The week starts off very cold for this time of year with near record or record cold in some spots, but the unusual early season chill will ease a bit by the middle of the week. High pressure will push to the north of here during the next few days and then a low pressure system is likely to develop to our southwest by the end of the week or during the upcoming weekend.
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Colder-than-normal weather will continue through the weekend after a reinforcing shot of Canadian air pushes into the eastern states later today. This frontal passage can bring late afternoon and evening snow showers to the region possibly mixed with rain initially. There is even the chance for a heavier snow squall; especially, across some of the far northern and western suburbs. The core of the cold air mass will move overhead on Sunday likely making it the coldest day of the next few with temperatures struggling to escape the 30’s for afternoon highs. The unusual early season chill in the Mid-Atlantic will ease during the first half of next week.
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Temperatures across most of the nation remain below-normal for this time of year and will continue to do so through the upcoming weekend. Accumulating snow is now falling in parts of the Rocky Mountain States and an intense Great Lakes snow event is just getting underway. In fact, the lake effect snow event that is just getting underway looks like it’ll be of long-duration possibly producing as much as 3-6 feet in places like Buffalo and Watertown of western New York State. Looking ahead, there are signs that after a milder first half of next week in the eastern states, the overall weather pattern could get interesting by the end of next week with a powerful coastal storm on the table…something to monitor in coming days.
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The cold weather pattern will continue here right through the weekend as “reinforcements” head in this direction from central Canada. In fact, it turns even colder over the next few days and temperatures later this weekend will struggle to escape the 30’s which is well below the normal highs in the low-to-mid 50’s. The winds will increase in intensify later today with gusts up to 30 mph or so and this will make it feel even colder than the actual air temperature and it’ll stay quite brisk on Friday and Saturday as well.
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Temperatures across the nation this morning averaged out to an impressive reading of nearly 12 degrees (F) below-normal for mid-November and no state in the Lower 48 escaped the colder-than-normal chill. The first widespread snow event of the season took place late yesterday in the interior, higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US with half of foot of snow recorded in some areas. The next few days will feature a “Great Lakes snow-making machine” that will be turned on in full force and the result may be several feet of snow in some downstream locations such as Buffalo and Watertown in western New York. The nationwide cold will continue right through the upcoming weekend.
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Coastal low pressure will depart from southern New England today and chilly high pressure will begin to build into the region from our west. Temperatures will remain below-normal here at mid-week as they’ll climb towards the 50 degree mark for afternoon highs (normal high now at Central Park is 54 degrees). Winds pick up on Thursday and It turns even colder with the arrival of a reinforcing cold air mass after a frontal passage. This next cold shot will keep temperatures far below-normal from tomorrow all the way from tomorrow into the early part of next week and temperatures this weekend temperatures will struggle to pass the 40 degree mark for afternoon highs.
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This “middle” week of the month of November could turn out to be one of the coldest in a long, long time for the nation as a whole with virtually coast-to-coast colder-than-normal weather conditions. There was a smattering of low temperature records set this morning across the central and western US and numerous records are likely to be set later this week and weekend; especially, across the central states where temperatures could drop to as much as thirty degrees below normal for this time of year.
In terms of snowfall in this unusual early season cold wave, it looks like the first widespread snow of the season will take place from later today into early Wednesday across interior, higher elevation sections of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. Later this week, an intense Great Lakes snow event will kick into gear with paralyzing amounts of snow possible in some spots such as Buffalo and Watertown in western New York.
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Low pressure will form later today near the Mid-Atlantic coastline and then intensify later tonight as it pushes to the northeast over the western Atlantic Ocean. Rain will likely develop here by the end of the afternoon and then continue tonight moderate-to-heavy at times. It may just cold enough for snowflakes to mix in at times tonight across some of NYC’s far northern and western suburbs and certainly some accumulating snow is a good bet across the Lower Hudson Valley and Pocono Mountains of NE PA. After the departure of the low on Wednesday, high pressure will build back into the region as a reinforcing cold air mass moves in from the northwest. In fact, high temperatures at the end of the week are likely to struggle to reach the 40 degree mark which is well below-normal for mid-November.
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At the same time Tropical Storm Nicole was pounding Florida on Friday with rain and wind, a blizzard was raging in the Northern Plains where two feet of snow piled up in such places as Bismarck, North Dakota. That late week cold air mass situated in the Northern Plains subsequently made its way into the northeastern US following the departure of Nicole to the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. The exit of Nicole helped to bring about a change to the overall upper air wind pattern across North America. In fact, not only has the eastern US chilled down during the past 24 hours, virtually the entire nation is now featuring colder-than-normal temperatures and will likely do so right through the weekend. By the end of the week, many low temperature records will have been broken; especially, across the center part of the nation and every state in the Lower 48 can experience below-freezing temperatures.
In terms of snow potential, a coastal low will intensify by tomorrow night just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline resulting in a cold, soaking rain in the immediate I-95 corridor and to coastal sections, but the first accumulating snowfall of the season is likely in many of the interior, higher elevation locations across the northeastern states. The chill may ease up for awhile later next week, but there are signs for a resumption of the cold pattern going into late November and December.
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At the same time Tropical Storm Nicole was pounding Florida on Friday with rain and wind, a blizzard was raging in the Northern Plains where two feet of snow piled up in such places as Bismarck, North Dakota. That cold air mass in the Northern Plains subsequently made its way into the northeastern US following the departure of Nicole to the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean which set off a change to the overall upper air wind pattern across North America. High pressure builds into the region today, but then a coastal low will bring rain here by late tomorrow/tomorrow night and it could turn out to be a soaking rain event. It’ll be cold enough for snow across northeastern Pennsylvania with accumulations possible in those higher elevation locations such as the Poconos. Cold high pressure will then edge into the region for the second half of the week and temperatures will hold at well below-normal levels.
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