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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | *Dry, cool conditions today, tomorrow, and Sunday and the wind will be a noticeable factor much of the time*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure moves off the Carolina coastline this morning and there will be gradual clearing across our region with an increase in winds from the northwest. High pressure ridging will edge into the area for the weekend leading to dry, cool conditions and winds will remain quite noticeable on Saturday as the pressure gradient remains strong between the departing low and incoming high. Temperatures today will likely peak in the mid-to-upper 50’s for afternoon highs and then climb to the lower 60’s on both weekend days.

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11:00 AM | ***An update on the tropical system over the Caribbean Sea (and there is some good news for the Gulf coast)...an early preview of winter coming to the central/eastern US***

Paul Dorian

It is not all that unusual for the “last hurrah” of an Atlantic Basin tropical season to be followed by an influx of winter-like cold into the central and eastern US and, in some cases, it is a “pattern-changing” type of event. One such example of this kind of scenario unfolded with Hurricane Sandy at the end of October during 2012 which was then followed by a colder-than-normal month of November in almost all areas east of the Mississippi River. (In fact, cold air not only followed Hurricane Sandy, but actually wrapped into it with as much as 3 feet of snow piling up in portions of West Virginia during that event). It appears that this tropical season may finally wind down after the ultimate demise of the latest system now over the Caribbean Sea and cold air intrusions into the central and eastern may become much more commonplace beginning late next week. The tropical system is likely to intensify into a named tropical storm (“Sara”) in the near-term, but an extended time period over land will likely reduce its potential impact on the US Gulf coast.

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7:00 AM | *Chilly today with occasional rain from later this afternoon into late tonight*

Paul Dorian

A cool front and a developing low pressure system will approach the I-95 corridor from the west later today and they will combine to produce rainfall in the DC metro region from mid-to-late afternoon until late tonight. High pressure returns to the region for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday leading to a 3-day stretch of dry and cool weather conditions and the wind will be quite noticeable at times.

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7:00 AM | *Showers in the I-95 corridor later today, but primarily to the south of the PA/MD border*

Paul Dorian

A cool front and a developing low pressure system will approach the I-95 corridor from the west later today and they will produce showers; primarily, to the south of the PA/MD border. As a result, while areas to the south of the Mason-Dixon Line experience occasional rain later today and tonight, the Philly metro region may receive nothing more than an evening shower or two from these weather systems. High pressure returns to the region for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday leading to a 3-day stretch of dry and cool weather conditions and the wind will be quite noticeable at times.

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7:00 AM | *Shower activity later today stays primarily to the south and west of here*

Paul Dorian

A cool front and a developing low pressure system will approach the I-95 corridor from the west later today and they will produce showers; primarily, to the south of the PA/MD border. As a result, while clouds will thicken up here today, the NYC metro region is likely to experience nothing more than an evening sprinkle from these weather systems. High pressure returns to the region for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday leading to a 3-day stretch of dry and cool weather conditions and the wind will be quite noticeable at times.

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1:00 PM | **An update on the newest tropical system...very impressive upcoming cold shots for the central/eastern states**

Paul Dorian

It is not all that unusual for the “last hurrah” of an Atlantic Basin tropical season to be followed by an influx of winter-like cold into the central and eastern US and, in some cases, it is a “pattern-changing” type of event. One such example of this kind of scenario unfolded with Hurricane Sandy at the end of October during 2012 which was then followed by a colder-than-normal November in most areas east of the Mississippi. (In fact, cold air actually wrapped into Hurricane Sandy with as much as 3 feet of snow in West Virginia during that event). It appears a tropical system now forming over the Caribbean Sea may cross the Yucatan Peninsula by early next week and it then can take a turn to the northeast. Hopefully, this tropical system will weaken during its encounter with the Yucatan Peninsula and before a possible northeast turn towards the state of Florida. At the same time, cold air will be charging southeastward from Canada into the central states and other very impressive-looking cold shots are destined to work their way into the central and eastern states later in the month.

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7:00 AM | *Quite cool today and cold again later tonight...nothing more than a shower or two late tomorrow/tomorrow night*

Paul Dorian

Some of the lowest temperatures so far this fall season have greeted this early Wednesday morning with overnight lows along the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor ranging from the upper 20’s to lower 30’s. It stays quite cool today despite plenty of sunshine and then temperatures drop to quite cold levels again late tonight. On Thursday, a front and its associated weak low pressure system will approach from the west and it will produce some shower activity in the Mid-Atlantic region from late in the day to early tomorrow night. The best chance of showers will come south of the PA/MD border in the region from DC-to-Delmarva Peninsula with nothing more than a shower or two likely across the Philly-to-New York City corridor. High pressure returns to the region for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday leading to a 3-day stretch of dry and cool weather conditions.

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7:00 AM | *Quite cool today....chilly tonight...showers here tomorrow afternoon into early tomorrow night*

Paul Dorian

Some of the lowest temperatures so far this fall season have greeted this early Wednesday morning with overnight lows along the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor ranging from the upper 20’s to lower 30’s. It stays quite cool today despite plenty of sunshine and then temperatures drop to cold levels again late tonight. On Thursday, a front and its associated weak low pressure system will approach from the west and it will produce some shower activity in the Mid-Atlantic region from later in the afternoon to early tomorrow night. The best chance of showers will come south of the PA/MD border in the region from DC-to-Delmarva Peninsula with nothing more than a shower or two likely across the Philly-to-New York City corridor. High pressure returns to the region for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday leading to a 3-day stretch of dry and cool weather conditions.

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