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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

6:00 AM | *Weak frontal system can produce a few showers here later today/tonight...another disturbance likely brings showers to the Mid-Atlantic region this weekend*

Paul Dorian

A weak cold front will approach the region later today and it can produce a couple of showers around here, but nothing significant or long-lasting is expected. The front should clear the coast on Friday morning paving the way for a comfortably warm end to the shortened work week and some clearing skies in the afternoon with temperatures peaking near the 80-degree mark. Another disturbance will arrive this weekend and it can cause showers and thunderstorms in the region from later Saturday into Sunday.

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6:00 AM | *Next frontal system approaches on Thursday with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to generate tranquil and warm conditions around here today, but a cold front will head in this direction on Thursday. This next front will raise the chance of showers and thunderstorms later tomorrow and early tomorrow night, but it doesn’t look as widespread of an event as we have experienced in recent days. High pressure should follow the frontal passage for the end of the week with rain-free and warm conditions likely on Friday, but another disturbance can bring us showers during the second half of the upcoming weekend.

Morning video discussion with a focus on El Nino.

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6:00 AM | *High pressure remains in control through mid-week generating warm and dry conditions around here*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to generate tranquil and moderately warm conditions around here through the middle of the week. The next weather system of note will be a cold front that approaches the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday likely bringing with it an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms. High pressure should return for Friday and the upcoming weekend with dry, warm conditions once again returning to the area.

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6:00 AM | *Somewhat unsettled for another day in the Mid-Atlantic region...quieter this Labor Day weekend and becoming more comfortable*

Paul Dorian

Unsettled weather will continue for a bit longer in the NYC metro region with another shower or thunderstorm possible as we close out the work week, but primarily, a rain-free day. The weekend looks to be much quieter as high pressure builds in from our northwest and more comfortable air pushes into the area. Temperatures this weekend will be at or slightly below normal and overall humidity will drop to noticeably more comfortable levels.

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6:00 AM | **Additional showers and thunderstorms as unsettled pattern continues...weekend looking good**

Paul Dorian

The unsettled weather pattern continues for another couple of days in the Mid-Atlantic region with occasional showers and thunderstorms…any storm can be strong and some of the rain can be heavy. After a break in the heat on Wednesday, southwesterly flow should push much warmer air back into the region later today and temperatures likely will climb to the middle 80’s. A comfortable air mass should drop southward into the region for much of the Labor Day weekend featuring at or slightly below-normal temperatures and lowering humidity values.

One final note…anyone planning to travel to Penn State for their first game on Saturday (@3:30pm) can expect to see mainly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper 70’s.

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6:00 AM | **Noticeably cooler today with a low-level E-NE flow of air**

Paul Dorian

A frontal boundary zone has dropped to the south of here and this should knock off several degrees for today’s highs compared to Tuesday as a low-level east-to-northeast flow has formed. There will be the chance of light rain or drizzle today and the chance of showers and thunderstorms later tonight and on Thursday when temperatures will climb back to very warm levels. Any storm that forms later tonight and on Thursday can be strong with heavy downpours on the table. The same front should clear through the region by the end of the week paving the way for a comfortable Labor Day weekend.

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6:00 AM | ***Continued very unsettled for the next few days with a daily shot of showers/storms...some storms can be severe...weekend looking comfortable***

Paul Dorian

The next few days will remain on the unsettled side across the Mid-Atlantic region with an occasional shower or thunderstorm. Any storm that forms can be severe and produce damaging wind gusts and heavy downpours. The month of September will start quite warm as well as unsettled with 85 degree highs on the table for this afternoon. Signs continue to point to a cold frontal passage by the end of the week which should result in a comfortable Labor Day weekend.

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**An active period from Tuesday through Thursday...”ring of fire” region of upper-level ridge to bring multiple strong thunderstorms to the Mid-Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

The peripheral region of an intense upper-level ridge can often be quite an active area for thunderstorms this time of year and this summer has been no exception. Specifically, the northeastern quadrant of an intense upper-level ridge where northwesterly flow dominates in the overall clockwise circulation around high pressure can often contain numerous bands of thunderstorms, complexes of thunderstorms and even long-lasting lines known as derechos. This “ring of fire” region in the outer peripheral of high pressure with northwesterly flow aloft has been repeatedly showing up this summer extending from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic and numerous severe weather outbreaks have been the result. A repeat performance is on the table during the next few days with Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday likely to feature numerous bands of strong-to-severe thunderstorms that will potentially impact the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.

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6:00 | *An unsettled weather pattern through the mid-week...hope for the weekend*

Paul Dorian

The early and middle parts of the week look to be quite unsettled in the NYC metro region with the chance of showers and thunderstorms from time-to-time. Temperatures will climb to near 80 degrees today and then well into the 80’s on Tuesday with that chance of showers and thunderstorms. Looking ahead, the Labor Day weekend could turn out to be quite nice with a comfortable air mass and high pressure to our north taking control.

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6:00 AM | *Weekend looking good for the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

A cold front will cross the region today and push off the eastern seaboard potentially bringing an afternoon shower or thunderstorm to some spots. High pressure builds in for the weekend providing us with warm conditions and plenty of sunshine on both days. It turns warmer and more humid during the early and middle parts of next week after high pressure shifts to the western Atlantic Ocean.

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