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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | ***Next system is suppressed to our south for tonight/early Friday...weekend threat continues for snow, ice***

Paul Dorian

Snow winds down early today as an initial system pushes away from the Mid-Atlantic region and another system will head in this direction for tonight and early Friday. This next system will have little to no impact around here, however, as it’ll be suppressed farther to the south compared to the initial wave. Another system will arrive here this weekend and it is likely to produce snow and sleet from later Saturday into early Sunday. Yet another storm threatens the region for Monday night and Tuesday with additional snow, sleet and/or freezing rain.

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1:30 PM | ****The worst that winter has to offer next ten days across much of the nation…accumulating snow…significant icing…persistent cold that will be extreme in some areas****

Paul Dorian

The next ten days will bring the worst that winter has to offer too much of the nation which will include accumulating snow, significant icing and persistent cold that will be extreme in some areas. The energetic pattern of recent days will continue with storm-after-storm impacting the nation from coast-to-coast in this next ten day time period. Perhaps the best example of the most extreme winter weather that is on the way will take place deep in the heart of Texas where temperatures could drop to near zero by early next week and snow and ice can accumulate all the way down into the southeastern part of the state.

In the Mid-Atlantic region, one system will bring accumulating snow to areas near and to the north of the PA/MD border from tonight into early Thursday and it’ll produce a mixed bag of snow, sleet and rain in the DC metro region. A second and relatively weak system will have little or no impact on areas to the north of the PA/MD border on Thursday night and early Friday, but it can produce a small amount of snow in the DC metro region. A stronger system set to arrive this weekend will have more moisture to deal with than these first two and it could result in more significant ice and/or snow in the Mid-Atlantic region. And yes, there may be two other storms to deal with in the Mid-Atlantic region next week with significant snow and/or ice on the table for either or both of these systems.

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7:00 AM | **Some snow here from later tonight into early Thursday**

Paul Dorian

A couple of systems will pass to our south from tonight through Friday, and they are on the weak side with little support in the upper part of the atmosphere. The first system should produce some snow around here from tonight into early Thursday with likely accumulations of 1-3 inches in the NYC metro region. The second system will be suppressed farther to the south on Thursday night and early Friday and its impact around here will be very limited with just a chance for a little more snow. A storm system over the weekend promises to have much more moisture to work with and there can be accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region from later Saturday into early Sunday. Other winter storms may threaten the Mid-Atlantic region next week as this active weather pattern continues with more accumulating snow and/or ice on the table.

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1:00 PM | ***Second half of the week event comes in two waves (Wednesday PM/Thursday AM; Thursday PM/Friday AM)…heaviest snow likely to be suppressed to the south of the PA/MD border***

Paul Dorian

The second half of the week will feature two waves of precipitation for the Mid-Atlantic region with one wave coming from Wednesday night into early Thursday and the second from later Thursday into mid-day Friday. It appears that the heaviest snows associated with both of these systems will be suppressed to areas south of the PA/MD border across Virginia, Maryland, southern Delmarva, and southern New Jersey. The DC metro region will likely be right in or very close to the zone with the heaviest snow and there should be less impact to the northeast in places like Philadelphia and New York City. Another winter storm system may impact the Mid-Atlantic region this weekend and its passage early next week could be the catalyst for an intrusion of bitter cold air into the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. And yes, there may be another winter storm threat for the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week. Unfortunately, the potential threats coming this weekend and by the middle part of next week present the possibility of significant icing issues in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | ***Active pattern continues with 1-3 inches possible today...another threat of snow from late Wednesday into Friday***

Paul Dorian

A very active weather pattern will continue for much of the eastern half of the nation during the next ten days or so and there will be multiple chances of accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region. A relatively weak system passing by to our north today can cause occasional snow into mid-afternoon with 1-3 inches of accumulation on the table. A stronger system is likely to impact the Mid-Atlantic region in two waves during the second half of the week with one concentrating on the period from later Wednesday into early Thursday and then a second from later Thursday into Friday. It appears the heaviest precipitation with this second half of the week event may stay just to the south of here - something to monitor over the next day or so. Additional threats of snow and ice an come to the region this weekend and next week.

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1:30 PM (Monday) | ***Buckle up…very active pattern continues for the next ten days with plenty of cold air around and multiple chances of accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

It just won’t let up…a very active weather pattern will continue for much of the eastern half of the nation during the next ten days and there will be multiple chances of accumulating snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region. Arctic air is in place as we begin the new work week across the northeastern quadrant of the nation and intense cold will grip the much of the northern and central US in coming days….in other words, there will be plenty of cold air around to tap into for the Mid-Atlantic region by approaching systems.

The first chance for snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region will come late tonight and tomorrow from a relatively weak system that moves into the northeastern states. Despite its weakness, this initial system can cause some problems with accumulating snow north of the PA/MD border and potential ice south of there. A stronger system is likely to then impact the region in two waves during the second half of the week with one concentrating on the period from later Wednesday into early Thursday and then a second from later Thursday into Friday. Accumulations of snow are certainly on the table in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor during this long-duration second half of the week event - and this won’t be the end of the wintry precipitation threats. Yet another system could generate snow and/or ice in the Mid-Atlantic region later in the upcoming weekend and potentially more activity could come next week.

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7:00 AM | ***Active pattern to continue with multiple chances of snow and/or ice in coming days***

Paul Dorian

Our active weather pattern of recent days will continue this week and there will be multiple opportunities for snow and/or ice in the NYC metro region. High pressure will briefly take control of the weather around here today as we begin the new work week, but then a “clipper” type of system will affect the area on Tuesday with snow accumulations of 1-3 inches on the table. A stronger system will then impact the region in two waves beginning late Wednesday into early Thursday and again late Thursday into Friday. Additional accumulations are on the table for this long duration event during the second half of the week and the threat of wintry precipitation will not end there.

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11:00 AM | ****Accumulating snow on the way for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with several inches on the table****

Paul Dorian

A moderately cold air mass has moved into the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of a cold frontal system and now attention has turned to the Gulf of Mexico and the southeastern states where moisture is gathering. A storm will develop near the South Carolina coastline by early tonight and move to a position off the New Jersey coastline by mid-day Sunday. This system is going to generate a new round of accumulating snow in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from late tonight into the mid-day or early afternoon hours on Sunday with several inches on the table for many spots. Looking ahead, the active weather pattern of recent days will continue beyond tomorrow’s storm with additional chances of snow and/or ice coming to the Mid-Atlantic from around mid-week into next weekend.

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12:15 PM (Friday) | ****Accumulating snow on the way for the Mid-Atlantic with several inches on the table…active, cold pattern to continue well into Feb. with additional snow threats****

Paul Dorian

Moderate cold air will follow the passage of a cold front for the upcoming weekend and attention will turn to the Gulf of Mexico and the southeastern states where a lot of moisture will be gathering. A storm will develop near the South Carolina coastline by early Saturday night and move to a position off the New Jersey coastline by mid-day Sunday. This system is likely to bring another round of accumulating snow to the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from later Saturday night into Sunday morning with several inches on the table. Looking ahead, very cold air will pour into the interior Northwest, Northern Plains, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes next week and the overall active weather pattern will bring additional snow threats to the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | ****Late weekend accumulating snow threat still on the table for late Saturday night/Sunday morning****

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will approach the region today with a wintry mess of snow, sleet and rain early this morning that can even include a burst of heavier snow in some spots and quick small accumulations. It’ll turn breezy and milder by the mid-day and afternoon with partly sunny skies and temperatures are likely to reach the middle 40’s for highs. Moderate cold air will follow the cold frontal passage for the upcoming weekend and attention will turn to the Gulf of Mexico and Southeast US where a lot of moisture will be gathering. A storm will develop in the southeastern states by early Saturday night and it is likely to impact us here later this weekend. The most likely impact time for this quick-moving storm will be from late Saturday night into mid-day Sunday with snow that can mix with or change to rain briefly before the precipitation ends on Sunday. Snow accumulations of several inches are on the table for the late weekend storm.

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