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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

2:00 PM (Wednesday) - ***Back door cool front to break the back of the heat wave...transition to cooler conditions to come with showers and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

Today will feature high heat and humidity once again in the Mid-Atlantic region and high temperature records for the date are likely to be set in many locations. There is relief on the way, however, thanks to a back door cool front that will push southwestward from northern New England during the next couple of days. Temperatures will be much reduced in the Mid-Atlantic region by Friday afternoon as an ocean flow of air (east-to-northwest winds) develops following the passage of the back door cool front. The transition from today’s high heat and humidity to the cool down at the end of the week will come with scattered showers and thunderstorms and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe.

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***DCA reaches 99 degrees...one more day of intense heat and humidity...70's by Friday following back door cool frontal passage...scattered showers and strong storms between now and then***

Paul Dorian

The official high temperature yesterday recorded at Reagan National Airport (DCA) was 99 degrees which was just short of the record for the date. The very strong upper-level ridge of high pressure parked overhead during the past couple of days will begin to break down later today and also shift slowly to the south. At the same time, surface high pressure will build across southeastern Canada and the combination of these two systems will allow for the formation of a back door cool front that will push southwestward from northern New England over the next couple of days. As a result, relief is in sight here in terms of temperatures and precipitation chances will be on the rise. There can be isolated shower and thunderstorm activity later today and early tonight and that threat of rain should increase on Thursday. Any storm that forms either late today or on Thursday in the Mid-Atlantic region can reach strong-to-severe levels. Unsettled weather conditions will continue on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday and a look ahead to next week suggests temperatures could be quite reasonable as the calendar shifts from June to July.

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6:15 AM | ***Philly reaches 101 degrees...one more day of high heat and humidity...70's by Friday following back door cool frontal passage...scattered showers and strong storms between now and then***

Paul Dorian

The official high temperature yesterday recorded at Philly International Airport (PHL) was 101 degrees which broke a record for the date and was the first triple-digit reading since July 2012. The very strong upper-level ridge of high pressure parked overhead during the past couple of days will begin to break down later today and also shift slowly to the south. At the same time, surface high pressure will build across southeastern Canada and the combination of these two systems will allow for the formation of a back door cool front that will push southwestward from northern New England over the next couple of days. As a result, relief is in sight here in terms of temperatures (70’s on Friday) and precipitation chances will be on the rise. There can be scattered shower and thunderstorm activity later today and early tonight and that threat of rain should increase some on Thursday. Any storm that forms either late today or on Thursday in the Mid-Atlantic region can reach strong-to-severe levels. Unsettled weather conditions will continue on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday and a look ahead to next week suggests temperatures could be quite reasonable as the calendar shifts from June to July.

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***Central Park reaches 99 degrees...one more day of high heat and humidity...70's by Friday following back door cool frontal passage...scattered showers and strong storms between now and then***

Paul Dorian

The official high temperature recorded yesterday in Central Park was 99 degrees which was indeed a record for the date. The very strong upper-level ridge of high pressure parked overhead during the past couple of days will begin to break down later today and also shift slowly to the south. At the same time, surface high pressure will build across southeastern Canada and the combination of these two systems will allow for the formation of a back door cool front that will push southwestward from northern New England over the next couple of days. As a result, relief is in sight here in terms of temperatures and precipitation chances will be on the rise. There can be scattered shower and thunderstorm activity later today and early tonight and that threat of rain should increase on Thursday. Any storm that forms either late today or on Thursday in the Mid-Atlantic region can reach strong-to-severe levels. Unsettled weather conditions will continue on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday and a look ahead to next week suggests temperatures could be quite reasonable as the calendar shifts from June to July.

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10:00 AM (Tuesday) - ***Peak of the heat comes today with numerous 100 degree readings likely...back door cool front to soon bring relief...next week looks quite reasonable***

Paul Dorian

There were some records tied or broken on Monday and a few spots reached the century mark; however, the peak of this current hot spell comes today with numerous 100-degree readings likely all along the DC-to-Boston corridor. In fact, it is possible that 100-degree readings are experienced later today in each state all the way from Maine-to-Florida. In Philadelphia on Monday, temperatures reached 99 degrees which broke the record for the date set just one year ago, and 100 degrees is certainly on the table for this afternoon which would be the first at “PHL” since July of 2012.

There is relief in sight for the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US and, in some cases, there can be a dramatic drop in temperatures following the passage of a back door cool front.  The overall weather pattern becomes unsettled as well with the chance of showers and thunderstorms returning on Wednesday afternoon and then increasing on Thursday...any thunderstorm that forms on either day can be strong-to-severe. Looking ahead to next week, overall temperatures look quite reasonable for much of the eastern half of the nation as the calendar transitions from June to July.

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6:15 AM | **Hot and humid weather to continue through the week across the Tennessee Valley with very strong high pressure ridging to the north**

Paul Dorian

Very strong upper-level high pressure ridging remains in place today over the Mid-Atlantic region leading to the high heat and humidity across the southeastern states. This system will gradually as we get to the latter part of the week and the result here will be less extreme heat and the chance for PM showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase.

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6:15 AM | ***Intense heat and humidity to continue here today with strong ridge still in control...much relief is in sight***

Paul Dorian

Yesterday featured high temperatures near the 100 degree mark in many locations along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with a record-breaking 101 degrees recorded in Newark (EWR) and 96 degrees at Central Park (tied a record). The bad news with respect to this current hot spell is that the peak may actually come later today with numerous 100 degree readings on the table in the I-95 corridor compared to Monday. The good news is that much relief is in sight by the end of the work week on Friday and next week looks much closer-to-normal in terms of overall temperatures.

The very strong ridge of high pressure to our north will weaken later in the week and also shift southward. As a result, the heat will not be as intense here on Wednesday and there will be a chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures drop even further on Thursday as a back door cool front approaches the region and the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase. Any thunderstorm that forms on both Wednesday and Thursday can be strong-to-severe. This back door cool front could actually bring much relief by Friday as an ocean flow of air could develop and end the work week on a cool note.

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6:15 AM | ***Intense heat and humidity to continue here today with strong ridge still in control...relief is in sight***

Paul Dorian

Yesterday featured high temperatures near the 100 degree mark in many locations along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with 98 degrees recorded at DCA, 96 degrees at IAD , and 97 degrees at BWI. The bad news with respect to this current hot spell is that the peak of the heat may actually come today with numerous 100 degree readings on the table in the I-95 corridor. The good news is that much relief is in sight and next week looks much closer-to-normal in terms of overall temperatures.

The very strong ridge of high pressure to our north will weaken later in the week and also shift southward. As a result, the heat will not be quite as intense by the time we get to Thursday afternoon and much relief is likely by the end of the work week on Friday. In addition, the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms will return to the area on Wednesday as the ridge begins to break down and this threat of rain will increase on Thursday…any thunderstorm that forms can be strong-to-severe on both of these days.

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6:15 AM | ***Intense heat and humidity continues here today with strong ridge still in control...much relief is in sight***

Paul Dorian

Yesterday featured high temperatures near the 100 degree mark in many locations along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with a record-breaking 99 degrees recorded at Philly International Airport (PHL). The bad news with respect to this current hot spell is that the peak may actually come later today with numerous 100 degree readings on the table in the I-95 corridor compared to Monday. The good news is that much relief is in sight by the end of the work week on Friday and next week looks much closer-to-normal in terms of overall temperatures.

The last time Philadelphia officially reached 100 degrees at the International Airport (PHL) was on July 18th, 2012…and it could happen again later today. The very strong ridge of high pressure to our north will weaken later in the week and also shift southward. As a result, the heat will not be as intense here on Wednesday and there will be a chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures drop even further on Thursday as a back door cool front approaches the region and the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase. Any thunderstorm that forms on both Wednesday and Thursday can be strong-to-severe. This back door cool front could actually bring much relief by Friday as an ocean flow of air could develop and end the work week on a cool note.

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