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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

6:00 AM | *Two cold fronts will present our best chance in quite awhile for some rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region...late in the week and early this weekend*

Paul Dorian

The comfortable and dry weather pattern that we’ve been experiencing in recent days will continue into the mid-week with large high pressure remaining in control of the northeastern part of the nation. A cold front will push through the region from late Thursday night into early Friday and then a secondary cold front arrives late Saturday. These two fronts will present our best chance in awhile for some rain in the Mid-Atlantic late in the week and early this weekend. High pressure takes control of the weather for the second half of the weekend as another cooler-than-normal air mass reaches the northeastern part of the country.

One final note, the month of August ended up with an average temperature of 2.3 degrees below-normal in Central Park…the 3rd coolest August in the past 25 years.

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6:00 AM | *A comfortable and dry Labor Day weekend throughout the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

The comfortable and dry weather pattern that we’ve been experiencing in recent days will continue right through the upcoming Labor Day weekend and into the early part of next week. A cold front will cross our area this morning paving the way for another cooler-than-normal air mass to push into the Mid-Atlantic region and some outlying locations are likely to bottom out in the upper 40’s during the next couple of nights. High pressure takes control of the weather for the weekend and this same system will hang around long enough to produce more comfortable, dry weather here during the first half of next week. Another cold frontal system will then enter the picture by the middle of next week representing the leading edge of yet another widespread cooler-than-normal air mass...this next cold front has a chance of bringing some beneficial rainfall to the area...we’ll see.

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6:00 AM | *Comfortable, dry weather continues in the Mid-Atlantic region right through the Labor Day weekend*

Paul Dorian

The comfortable and dry weather pattern that we’ve been experiencing in recent days will continue right through the upcoming Labor Day weekend and into the early part of next week. A cold front will cross our area by early tomorrow and this system will be followed by high pressure for the weekend and first half of next week. The incoming high pressure system had its origins in central Canada and it will come with some chilly air for the end of August/beginning of September...some suburban locations are likely to drop into the lower 50’s for overnight lows.

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**Cooler-than-normal air mass dominating the scene across a large part of the nation...origins in the Arctic...another widespread chilly air outbreak next week...pattern has been quite dry as well**

Paul Dorian

The month of August has been quite kind in many parts of the nation with numerous cooler-than-normal air masses dropping into the US from Canada. A strong cold front pushed off the east coast earlier this week and set the stage for widespread cooler-than-normal conditions here at midweek that extend virtually from coast to coast. This air mass had its origins in the Arctic region and has resulted in more than one hundred tied or broken daily low temperature records on Wednesday and in Atlanta, Georgia, the low temperature today was 55 degrees which tied their monthly low temperature record. I expect to see another large number of stations on Thursday morning with record or near record low temperatures in the eastern US.

Looking ahead, the pattern will repeat later next week with another much cooler-than-normal air mass dropping into the US from Canada bringing a refreshing cool start to the month of September across the eastern half of the nation. This pattern has also been quite dry in parts of the nation including the Mid-Atlantic region and the next several days don’t offer much hope with respect to the chances of some soaking rainfall.

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6:00 AM | *Labor Day weekend looking comfortable and dry in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

One cold front pushed through the region on Monday morning paving the way for a few days of comfortable temperatures for late August and a second one will cross the area from late Thursday night into Friday. This next cold frontal passage will set the stage for a dry and comfortably cool Labor Day weekend with overnight lows in the 50’s in most areas. The month of August comes to an end on Sunday and it’ll end up averaging cooler-than-normal all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.

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6:00 AM | *August has been quite kind to us and it looks like comfortable temperatures right to the calendar flip to September on Monday*

Paul Dorian

A cold front pushed through the region early yesterday and its passage has set the stage for a great last week of August and a reinforcing cool shot of air will arrive for the upcoming weekend. Widespread cooler-than-normal air now encompasses much of the eastern half of the nation and below-normal temperatures will be the rule of thumb right through the upcoming Labor Day weekend which should be dry and pleasant.

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UPDATE - *NASA Wallops Island launch scrubbed for Monday night...now set for Tuesday night at 10:30pm*

Paul Dorian

A sounding rocket mission from the NASA Wallops Island Facility in Virginia that was set for Sunday night has been rescheduled to later tonight with a launch window from 10pm to 3am. The TOMEX+ mission was cancelled last night due to local cloud cover and high seas in the recovery area left behind by Hurricane Erin. Those in the Mid-Atlantic region may be able to catch a glimpse of the rockets depending on the weather conditions, and it is currently looking quite favorable for viewing later tonight. According to NASA, the main purpose of the mission is to investigate the “mesopause” which is one of the planet’s most turbulent atmospheric regions.

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7:00 AM | *A comfortable week and weekend to close out the month of August*

Paul Dorian

A cold front is working its way through the region this morning and it’s passage will set the stage for a very nice week in the Mid-Atlantic region to close out the month of August. The month has already been filled with plenty of comfortable weather and average monthly temperatures are slightly below-normal in the DC (-3.1°), Philly (-1.3°), and NYC (-1.7°) metro regions. It’ll be warm today to start off the new work week and then the next several days should generally feature cooler-than-normal conditions with high pressure firmly in control of the weather around the Mid-Atlantic.

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6:00 AM | **Occasional showers and thunderstorms likely...Hurricane Erin curves away from the east coast, but rip currents, rough surf, strong winds along coastal sections**

Paul Dorian

An upper-level trough will push into the northeastern states later today and raise the chance for afternoon and nighttime showers and thunderstorms in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor...some of the rain can be heavy at times. Hurricane Erin (category 2) will curve away from the east coast during the next couple of days partly as a result of this incoming upper-level trough and begin to accelerate to the northeast on Thursday and is likely to be positioned over the open waters of the North Atlantic by later this weekend. Despite Erin’s track well to our east, rip currents and rough surf will be a big problem along coastal sections during the next couple of days and there can be some beach erosion and flooding at times.

A second high pressure system takes control of the weather for the late week and beginning of the weekend with sunny weather and comfortable temperatures expected on Friday and Saturday. Looking ahead, there are signs for cooler-than-normal conditions across much of the eastern half of the nation for the last week or so of August and we’ll have two tropical systems to monitor on the heels of Hurricane Erin that are now in the eastern Atlantic (may become Fernand and Gabrielle).

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***Hurricane Erin to curve away from east coast...recent weakening brings it down to category 2...Mid-Atlantic coastline impacted on Thursday...two other tropical systems...cool pattern to set up***

Paul Dorian

Erin has weakened during the past 24 hours and has now lost its “major” hurricane status and is classified as a category 2 storm with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. The long-anticipated curve of Erin has begun with a movement currently to the northwest at 9 mph to be followed by a northerly push on Wednesday and then an acceleration to the northeast on Thursday. While Erin has weakened in recent hours, it has also expanded in size and its outer perimeter winds are likely to reach tropical-storm force levels across the Outer Banks on Wednesday and potentially even to hurricane-force levels. Rip currents and rough surf will extend all the way up the eastern seaboard for the next couple of days and beach erosion/coastal flooding is on the table in many areas. The biggest impact along the Mid-Atlantic coastline will come later Wednesday night and Thursday with strong winds impacting coastal sections from Long Island-to-New Jersey-to-the Delmarva Peninsula.

Looking ahead, there are two other tropical systems now in the eastern Atlantic, and they’ll have to be monitored during the next several days...any impact from these two systems would be from next week into the following week which would take us into the early part of September. Also, a cooler-than-normal weather pattern looks like it’ll set up for much of the eastern half of the nation for the last week or so of the month of August once Hurricane Erin exits off to the open waters of the North Atlantic.

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