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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

7:00 AM | **Low pressure intensifies off Mid-Atlantic coast today...some snow on the table for Tuesday across southeastern PA, central/southern NJ**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will intensify off the Mid-Atlantic coastline today and push to the northeast reaching near southern New England by early Tuesday as a major storm system.  The Philly metro region will be impacted with occasional rain today and tonight and the precipitation can change to all snow or snow showers by early Tuesday.  Small accumulations are possible from this system; especially, in the northern suburbs (e.g., Bucks County). Winds will also pick up in intensity during the next 24 hours and will be remain quite strong on the back side of the storm from tomorrow through Wednesday. High pressure will edge into the region at mid-week generating some sunshine and it turns milder later in the week.

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4:15 PM | ****Low pressure to intensify on Monday off the Mid-Atlantic coastline reaching near Long Island by mid-day Tuesday…snow on Tuesday can swing all the way down into SE PA and southern NJ****

Paul Dorian

It was thirty years ago that the so-called “Storm of the Century” pounded the eastern US all the way from Florida to Maine after what was a relatively quiet winter season of 1992-1993.  In much the same manner, this winter season has been relatively quiet as well in much of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US in terms of cold and snow. However, as was the case thirty years ago, it looks like there will be a late winter March storm that years from now could make this relatively mild winter much more of a memorable season…at least for many of those in the Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | ***Precipitation likely arrives by the early afternoon....rain or a mix to all snow later tonight...watch for possible snow burst early Saturday...next storm Sunday night/Monday***

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active across the nation during the next couple of weeks with most sections experiencing colder-than-normal conditions. In the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US, there may be as many as three storms during the next week or so presenting chances of rain and snow. Precipitation is likely to arrive here with the first system by early afternoon in the form of rain or perhaps a mix of rain and snow. As low pressure intensifies off the Mid-Atlantic coastline later tonight, an influx of colder air will likely change the precipitation to all snow. There can even be a burst of heavier snow early Saturday with an inverted trough extending from the ocean low back to the Mid-Atlantic coastline at the same time there is rapid intensification. Accumulations of a coating to an inch or two are on the table by mid-morning Saturday. Another system threatens with rain and/or snow from late Sunday into Tuesday. This storm could turn into a monster for the Northeast US early next week and it wouldn’t take much to have a significant impact on the northern Mid-Atlantic…stay tuned and so much for an early spring.

One final note, clocks turn ahead an hour this weekend.

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12:45 PM | ****Active, colder pattern with multiple storm threats… possible burst of snow early Saturday eastern PA/NJ with inverted trough...second system can become a monster storm for NE US****

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active across the nation during the next couple of weeks with most sections experiencing colder-than-normal conditions. In the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US, there may be as many as three storms during the next week or so presenting chances of rain and snow. The first threat of rain and snow will come from Friday into Saturday, the second system from late Sunday into Tuesday and this could turn into a monster storm for the NE US, and the potential exists for a third storm around the end of next week.  In all cases, the most favored areas for accumulating snow will be the usual interior, higher elevation locations, but even the I-95 corridor can get some accumulating snow; especially, to the north and west of the big cities.  One interesting aspect about the first storm, it will likely feature an inverted trough extending from the low pressure center over the western Atlantic to the Mid-Atlantic coastline early Saturday and will undergo rapid intensification…both of which can lead to a last minute burst of heavier snow in such places as eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey.

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7:00 AM | ***Two shots at rain and snow in coming days...mid-day tomorrow into early Saturday...later Sunday into Monday***

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain active during the next several days in the Mid-Atlantic region with two upcoming chances of rain and snow.  The first threat of rain and snow here will come from mid-day tomorrow into early Saturday and there will likely be a second chance from later Sunday into Monday. In both cases, the more favored areas for snow will the interior higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic region; however, small accumulations are even on the table in the Philly metro region. 

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1:00 PM | ***Two upcoming threats of rain/snow in the Mid-Atlantic…Friday into early Saturday…Sunday night into Monday...first system to feature inverted trough, off-shore rapid intensification***

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain active during the next several days in the Mid-Atlantic region with two upcoming chances of rain and snow.  The first threat of rain and snow will come from Friday into Saturday and there will likely be a second chance from Sunday night into Monday. In both cases, the more favored areas for snow will the interior higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic; however, even parts of the I-95 corridor can see some accumulating snow. Both systems have to be closely monitored in coming days as, for example, rapid intensification and an “inverted trough” early Saturday morning can result in some last minute surprises.

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7:00 AM | **Still windy and on the chilly side today...threat of snow/rain at week's end**

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active during the next several days with storm threats possible in the Mid-Atlantic region both at week’s end and again early next week. On Friday, low pressure is likely to push towards the northern Ohio Valley, weaken, and a secondary system may form by early Saturday just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The result here can be rain and/or snow in the period from later Friday into early Saturday at which time the ocean low will become the main player. A repeat performance is possible early next week with the possibility of another storm system heading towards the northern Ohio Valley and then a secondary system develops off the Mid-Atlantic coastline.  Stay tuned…the active pattern is getting pretty interesting. 

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12:00 PM | ***An active, colder pattern…MJO, high-latitude blocking…storm threats for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US at week's end and again early next week***

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active during the next several days with storm threats possible in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US both at week’s end and again early next week. The overall weather pattern is also turning colder due in large part to significant high-latitude blocking that has developed over northern Canada/Greenland in response to recent stratospheric warming and to the likely upcoming disappearance of a stubborn ridge over the southern US.

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7:00 AM | *Winds pick up in intensity later today and remain quite strong through Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

Fast-moving low pressure will push away from the east coast this morning and winds will increase markedly by the afternoon in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.  The increasing NW winds can gust to 40 mph from mid-day through the afternoon and they’ll stay strong tonight and on Wednesday as high pressure builds into the Mid-Atlantic region. The on-going active weather pattern will produce another storm threat by early this weekend and perhaps another one early next week, but the details will have to be ironed out over the next few days.   

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12:45 PM **An active and colder pattern…snow late tonight/early Tuesday across portions of PA/NJ…additional threats in the Mid-Atlantic region early this weekend and perhaps again early next week**

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern will remain quite active in the Mid-Atlantic region during the next several days with one quick-moving system late tonight and there can be additional threats both early this weekend and early next week.  This initial system can generate snow or rain changing to snow from late tonight into early Tuesday across portions of upstate Pennsylvania and western New Jersey and some higher-elevation spots can receive as much as 3-6 inches by daybreak. The overall weather pattern is turning colder due in large part to significant high-latitude blocking that has developed over northern Canada/Greenland and to a disappearing stubborn ridge over the southern US.

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