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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *Coolest temperatures so far this fall season coming tomorrow night in the Mid-Atlantic region...another cool shot next week*

Paul Dorian

A weak cool front will cross the region tonight and it’ll usher in a reinforcing cool air mass that sticks around for the next couple of days. In fact, the lowest temperatures of the season so far will take place in the late night hours with overnight lows in the lower 40’s. It’ll warm up slightly on Saturday with high pressure in control and temperatures climbing back into the 70’s, but another cold frontal passage will usher in cooler air for the second half of the upcoming weekend.

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10:15 AM (Tuesday) | ****Major Hurricane Milton likely makes landfall on Wednesday night near Tampa Bay****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Milton intensified rapidly on Monday reaching category 5 status with maximum sustained winds as high as 180 mph and a central pressure that dropped all the way down to 897 millibars (26.44 inches). There has been some weakening in the overnight hours and during the early hours of Tuesday with the latest measurements featuring maximum sustained winds of 145 mph (category 4) and the central pressure of Milton has risen more than 30 millibars since the low point on Monday of 929 millibars (27.43 inches). Hurricane Milton will gradually take a turn to the northeast during the next 12-24 hours and likely make a landfall on Wednesday night somewhere near the Tampa Bay region of Florida’s Gulf coast. After landfall, Hurricane Milton will cross the state as a hurricane and then emerge later Thursday out over the open waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

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7:00 AM | *Dry, cool conditions for the next few days*

Paul Dorian

A cold front pushed through the area yesterday paving the way for a dry and cool week across the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure will control the weather for the next few days and there will be a reinforcing cold frontal passage on Wednesday night. High temperatures should generally be confined to the 60’s and overnight lows in the 40’s. The coldest night of the season so far could be on Thursday night with lows in the lower 40’s across most suburban locations.

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7:00 AM | *Dry, cool conditions for the next few days*

Paul Dorian

A cold front pushed through the area yesterday paving the way for a dry and cool week across the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure will control the weather for the next few days and there will be a reinforcing cold frontal passage on Wednesday night. High temperatures should generally be confined to the 60’s and overnight lows in the 40’s. The coldest night of the season so far could be on Thursday night with lows in the lower 40’s, but a few outlying locations spots could see the upper 30’s.  

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7:00 AM | *Dry, cool conditions for the next few days*

Paul Dorian

A cold front pushed through the area yesterday paving the way for a dry and cool week across the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure will control the weather for the next few days and there will be a reinforcing cold frontal passage on Wednesday night. High temperatures should generally be confined to the 60’s and overnight lows in the 40’s. The coldest night of the season so far could be on Thursday night with lows near 40 degrees and a few outlying locations spots could see the upper 30’s.  

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11:30 AM - ****Hurricane Milton has intensified rapidly and is on the doorstep of “category 5” designation...headed for a possible late Wednesday landfall right near Tampa Bay****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Milton has intensified rapidly during the past 24 hours over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and is now classified as a strong category 4 “major” hurricane...just on the doorstep of a category 5 designation. Given the very favorable environmental conditions, Hurricane Milton is likely to reach category 5 status later today as it heads slowly to the east-southeast. Hurricane Milton is expected to turn to the northeast later tomorrow which would bring the system to Florida’s Gulf coast region by later Wednesday...likely right near or just to the north of Tampa Bay. There can be some weakening of Hurricane Milton in the hours before landfall due to some “late in the game” dry air intrusion; however, landfall as a “major” would still be quite possible during the PM hours on Wednesday. With a possible landfall near or just to the north of Tampa Bay, storm surge in the bay region would be significant...perhaps as high 8-12 feet. After landfall, Hurricane Milton is likely to cross over the Florida Peninsula as a hurricane, and then exit off the east coast on Thursday to the open waters of the southwestern Atlantic.

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7:00 AM | *Another possible "major" hurricane that is headed to Florida's Gulf coast by mid-week*

Paul Dorian

A frontal system will push through the area today and pave the way for a generally dry week featuring warm days and cool nights. High temperatures during the next few days will be near the 80-degree mark and overnight lows in the lower 50’s with high pressure remaining in control. On the tropical scene, Tropical Storm Milton is likely to intensify into a “major” hurricane during the next couple of days as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico from west-to-east with a possible landfall at mid-week somewhere along Florida’s western Gulf coast.

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7:00 AM | *Dry and quite warm for the bulk of the week...cool shot possible by the weekend*

Paul Dorian

The overall pattern during the next few days will feature dry and warm conditions across the region and an elevated risk for wildfires. High temperatures during the week will generally fall into the range of the low-to-mid 80’s which is well above normal for this time of year. There are signs of a cool down by the weekend with the likely passage of a late week cold frontal system.

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