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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *A cold front working its way through the region...pretty nice weather on Tuesday and Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

There will be clouds and lingering showers early today as a cold front works its way through the region and then high pressure takes control later today with some clearing skies. In fact, the next couple of days will be rather nice around here with mild conditions and plenty of sunshine on Tuesday and Wednesday. A strong cold front approaches on Thursday and it will bring additional showers to the area with colder air to follow for the end of the week.

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6:15 AM | *****Severe weather threat comes in two time frames...late tonight into mid-morning on Saturday...mid-day Saturday into Saturday evening*****

Paul Dorian

A powerful low pressure system will form in the central Plains on Friday and take a northeastward track towards the western Great Lakes region. There will be strong support in the upper-atmosphere for this system and a second strong upper-level low will slide eastward across the southern states on Saturday morning and then turn northeast to the Tennessee Valley. This southern system will combine with multiple jet streaks to help destabilize the atmosphere here from late tonight through tomorrow evening.  As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely here from late tonight into Saturday night and some of the thunderstorms can reach severe levels with damaging wind gusts and strong tornadoes on the table. The greatest chance for severe weather may be in two different time frames…one being late tonight between 1 and 7am and the second from mid-day Saturday to late evening Saturday...stay tuned to all local warnings.

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6:15 AM | ***Windy, warm and wet on Sunday with possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

There will be plenty of cloudiness around early today, but clearing skies this afternoon can allow for temperatures to turn milder compared to Thursday and then they’ll surge later this weekend to very mild levels on Sunday. The weekend will become quite wet, however, with the chance of light rain/drizzle on Saturday and Saturday night, and then occasional rainfall is likely on Sunday. The rain on Sunday can become heavy at times and the winds can be quite strong as a cold front slides eastward towards the coast. In addition, there can be a strong-to-severe thunderstorm or two raising the chance for damaging wind gusts in the Mid-Atlantic region. It turns cooler on Monday following the passage of a cold front, but as is increasingly common for this time of year, the cool down should be short-lived. It should become very mild again in the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week.

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6:15 AM | ****Powerful low pressure brings colder and very windy conditions to the region with gusts possible to 55 mph****

Paul Dorian

It turns much cooler on Friday as we become influenced by a potent, quick-moving storm system and there can be rain and/or snow showers to go along with very strong winds that can gust to 55 mph. The weather settles down some on Saturday, but it’ll remain on the chilly side to go along with partly sunny skies. It turns warmer and drier for the early part of next week (Sunday, Monday) only to turn colder again by the middle of next week.

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6:15 AM | ***Windy, warm and wet on Sunday with possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

There will be plenty of cloudiness around early today, but clearing skies this afternoon can allow for temperatures to turn milder compared to Thursday and then they’ll surge later this weekend to very mild levels on Sunday. The weekend will become quite wet, however, with the chance of light rain/drizzle on Saturday and Saturday night, and then occasional rainfall is likely on Sunday. The rain on Sunday can become heavy at times and the winds can be quite strong as a cold front slides eastward towards the coast. In addition, there can be a strong-to-severe thunderstorm or two raising the chance for damaging wind gusts in the Mid-Atlantic region. It turns cooler on Monday following the passage of a cold front, but as is increasingly common for this time of year, the cool down should be short-lived. It should become very mild again in the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week.

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6:15 AM | ***Windy, warm and wet on Sunday with possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

There will be plenty of cloudiness around early today, but clearing skies this afternoon can allow for temperatures to turn milder compared to Thursday and then they’ll surge later this weekend to very mild levels on Sunday. The weekend will become quite wet, however, with the chance of light rain/drizzle on Saturday and Saturday night, and then occasional rainfall is likely on Sunday. The rain on Sunday can become heavy at times and the winds can be quite strong as a cold front slides eastward towards the coast. In addition, there can be a strong-to-severe thunderstorm or two raising the chance for damaging wind gusts in the Mid-Atlantic region. It turns cooler on Monday following the passage of a cold front, but as is increasingly common for this time of year, the cool down should be short-lived. It should become very mild again in the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week.

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****An intense storm system and a multi-day severe weather threat from the central US to the east coast****

Paul Dorian

Numerous ingredients are coming together for what is likely to be a multi-day severe weather event from the central US to the east coast during the period from later Friday to Sunday night. These ingredients include not just one, but two strong upper-level lows, powerful jet streaks at multiple levels of the atmosphere, an influx of warm, humid air on the storm’s front side, and a surface low pressure system that will deepen to rarely ever seen barometric pressure levels as it moves from the central Plains to the western Great Lakes. All severe weather parameters are on the table during this multi-day event including swaths of intense and damaging winds, strong tornadoes, hail, and torrential rainfall that can result in flash flooding.

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7:00 AM | **A potent and quick-moving storm system can produce 40 mph wind gusts here on Friday**

Paul Dorian

It remains quite mild for another day around here with temperatures climbing to well up in the 60’s and there will be plenty of sunshine. It turns much cooler on Friday as we become influenced by a potent, quick-moving storm system and there can be rain and/or snow showers to go along with very strong winds. The weather settles down some on Saturday, but it’ll remain on the chilly side to go along with partly sunny skies.

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7:00 AM | *Still on the cool side with an ocean flow of air...total lunar eclipse late tonight may be impeded by low cloud cover*

Paul Dorian

An ocean flow of air will continue to keep it on the cool side around here and there will be plenty of low clouds around limiting any potential heating during the day. There is a total lunar eclipse later tonight, but these same low clouds can have a negative impact on overall viewing conditions. If it is indeed visible, the “totality” phase of the lunar eclipse will last for about an hour from around 2:30-3:30 AM.

Temperatures will climb a bit on Friday with the possible return of some sunshine, and then they’ll surge this weekend to very mild levels on both Saturday and Sunday. The weekend will become quite wet, however, with the chance of showers later Saturday and Saturday night and then occasional rainfall on Sunday. The rain on Sunday can become heavy at times as a strong cold front slides eastward towards the coast and there can be a strong thunderstorm included as well. It turns cooler on Monday in the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of the cold frontal system, but the cool down will be brief and we’ll get very mild again by the middle of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Still on the cool side with an ocean flow of air...total lunar eclipse late tonight may be impeded by low cloud cover*

Paul Dorian

An ocean flow of air will continue to keep it on the cool side around here and there will be plenty of low clouds around limiting any potential heating during the day. There is a total lunar eclipse later tonight, but these same low clouds can have a negative impact on overall viewing conditions. If it is indeed visible, the “totality” phase of the lunar eclipse will last for about an hour from around 2:30-3:30 AM.

Temperatures will climb a bit on Friday with the possible return of some sunshine, and then they’ll surge this weekend to very mild levels on both Saturday and Sunday. The weekend will become quite wet, however, with the chance of showers later Saturday and Saturday night and then occasional rainfall on Sunday. The rain on Sunday can become heavy at times as a strong cold front slides eastward towards the coast and there can be a strong thunderstorm included as well. It turns cooler on Monday in the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of the cold frontal system, but the cool down will be brief and we’ll get very mild again by the middle of next week.

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