Philly and DC have not seen 90 degrees yet this month, but that is about to change in a big way. It’ll turn very warm on Thursday and Friday and 90 degree highs are certainly on the table, but the real heat comes next week. In fact, there is a chance for an extended period of 90+ degrees beginning next Monday which will follow what should be a pretty decent Father’s Day weekend. The nice weekend weather will be set up by the passage of a cool front on Friday night that can spark some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity.
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High pressure remains in control today and there will be plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. It turns warmer on Thursday and then temperatures should reach 90 degrees on Friday to close out the work week. There is a cold front headed this way for Friday night and it could produce a few strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the area late in the day or at night. The passage of the front is likely to set us up for a nice Father’s Day weekend with highs on both days in the 80’s…hot next week.
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High pressure remains in control today and there will be some sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. It turns warmer on Thursday and then temperatures should reach the lower 90’s on Friday to close out the work week. There is a cold front headed this way for Friday night and it could produce a few strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the area late in the day or at night. The passage of the front is likely to set us up for a nice Father’s Day weekend with highs on both days in the 80’s…hot next week.
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High pressure remains in control today and there will be plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. It turns warmer on Thursday and then temperatures should reach 90 degrees on Friday to close out the work week. There is a cold front headed this way for Friday night and it could produce a few strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the area late in the day or at night. The passage of the front is likely to set us up for a nice Father’s Day weekend with highs on both days in the 80’s…hot next week.
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The remainder of the week looks very warm across the Denver metro region with middle 90’s on the table for highs by Wednesday and Thursday. It turns cooler by the end of the week and scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to return to the area.
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An upper-level low will keep it comfortable around here for the next couple of days, but it turns hot by week’s end. In fact, temperatures are likely to reach the low-to-middle 90’s for highs from Thursday through Sunday with scattered showers and thunderstorms on the table each day.
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An upper-level low will swing across the northern Mid-Atlantic region today and it will produce some instability in the atmosphere and perhaps even an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Later in the week, an upper-level ridge will edge eastward and temperatures should climb to 90 degrees or so by Thursday afternoon and then the low-to-mid 90’s on Friday. A cold front will slide through the region on Friday night – perhaps sparking a few PM showers and thunderstorms – and temperatures will drop a bit this weekend with highs likely in the mid-to-upper 80’s on both days.
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An upper-level low will swing across the northern Mid-Atlantic region today and it will produce some instability in the atmosphere and perhaps a few scattered showers and thunderstorms. Later in the week, an upper-level ridge will edge eastward and temperatures should climb to 90 degrees or so by Friday afternoon. A cold front will slide through the region on Friday night – perhaps sparking a few PM showers and thunderstorms – and temperatures will drop a bit this weekend with highs likely in the middle 80’s on both days.
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An upper-level low will swing across the northern Mid-Atlantic region today and it will cause some instability in the atmosphere and perhaps a few scattered PM showers and thunderstorms. Later in the week, an upper-level ridge will edge eastward and temperatures are likely to climb to 90 degrees on Thursday and Friday. A cold front will slide through the region on Friday night – perhaps sparking a few PM showers and thunderstorms – and temperatures will drop a bit this weekend with highs likely in the low-to-mid 80’s on both days.
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Numerous signs point to an active tropical season this year in the Atlantic Basin with more tropical storms, hurricanes, and “major” hurricanes compared to the long-term averages. The average number of named tropical storms in an Atlantic Basin tropical season is 14.4 with 7.2 of those reaching (minimal) hurricane status, and 3.2 becoming “major” (1991-2020 baseline period).
Based on my overall analysis of current and forecasted atmospheric and oceanic conditions, I expect around 16 named storms this season with around 9 reaching hurricane status and of those perhaps as many as 4 to achieve “major” classification level. Another metric to use in the assessment of overall tropical activity is known as the accumulated cyclone energy or ACE which utilizes both strength and longevity of tropical storms in its calculation and I expect this to be 150-160% of normal in the Atlantic Basin this tropical season.
The two most important parameters that have been factored into the “2024 Tropical Outlook” include: (1) the development of La Nina in the equatorial part of the Pacific Ocean and (2) warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in much of the breeding grounds region of the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea…both of which are favorable for the development and intensification of tropical activity. I believe the most vulnerable areas to be directly impacted this upcoming tropical season include those in and around the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and Southeast US.
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