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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Wed. PM - **Atmosphere about to "re-ignite"...another round of showers and thunderstorms on the way with flooding downpours on the table (again)...break in the humidity from Friday into Saturday**

Paul Dorian

The combination of a tropical air mass, a stalled-out frontal boundary zone, and an upper-level disturbance will “re-ignite” the atmosphere this afternoon and the result is very likely to be yet another round of heavy showers and strong thunderstorms for much of the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. With the likelihood of flooding downpours and the well saturated grounds, flash flood watches have been issued throughout the Mid-Atlantic region by the National Weather Service. This stalled-out front system will turn around by tomorrow and push to the north as a warm front and the heat and humidity should reach a peak in the afternoon with highs up in the 90’s in many places. A cold front then pushes through the northern Mid-Atlantic region later Thursday night into early Friday and it then stalls out across the southern Mid-Atlantic later in the day. As a result, the corridor from Philly to New York City will see a big break in the humidity on Friday, Friday night, and much of Saturday, but the stalled-out front will keep it unsettled and moderately humid in and around the DC metro area. The humidity does build back up again throughout the Mid-Atlantic region for the second half of the weekend and the chance of showers and thunderstorms will also make a return.

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6:15 AM | **Cooler today, but still unsettled...PM showers and thunderstorms likely and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe**

Paul Dorian

It’ll be cooler today with afternoon highs in the low-to-middle 80’s compared to the 90’s on Tuesday. It stays unsettled, however, with the chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening and some of the storms can be on the severe side. The active weather pattern will continue through the late week and weekend with additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms on the table.

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6:15 AM | **Good chance of late day/evening showers and thunderstorms...hottest day of the week comes on Thursday**

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain quite warm and humid today and unsettled with a good chance of late day and evening showers and thunderstorms...some of the rain can be heavy. The frontal system that stalled out in the area on Tuesday will begin a push to the north later today as a warm front adding to the instability in the atmosphere. Following the passage of the warm front, tomorrow will likely turn out to be the hottest day of the week with highs in the lower 90’s and there will be a continuing chance for showers and thunderstorms. The next cold front arrives on Friday - potentially with another round of showers and thunderstorms. It appears this front will clear the coast by Friday night paving the way for lower humidity to start the upcoming weekend.

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6:15 AM | **Very warm, humid and unsettled pattern continues...watching the Gulf for tropical activity**

Paul Dorian

It stays quite hot and unsettled for the next several days with highs up in the 90’s and a continuing chance of showers and thunderstorms; primarily, during the afternoon and evening hours. In fact, the very warm, humid and unsettled weather pattern looks like it may continue through much of next week as well. One thing to monitor in coming days is a tropical wave that will push westward into the northern Gulf region and it can intensify into tropical storm status; ultimately, with a chance to impact the northern Gulf states.

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6:15 AM | **Good chance of late day/evening showers and thunderstorms...hottest day of the week comes on Thursday**

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain quite warm and humid today and unsettled with a good chance of late day and evening showers and thunderstorms...some of the rain can be heavy. The frontal system that stalled out in the area on Tuesday will begin a push to the north later today as a warm front adding to the instability in the atmosphere. Following the passage of the warm front, tomorrow will likely turn out to be the hottest day of the week with highs in the lower 90’s and there will be a continuing chance for showers and thunderstorms. The next cold front arrives on Friday - potentially with another round of showers and thunderstorms. It appears this front will clear the coast by Friday night paving the way for lower humidity to start the upcoming weekend.

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6:15 AM | **Good chance of late day/evening showers and thunderstorms...hottest day of the week comes on Thursday**

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain quite warm and humid today and unsettled with a good chance of late day and evening showers and thunderstorms...some of the rain can be heavy. The frontal system that stalled out in the area on Tuesday will begin a push to the north later today as a warm front adding to the instability in the atmosphere. Following the passage of the warm front, tomorrow will likely turn out to be the hottest day of the week with highs in the lower 90’s and there will be a continuing chance for showers and thunderstorms. The next cold front arrives on Friday - potentially with another round of showers and thunderstorms. It appears this front will clear the coast by Friday night paving the way for lower humidity to start the upcoming weekend.

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6:15 AM | **Warm and very humid today with isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms**

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain warm and very humid today and somewhat unsettled with isolated showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening hours (shouldn’t be as widespread as yesterday). The strong cold front that pushed into the region late yesterday is stalling out and it’ll turn back to the north on Wednesday likely leading to an enhanced chance of showers and thunderstorms at mid-week. Following the passage of the warm front, Thursday could turn out to be the hottest day of the week with highs at or slightly above the 90 degree mark and a continuing chance for showers and thunderstorms. The next cold front arrives later Friday - potentially with another round of showers and thunderstorms - and, if we’re lucky, it may just clear the coast and result in a decent start to the weekend with lower humidity.

One final note, as a follow-up to yesterday’s “Home Run Derby” posting, the longest HR hit last night in a hot and humid Atlanta was 513 feet by Oneil Cruz of the Pirates (4th longest in Derby history) and the winner was Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners. Next years All-Star game and HR Derby will be played in beautiful Citizens Park of South Philadelphia as part of the 250th birthday celebration for the country.

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6:15 AM | **Warm and very humid today with isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms**

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain warm and very humid today and somewhat unsettled with isolated showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening hours (shouldn’t be as widespread as yesterday). The strong cold front that pushed into the region late yesterday is stalling out and it’ll turn back to the north on Wednesday likely leading to an enhanced chance of showers and thunderstorms at mid-week. Following the passage of the warm front, Thursday could turn out to be the hottest day of the week with highs at or slightly above the 90 degree mark and a continuing chance for showers and thunderstorms. The next cold front arrives later Friday - potentially with another round of showers and thunderstorms - and, if we’re lucky, it may just clear the coast and result in a decent start to the weekend with lower humidity.

One final note, as a follow-up to yesterday’s “Home Run Derby” posting, the longest HR hit last night in a hot and humid Atlanta was 513 feet by Oneil Cruz of the Pirates (4th longest in Derby history) and the winner was Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners. Next years All-Star game and HR Derby will be played in beautiful Citizens Park of South Philadelphia as part of the 250th birthday celebration for the country.

Read More

6:15 AM | **Warm and very humid today with isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms**

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain warm and very humid today and somewhat unsettled with isolated showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening hours (shouldn’t be as widespread as yesterday). The strong cold front that pushed into the region late yesterday is stalling out and it’ll turn back to the north on Wednesday likely leading to an enhanced chance tomorrow of showers and thunderstorms. Following the passage of the warm front, Thursday could turn out to be the hottest day of the week with highs in the low-to-mid 90’s and a continuing chance for showers and thunderstorms. The next cold front arrives later Friday - potentially with another round of showers and thunderstorms - and, if we’re lucky, it may just clear the coast and result in a decent start to the weekend with lower humidity.

One final note, as a follow-up to yesterday’s “Home Run Derby” posting, the longest HR hit last night in a hot and humid Atlanta was 513 feet by Oneil Cruz of the Pirates (4th longest in Derby history) and the winner was Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners. Next years All-Star game and HR Derby will be played in beautiful Citizens Park of South Philadelphia as part of the 250th birthday celebration for the country.

Read More