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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *Windy and cold next couple of days...some snow possible late Friday night/early Saturday...looks like a light event*

Paul Dorian

Winds will be a big factor for the next couple of days with Arctic high pressure in control to go along with the continuing below-normal temperatures. Gusts can exceed 30 mph today from a northwesterly direction and potentially reach 45 mph on Thursday. Low pressure will form over the Gulf of Mexico later tomorrow and produce a lot of snow and ice for the southern states from Texas-to-Georgia over the next couple of days. It will head northeast towards the Mid-Atlantic coastal waters by the early part of the weekend and could produce some snow around here from late Friday night into Saturday morning…looking like a light event for us.

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7:00 AM | ****Several inches of accumulating snow on the table for northern Alabama****

Paul Dorian

Very cold air has penetrated way down into the Deep South and it is going to set the stage for significant snow and ice across the southern US during the next couple of days. Low pressure is likely to form over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico later tomorrow and head slowly to the northeast bringing snow here from late tomorrow night through the morning hours on Friday. The snow can be heavy at times by Friday morning and it can mix with rain…several inches of snow accumulation are on the table (preliminary estimates of 3-6 inches). This system will push to the northeast of here by the early weekend ushering in a reinforcing cold air mass for the Tennessee Valley region.

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11:00 AM | ***Monitoring a late week/early weekend storm threat...significant snow/ice in southern states...some snow possible in Mid-Atlantic, but it looks like a light event***

Paul Dorian

This cold and active weather pattern threatens to produce another storm system later this week that can have an impact from the Deep South to the eastern seaboard. Low pressure will organize over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico later this week...much farther to the south compared to the most recent storm system which originated over the central Plains. As such, there can be an impact in the Deep South and including the potential of accumulating snow from Dallas-to-Little Rock-to-Memphis and a swath of disruptive ice from Texas to the Carolinas.

After that, the low pressure system likely heads towards the eastern seaboard and the exact track will be critical as well as the timing of its intensification along the coast in determining how much impact there can be in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. A rapid intensification of the surface low along the Mid-Atlantic coastline could mean significant accumulating snow in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from late Friday night into Saturday. However, if the system doesn’t intensify significantly until it passes to the north and east of the Mid-Atlantic region - the most likely scenario - then any snow would likely be on the light side.

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7:00 AM | **Cold and windy today with wind chills in the single digits...some snow possible late Friday night and Saturday**

Paul Dorian

The low pressure system that brought significant snow to the region on Monday is now well offshore and a reinforcing Arctic air mass has followed in its wake riding in on strong NW winds. Temperatures will do no better today for afternoon highs than around the 30 degree mark and strong winds of up to 40 mph will produce wind chill values in the single digits. High pressure dominates for the next few days providing us with some sunshine on a daily basis to go along with the below-normal temperatures and then we’ll have to monitor a southern storm system by the weekend to see if it can impact the area with some snowfall.

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7:00 AM | **Cold and windy today with wind chills in the single digits...some snow possible late Friday night and Saturday**

Paul Dorian

The low pressure system that brought snow to the region on Monday is now well offshore and a reinforcing Arctic air mass has followed in its wake riding in on strong NW winds. Temperatures will do no better today for afternoon highs than around the 30 degree mark and strong winds of up to 40 mph will produce wind chill values in the single digits. High pressure dominates for the next few days providing us with some sunshine on a daily basis to go along with the below-normal temperatures and then we’ll have to monitor a southern storm system by the weekend to see if it can impact the area with some snowfall.

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7:00 AM | ***Lingering snow this morning...some of the coldest temperatures so far this season in the overnight hours***

Paul Dorian

Some lingering snow this morning that can produce another 1-2 inches of accumulation and then skies should gradually clear later in the day. Under mainly clear skies tonight, temperatures will fall to some of the lowest levels so far this season bottoming out in the upper single digits in many spots. It stays quite cold across the region through the middle part of the week and then turns slightly milder late in the week.

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7:00 AM | **Cold and windy today with wind chills in the single digits...some snow possible late Friday night and Saturday**

Paul Dorian

The low pressure system that brought a touch of snow to the region on Monday is now well offshore and a reinforcing Arctic air mass has followed in its wake riding in on strong NW winds. Temperatures will do no better today for afternoon highs than around the 30 degree mark and strong winds of up to 40 mph will produce wind chill values in the single digits. High pressure dominates for the next few days providing us with some sunshine on a daily basis to go along with the below-normal temperatures and then we’ll have to monitor a southern storm system by the weekend to see if it can impact the area with some snowfall.

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2:00 PM | ***”Backend” snow to deal with in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region from the current winter storm...monitoring a late week/early weekend storm threat for the Deep South and eastern states***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure that has produced accumulating snow today in much of the Mid-Atlantic region will shift to the western Atlantic Ocean during the next hour or so; however, it is not necessarily through with our area just yet. Snow is developing in the northwest sector of this eastward-moving storm system and this “backend” snow will impact the region from DC-to-the-Delmarva-to-southern NJ late today and early tonight and likely up across southern PA as well. In fact, there can be additional snow accumulations in some areas of up to a couple of inches before the precipitation shield finally fully departs the Mid-Atlantic region. On the backside of the storm late tonight and Tuesday, stiff NW winds will develop and can gust past 40 mph or so making it feel even colder than the actual air temperatures.

Looking ahead, this cold and active weather pattern threatens to produce another storm system late this week and weekend. This time, the location of the storm development will be way down south likely over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico by week’s end. As such, there can be an impact in the Deep South and this can even include significant accumulating snow and ice across places like Texas and Arkansas. After that, the low pressure system likely heads towards the eastern seaboard and the timing of its intensification along the coast will be critical in determining how much impact there can be in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. A quick intensification along the Mid-Atlantic coastline could mean significant accumulating snow in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor or the system may “wait” until it pushes farther to the north and east to intensify which would likely limit any big impact to eastern New England.

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7:00 AM | **A cold week ahead for the Tennessee Valley**

Paul Dorian

The week ahead will be quite cold across the southeastern states and there can be some snow shower activity in the area today to go along with the below-normal temperatures. By late in the week, low pressure will likely try to form over the Gulf of Mexico and it can spread some rain and/or snow into the region later Friday or Saturday.

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