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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | *Relief today following the passage of a back door cool front*

Paul Dorian

A back door cold front passed through Boston early yesterday in a northeast-to-southwest direction and dropped temperatures dramatically in a short period of time. This same system slid through our area last night and this will result in much relief here today in the temperature department. Temperatures on Tuesday climbed into the 90’s; however, will likely be confined to the middle 70’s today for highs. The atmosphere will become unsettled later today and tonight and this can result in some strong thunderstorm activity and heavy rainfall. Another front approaches later tomorrow bringing with it a renewed threat of showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will build into the region for the weekend likely leading to a comfortably warm few days in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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2:00 PM | *Back door cool front brings dramatic relief today to Boston…brings much relief to NYC and New Jersey on Wednesday...little relief in Philly and virtually none in DC*

Paul Dorian

Hot weather dominated the scene today across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US and one of the ways to get relief is from a “conventional” cool frontal system that passes from west-to-east. However, long-time residents of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US know that one other way to get a break in the heat is for a back door cool front to slide from northwest-to-southwest which can produce dramatic temperature changes in a short period of time. That is exactly what happened today in Boston with a temperature drop of nearly 20 degrees in about 10 minutes and a big change is in store on Wednesday for New York City and New Jersey.

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7:00 AM | *A hot day to begin the holiday-shortened week*

Paul Dorian

A hot day begins the holiday-shortened week in the Mid-Atlantic region with high temperatures this afternoon up in the low-to-mid 90’s. A cold front approaches the region later tomorrow bringing with it a chance of showers and thunderstorms. This front will tend to stall out by Thursday and an area of low pressure will ride along the boundary zone likely resulting in additional shower and thunderstorm activity. High pressure is likely to take control of the weather as we get to the weekend which may turn out to be quite nice with comfortably warm temperatures.

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7:00 AM | ****Showers and possible severe storms later today into later tonight...holiday weekend starts off unsettled, but ends well though it'll become quite warm****

Paul Dorian

The combination of an increasingly humid air mass, strong surface frontal system and a vigorous mid-level low will help to generate numerous showers in the Mid-Atlantic region from today into tonight and possible severe thunderstorms. In fact, there may be two bands of thunderstorms to closely monitor during this event- one during the mid-day/early afternoon hours and a second during the late evening. The main severe weather parameter threats will be damaging wind gusts and “flash-flooding” downpours., and isolated tornadoes are also on the table. The upper-level low will be rather slow-moving in an easterly direction and this will result in an unsettled weather day on Saturday with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. The upper-level will then exit off the coast by Sunday resulting in improvement to end the weekend and the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine, very warm conditions, and highs well up in the 80’s.

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****Showers and possible severe thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday and Friday night…holiday weekend starts off unsettled, but should end well though it’ll get very warm****

Paul Dorian

The combination of an increasingly humid air mass, strong surface frontal system and a vigorous mid-level low will help generate numerous showers on Friday and Friday night in the Mid-Atlantic region and possible severe thunderstorms. In fact, there may be two bands of thunderstorms to closely monitor during this event- one during the mid-day/early afternoon hours and a second during the late evening associated with the frontal passage. The main severe weather parameter threats will be damaging wind gusts, “flash-flooding” downpours, and isolated tornadoes are even possible. The upper-level low will be rather slow-moving from west-to-east and this is likely to result in an unsettled weather day on Saturday in the Mid-Atlantic region with scattered showers and strong thunderstorms. The upper-level will exit off the coast on Sunday resulting in improvement to end the weekend and the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine, very warm conditions and highs well up in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | **Showers and possible strong storms from tomorrow into tomorrow night...weekend weather to start off shaky, but it finishes well**

Paul Dorian

A strong frontal system will produce another round of showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region from Friday into Friday night and some of the storms can be on the strong-to-severe side with heavy downpours. The upper-level support for this system will be slow-moving and could result in some residual shower activity on Saturday as it drifts overhead and a thunderstorm is possible as well, but the day will not be a washout. This upper-level low will exit off the coast by Sunday resulting in improvement and then the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine and highs well up in the 80’s.

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11:45 AM | *Showers and possible strong-to-severe storms on Friday/Friday night in the Mid-Atlantic region…holiday weekend starts off shaky, but should end well*

Paul Dorian

A strong frontal system will produce another round of showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday and some of the storms can be on the strong-to-severe side. The upper-level support for this system will be slow-moving and could result in some residual shower activity on Saturday in the Mid-Atlantic region as it drifts overhead. This upper-level low will exit off the coast on Sunday resulting in improvement and then the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine and highs in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | *Light onshore flow continues with high pressure to the northeast*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to produce a low-level flow of air today out of the east and this will keep a cap on temperatures despite the return of some sunshine. It’ll turn warmer and more humid by late in the work week ahead of the next cold front and that system is likely to bring us another round of showers and thunderstorms…some of those storms later Friday can be on the strong side. The upper-level system associated with the cold front will linger for awhile this weekend and showers will remain a threat on Sunday. Conditions should improve on Sunday and then Monday, Memorial Day, is likely to turn out mainly sunny and quite warm with highs in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | *Easterly flow keeps it cooler-than-normal around here next couple of days*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will pull away from the region this morning, but the day will still feature plenty of clouds and temperatures a bit below-normal for late May. In fact, it stays a bit on the cool side of normal for the next few days with an easterly flow of air putting a cap on temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic region. It does turn warmer on Friday ahead of the next cold front which could bring with it another round of showers and strong thunderstorms at the end of the work week. There is a chance that the late week frontal passage paves the way for the bulk of the Memorial Day weekend to feature decent weather, but still a few questions have to be ironed out.

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7:00 AM | *What a difference a frontal passage makes...cooler, less humid air mass has arrived in the region*

Paul Dorian

A much different air mass has pushed into the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of a strong cold front late yesterday that included some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity. Today will be cooler and noticeably less humid than yesterday and the overall cool pattern will last through the week. Low pressure to our south will approach the area tonight and showers are possible on Monday night and can’t be ruled out into mid-week. Another strong cold front will impact the region by the end of the work week leading into the Memorial Day weekend.

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