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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

12:50 PM | ****Strong, persistent E-SE winds to continue into the evening…coastal flooding a big issue…PM thunderstorms in many areas with potential damaging wind gusts and downpours****

Paul Dorian

Today’s storm in the Mid-Atlantic region is living up to its potential with strong, persistent E-SE winds, some serious coastal flooding, and occasional heavy rainfall that will produce 1-3 inches and isolated higher amounts. The added twist this afternoon and evening will be the likelihood for some strong thunderstorms which should rotate from the southwest-to-northeast and could include damaging wind gusts along with downpours.

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7:00 AM | ***Next storm arrives later today with increasingly strong winds and additional significant rainfall...coastal flooding a serious concern***

Paul Dorian

Another storm system will impact the region later today and tonight and it will generate increasingly strong winds with some additional rainfall. Rainfall amounts are likely to end up in the 1-3 inch range from this system and - given the already pretty well saturated grounds - flash flood watches might have to be issued for parts of the region. Winds will become quite strong later in the day from an E-SE direction as the low pressure system approaches and potentially can gust into the 40-50 mph range. With the expected long time period of an onshore flow during this storm, coastal flooding is a serious concern. It remains quite unsettled on Saturday with lots of clouds remaining and a continuing shower threat. The weather should settle down some for Sunday although a shower cannot be completely ruled out and Monday should turn out to be a dry and cool day.

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12:40 PM | ****Coastal flooding a big concern in the Mid-Atlantic region with next storm as there will be an extended period of strong E-SE winds****

Paul Dorian

The next storm for the Mid-Atlantic region will arrive on Friday and this system will bring another soaking rainfall and strong E-SE winds for an extended period of time. As a result of the expected long and strong onshore flow of air with this next storm, coastal flooding is a big concern in all susceptible areas of the Mid-Atlantic.

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7:00 AM | ***Next storm arrives on Friday with strong winds and more significant rain***

Paul Dorian

High pressure will build into the area today, but its impact will be rather short-lived. Another storm system will reach us on Friday and it will generate more significant rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region likely in the 1-3 inch range. In fact, flash flood watches may have to be issued for this storm given the already pretty well saturated grounds from the rains of earlier this week. In addition to the rain, winds will become quite strong on Friday from a southeasterly direction and potentially gusting into the 40-50 mph range. It remains quite unsettled on Saturday with lots of clouds and a continuing shower threat, but the weather should settle down some for Sunday and especially Monday.

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1:50 PM | ***Numerous power outages in New England from nor’easter…tornadoes in Deep South…next storm for the Mid-Atlantic/NE US arrives Friday with more significant rain and wind***

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern continues today with a powerful nor’easter finally starting to pull away from the New England coastline and a vigorous upper-level low over Texas that has resulted in an outbreak of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in the Deep South. This same upper-level low will push to the east over the next 24 hours and contribute to a windy and rainy end to the week in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US.

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7:00 AM | *Off-shore storm gradually pulls away, but winds remain a factor in the Mid-Atlantic...next storm arrives on Friday*

Paul Dorian

An off-shore storm will shift away from the region today and there will be some sunshine, but its proximity will continue to result in windy conditions in the Mid-Atlantic. High pressure will build into the area on Thursday, but then another storm will form near the eastern seaboard from Friday into Saturday. This next system is associated with the energy left behind from the storm that pounded the west coast on Sunday and Monday and it could bring more significant rain and wind to the Mid-Atlantic region. Looking ahead, a cold front is likely to push our way by the middle part of next week.

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7:00 AM | ***Nor'easter intensifies today off southern New England...loops back around later tonight towards Long Island extending impact here into Wednesday***

Paul Dorian

A nor’easter will intensify off the southern New England coastline today and then it’ll take a loop back towards Long Island later tonight which will prolong its impact around here into tomorrow. Heavy rain will fall at times today with localized flash flooding a threat and winds can gust to hurricane force along coastal sections of New Jersey, Long Island and southern New England. Another low pressure system can have an impact around here later in the week as energy from yesterday’s west coast storm reaches the eastern seaboard.

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12:15 PM | *Nor’easter to pound much of the Mid-Atlantic/NE US with heavy rain/strong winds from later tonight into early Wed.…strong-to-severe storm threat to precede late today/early tonight*

Paul Dorian

A powerful storm system has pounded the west coast during the past 24 hours or so and a strong Nor’easter is about to unfold just off the east coast. This developing Nor’easter will impact much of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US from later tonight into Wednesday morning with flash flooding type rains in some areas and potentially damaging wind gusts; especially, along coastal sections. The development of the east coast storm will wait for the arrival of a surface cold frontal system which will push eastward this afternoon from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. This frontal system can result in some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity along the I-95 corridor from later today into early tonight following a day of near record warmth.

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7:00 AM | ***Much warmer today...rain from late today into Tuesday with possible strong thunderstorms...some of the rain will be heavy***

Paul Dorian

The passage of a warm front will usher in much warmer air for later today and highs will bounce back into the 70’s after a cool end to the weekend. Low pressure pushes this way from the Midwest tonight and a second one will intensify off the coast on Tuesday. This combination will generate rain in the area from late today into Tuesday and some of it will be heavy at times. In addition, there will be the chance for a strong-to-severe thunderstorm from later today into tonight. The coastal low pressure system will meander offshore at mid-week and another then storm could impact our region late in the week. Looking ahead, the pattern changes quite dramatically next week - the first week of November - with a quick start to some winter-like cold on the table.

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11:45 AM | *Very powerful storm to impact the west coast from Sunday into Monday…same system can result in a mid-week severe weather outbreak and a strong east coast storm by late next week*

Paul Dorian

One strong storm system has impacted the west coast states from Washington-to-California in the past 24 hours or so with significant rainfall, but an even stronger storm is likely have an impact from Sunday into Monday. In fact, this next storm could become the strongest system in many years to impact the region from British Columbia (Canada) to California. Rainfall will be excessive with this next storm, winds will be powerful and potentially damaging, and snow will pile up in the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada Mountains in eastern California. The upper-level support for this system is likely to then cross the country next week and that could result in a mid-week severe weather outbreak and a late week storm near the eastern seaboard.

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