situation from the Panhandle of Florida-to-Texas.
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There are two important weather stories here at mid-week with a sudden surge of summer-like conditions into the Mid-Atlantic region and the development of a tropical storm in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The surge of summer-like heat and humidity into the Mid-Atlantic region will be accompanied by some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity in some spots later today and tonight as a cold front approaches from the northwest. The highest probability of the severe storm activity will be to the north of the PA/MD border with one shot around mid-day and then another shot from later this afternoon into tonight. This front stalls nearby on Thursday and this could result in some heavy rain bands tomorrow and tomorrow night in the Mid-Atlantic region.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Cristobal has intensified in the overnight hours, but it may very well weaken over the next couple of days as it moves inland over Mexico. However, by the end of the week, TS Cristobal is likely to move back out over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico and take a turn to the north this weekend. There is a chance that Cristobal – the third tropical storm of this young tropical season – will close in on the central Gulf coastal region by the end of the weekend and all eyes should remained focused on this threat from the Panhandle of Florida to Texas.
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High pressure has pushed well off the coast and our stiff onshore flow will diminish some today when compared to yesterday. Moisture will be somewhat limited, but the threat remains for scattered showers over the next few days and maybe a thunderstorm or two. Elsewhere, all eyes on the Gulf of Mexico as Tropical Storm Cristobal should head northward over the next few days towards the central/western Gulf coast.
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High pressure will slide off the coast today and this will open the door for a stiff onshore flow of air to develop across central Florida. Moisture will be somewhat limited aloft and this will reduce any shower activity that forms to be on an isolated basis. Elsewhere, all eyes are focused on the Gulf of Mexico this week as conditions are rather favorable for potential tropical activity.
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