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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **Hurricane Idalia makes landfall as a "major"...remnants to push to the Carolina coastline before high pressure halts its northward advance**

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Idalia makes landfall this morning as a “major” along Florida’s Gulf coast and will push to the northeast over the next 24-36 hours likely reaching the Carolina coastline by early Thursday. High pressure to our west will build into the Northeast US in this same 24-36 hour time period halting any northward advance of Idalia past the state of North Carolina. This same high pressure system will stay in control of the weather here in the Mid-Atlantic region for the remainder of the week providing us with comfortable temperatures as we end the month of August.

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12:45 PM | ***Idalia to reach “major” hurricane status before landfall early tomorrow…remnants of Idalia to meander off the coast...Franklin heads for the North Atlantic***

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Idalia continues to intensify today as it encounters more favorable environmental conditions with diminished wind shear and it is likely to attain “major” classification of category 3 or higher before making landfall early tomorrow along Florida’s Gulf coast. Hurricane Idalia will then turn northeast, weaken slowly, and push towards the Carolina coastline as it becomes increasingly influenced by building high pressure ridging aloft to its west and north. As a result of the developing widespread upper-level ridge, Idalia will likely meander over the western Atlantic Ocean for several days and there is even an outside chance that it could loop back around to revisit Florida in a weakened state about a week from now. Meanwhile, Hurricane Franklin maintains status as a category 4 “major” system. It will pass to the northwest of Bermuda on Wednesday bringing tropical storm conditions to the island. After that, Hurricane Franklin will push northeastward to the open waters of the North Atlantic as southwesterly flow ahead of an incoming upper-level trough steers it in that direction.

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7:00 AM | **Hurricane Idalia can actually help to dry out the atmosphere around here at mid-week as it passes off to our east**

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Idalia will likely strengthen over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later today and it could reach “major” hurricane status before landfall along Florida’s Gulf coast early Wednesday. After that, Idalia will push towards the GA/SC coastal region and then ultimately to a position just off the Carolina coastline. This tropical cyclone will actually help to dry out our atmosphere on Wednesday after another volatile day today that likely features additional showers and storms across the region.

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7:00 AM | **Unsettled into tomorrow with the chance of showers and PM thunderstorms are possible...Idalia now a hurricane is headed for an early Wednesday landfall along Florida's Gulf coast**

Paul Dorian

A stalled-out frontal system will keep it unsettled around here with some drizzle possible this morning and the chance of showers during the afternoon. Thunderstorms can mix into the picture later today and tonight and some of the rain that falls can be heavy at times. Temperatures will remain in the comfortable zone for the latter part of August with highs later today in the upper 70’s. High pressure will then likely take control of the weather for the second half of the week as it looks like the remnants of Hurricane Idalia will stay to our south and east. Hurricane Idalia is likely to reach “major” hurricane status before making landfall early tomorrow along Florida’s Gulf coast.

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7:00 AM | **Unsettled into tomorrow with the chance of showers and PM thunderstorms are possible...Idalia now a hurricane is headed for an early Wednesday landfall along Florida's Gulf coast**

Paul Dorian

A stalled-out frontal system will keep it unsettled around here with some drizzle possible this morning and the chance of showers during the afternoon. Thunderstorms can mix into the picture later today and tonight and some of the rain that falls can be heavy at times. Temperatures will remain in the comfortable zone for the latter part of August with highs later today in the upper 70’s. High pressure will then likely take control of the weather for the second half of the week as it looks like the remnants of Hurricane Idalia will stay to our southeast. Hurricane Idalia is likely to reach “major” hurricane status before making landfall early tomorrow along Florida’s Gulf coast.

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7:00 AM | **Unsettled into tomorrow with the chance of showers and PM thunderstorms are possible...Idalia now a hurricane is headed for an early Wednesday landfall along Florida's Gulf coast**

Paul Dorian

A stalled-out frontal system will keep it unsettled around here with some drizzle possible this morning and the chance of showers during the afternoon. Thunderstorms can mix into the picture during the PM hours and some of the rain that falls can be heavy at times. Temperatures will remain in the comfortable zone for the latter part of August with highs later today in the lower 80’s. High pressure will then likely take control of the weather for the second half of the week as it looks like the remnants of Hurricane Idalia will stay to our south and east. Hurricane Idalia is likely to reach “major” hurricane status before making landfall early tomorrow along Florida’s Gulf coast.

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2:30 PM | ***”Idalia” likely to reach “major” hurricane status before landfall at mid-week along Florida’s Gulf coast…”Franklin” now a category 4 hurricane to head out to the North Atlantic***

Paul Dorian

Franklin has climbed to category 4 “major” hurricane status and will fortunately spend its time in the foreseeable future over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. While it does bring tropical storm conditions to Bermuda early Wednesday, a deep trough moving off the NE US coastline will help to steer it northeastward and out to the open waters of the North Atlantic Ocean. Meanwhile, “Idalia” has reached strong tropical storm status today and is knocking on the doorstep of being declared a full-fledged hurricane. Tropical Storm Idalia will spill out over the eastern Gulf of Mexico by early Tuesday, begin an intensification process, and likely reach the Gulf coast region of Florida early Wednesday to the north of the Tampa Bay region.

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7:00 AM | **Comfortable temperatures and unsettled in Mid-Atlantic next couple of days...watching TS Idalia which hits western Florida by mid-week potentially as a "major" hurricane**

Paul Dorian

The week begins with high pressure to our north and a frontal system to our south that will soon begin a movement to the north. This front stalls nearby later tonight and Tuesday and then a cool front approaches on Tuesday night. As a result, showers cannot be rule out later today and tonight and are likely later tomorrow and tomorrow night and thunderstorms can mix into the picture. High pressure will try to take control of the weather later this week, but we’ll have to watch the northward advancement of Tropical Storm Idalia. TS Idalia is likely to strengthen to “major” hurricane status before hitting the west side of Florida around late Tuesday night and then push northeastward to the Carolinas. Given this track, winds could become an issue by Thursday across places like southeastern Virginia and the Delmarva Peninsula…a system to closely monitor in coming days.

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7:00 AM | **Chance of showers/storms to start the new work week...some of the rain can be heavy**

Paul Dorian

Last week featured very hot weather across the Tennessee Valley with highs well up in the 90’s on most days, but the week ahead will be quite different. In fact, high temperatures look to be confined to the low-to-mid 80’s for much of the week although it’ll be unsettled as well with the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms. In fact, the showers today can be heavy at times and there can be thunderstorms mixed into the picture. Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Idalia has begun intensification over the NW Caribbean and it is likely to heads towards Florida’s Gulf coast by mid-week and, ultimately, may actually bring drier air into the northern part of Alabama after another volatile day on Tuesday.

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7:00 AM | **Comfortable temperatures and unsettled in Mid-Atlantic next couple of days...watching TS Idalia which hits western Florida by mid-week potentially as a "major" hurricane**

Paul Dorian

The week begins with high pressure to our north and a frontal system to our south that will soon begin a movement to the north. This front stalls nearby later tonight and Tuesday and then a cool front approaches on Tuesday night. As a result, showers cannot be rule out today and tonight and are likely on Tuesday and Tuesday night and thunderstorms can mix into the picture. High pressure will try to take control of the weather later this week, but we’ll have to watch the northward advancement of Tropical Storm Idalia. TS Idalia is likely to strengthen to “major” hurricane status before hitting the west side of Florida around late Tuesday night and then push northeastward to the Carolinas. Given this track, winds could become an issue by Thursday across places like southeastern Virginia and the Delmarva Peninsula…a system to closely monitor in coming days.

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