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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

7:00 AM | ***A significant rain and wind event from tomorrow into tomorrow night as remnants of TS Nicole ride up along the Appalachian Mountains***

Paul Dorian

A significant wind and rain event is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region from tomorrow into tomorrow night as the remains of Tropical Storm Nicole ride up along the spine of the Appalachian Mountains after making landfall overnight near Vero Beach in east-central Florida. Rainfall amounts around here from the tropical storm can end up in the 1-2 inch range by early Saturday with isolated higher amounts possible and winds can gust up to 50 mph as the storm tracks just to our west. Strong thunderstorms are also possible along the I-95 corridor and to the coast with the threat there for isolated tornadoes. After the exit of Nicole early this weekend, a big-time change to the overall temperature pattern will take place across the eastern states. Temperatures will drop noticeably on Saturday night and after a cold, sunny day on Sunday, they are likely to bottom out below freezing by early Monday morning.

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7:00 AM | ***A significant rain and wind event on Friday/Friday night as tropical storm rides up the Appalachians...a change to a much colder pattern follows the storm***

Paul Dorian

Nicole remains a tropical storm early Wednesday, but it has a good chance of attaining hurricane status later today as it heads for a landfall early Thursday in east-central Florida. The tropical moisture associated with Nicole will then push northeastward through the eastern states resulting in a heavy rain event all the way from Florida-to-Maine with 1-3 inches possible in the Mid-Atlantic region. Winds will become quite gusty on Friday and especially during Friday night and strong-to-severe thunderstorms are also possible given the likely storm track of Nicole that puts the coastal plain in an unstable atmosphere. After the exit of Nicole early this weekend, a big-time change to the overall temperature pattern will take place across the eastern states. Temperatures will drop noticeably on Saturday night and low temperatures by late Sunday night/early Monday morning should be below freezing in most spots.

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12:00 PM | ***TS Nicole headed towards east-central Florida…can reach hurricane status…major rain event from Florida-to-Maine…severe weather threat in coastal plain…cold pattern begins this weekend***

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm Nicole is headed towards east-central Florida for a likely landfall early Thursday morning. Some intensification is likely during the next 24-36 hours before landfall which could result in Nicole reaching category 1 or even 2 hurricane status before making landfall. After landfall, Nicole will be increasingly influenced by a deep upper-level trough over the central states and it’ll turn to the north and northeast resulting in a major rain event all along the east coast from Florida-to-Maine. In addition to the rain, severe weather will be a threat in the coastal plain from the Carolinas to the Northeast US which will be on the right side of the storm track…prime location for tornadic activity. The passage of the tropical system will be part of an overall significant temperature pattern change in the eastern US that will bring much colder weather conditions beginning this weekend and likely lasting through the remainder of November.

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7:00 AM | ***Major rain event Friday/Friday night as tropical moisture rides up the coast...big-time change to cold pattern begins this weekend in wake of storm***

Paul Dorian

Yesterday was very likely the warmest day that we’ll experience around here until next spring as a cold frontal passage has ushered in a noticeably cooler air mass for the next couple of days and a big-time pattern change to cold begins later this weekend. Before we get to the transition to a cold pattern, a major rain event is in the cards for the eastern seaboard from Florida to Maine as tropical moisture associated with Tropical Storm Nicole rides up along the coast. The rain is likely to begin here during the day on Friday and then intensify on Friday night before winding down early Saturday. By later Sunday night into early Monday, a widespread hard freeze will be possible with temperatures likely dropping to well below freezing levels.

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9:00 AM | ***Tropical Storm Nicole to reach Florida later in the week…possibly reaches hurricane status…moisture to ride up along east coast…part of transition to much colder pattern***

Paul Dorian

The tropical scene is still active and kicking in the Atlantic Basin and an area of disturbed weather in recent days has organized into Tropical Storm Nicole over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. This system is likely to reach Florida later this week and there is a chance that it reaches category 1 hurricane status before making landfall. The moisture associated with Nicole is likely to then ride up along the eastern seaboard at week’s end. The passage of the tropical system will be part of an overall significant temperature pattern change across the nation that will bring much colder weather conditions to the central and eastern US.

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7:00 AM | **The end of the week can feature tropical moisture riding up along the eastern seaboard**

Paul Dorian

The week will start off on the warm side, but a cold front swings through later in the day and it’ll usher in cooler air for later tonight and Tuesday. High pressure takes control for the mid-week and then attention will turn down the coast at week’s end. A tropical system could ride up along the eastern seaboard from Friday into Saturday and this could result in a heavy rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region. Following the passage of the tropical system, the weekend is likely to see a flip in the overall temperature pattern to one that is noticeably colder for the eastern states.

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7:00 AM | *Warm this weekend with plenty of low-level moisture in the area*

Paul Dorian

High pressure to our northeast will remain in control of the weather into the weekend. A cool front will approach the region from Sunday into Monday and it does turn cooler by the middle of next week. The location of the high pressure system will allow for an increasingly moist low-level flow of air from the southeast which will result in more clouds here this weekend and the chance of light rain/drizzle and patchy fog.

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7:00 AM | *Nice weather pattern continues into the weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure to our northeast will remain in control of the weather around here during the next few days. As a result, there should be plenty of sunshine into the first half of the weekend and temperatures will be mild by day and on the cool side overnight. A weak frontal system could cause clouds here on Sunday and perhaps a couple of showers, but no significant rainfall is expected.

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10:45 AM | *The tropics remain alive and kicking and signs point to a potential system near the east coast in 7-10 days…overall warm pattern in eastern US can flip for mid and late November*

Paul Dorian

The tropical scene is still active and kicking in the Atlantic Basin as we begin the month of November with a couple systems to currently monitor and signs point to the possibility of another system near the east coast in about 7-10 days. Tropical Storm “Martin” - soon to be Hurricane “Martin” - is located well out over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean and will become a powerful “extratropical” storm in the North Atlantic later this week. “Lisa” is now a category 1 hurricane and is closing in on Belize in Central America and could ultimately emerge over the Bay of Campeche. Elsewhere, the overall pattern looks to remain warmer-than-normal across the eastern US during the next 7-10 days, but important changes can come in terms of temperatures for the middle and latter parts of November.

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7:00 AM | *Nice weather pattern for the remainder of the week*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the region early yesterday and drier air filtered in during the PM hours. High pressure has built into the Northeast US and will be in control of the weather around here over the next few days. The result will be plenty of daily sunshine and comfortably warm temperatures for the beginning of November as the overall weather pattern for the eastern US in coming days will feature above-normal temperatures.

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