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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

*Hot, humid pattern from Friday into mid-week...next week’s pattern conducive to "MCCs"...an August preview...pleasant start...ramp up in tropical activity...MJO update*

Paul Dorian

Heat and humidity will increase today in the Mid-Atlantic region and temperatures should reach well into the 90’s on Friday along the I-95 corridor. It stays very warm and humid this weekend and through the first half of next week. In terms of prospects for rain, an approaching frontal system late tomorrow will increase the chance of showers and thunderstorms; especially, on the NW side of I-95. This front stalls out this weekend nearby and the result will be the threat of showers and thunderstorms from time-to-time.

Looking ahead, the pattern changes noticeably by later next week across the northeastern states with an upper-level trough of low pressure intensifying over southeastern Canada. Comfortable air is likely to drop south and east from Canada into the Northeast US and Mid-Atlantic region late next week and the first several days of August might be rather pleasant. It is at this time that conditions might change in the tropical Atlantic Ocean which can lead to a ramp up in activity by the middle of the new month and a teleconnection index (MJO) supports this notion.

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6:15 AM | *High heat and humidity on Friday with temperatures reaching the mid-to-upper 90's...showers and thunderstorms possible late Friday and some of the storms can be strong*

Paul Dorian

Heat and humidity will begin to climb today in the Mid-Atlantic region and temperatures will soar on Friday with afternoon highs likely in the mid-to-upper 90’s. A cold front approaches the area by tomorrow night and then stalls out in close proximity this weekend. This slow-moving frontal system will bring us the chance of showers and thunderstorms late tomorrow and some of the storms can be strong…weekend looks somewhat unsettled as well.

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6:15 AM | *High heat and humidity on Friday with temperatures reaching the mid-to-upper 90's...showers and thunderstorms possible late Friday and some of the storms can be strong*

Paul Dorian

Heat and humidity will begin to climb today in the Mid-Atlantic region and temperatures will soar on Friday with afternoon highs likely in the mid-to-upper 90’s. A cold front approaches the area by tomorrow night and then stalls out in close proximity this weekend. This slow-moving frontal system will bring us the chance of showers and thunderstorms late tomorrow and some of the storms can be strong…weekend looks unsettled as well.

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6:15 AM | *Unsettled again today with afternoon showers and storms possible...any storm can be slow-moving and produce significant rainfall amounts*

Paul Dorian

The pattern remains unsettled today in the Denver metro region with the continuing chance of showers and thunderstorms. Any storm that forms will likely be a slow mover which raises the chance for heavy rainfall and flash flooding in some areas. The overall pattern becomes warmer and drier this weekend across the Rocky Mountain States.

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6:15 AM | *High heat and humidity on Friday with temperatures reaching the middle 90's...showers and thunderstorms possible late Friday and some of the storms can be strong*

Paul Dorian

Heat and humidity will begin to climb today in the Mid-Atlantic region and temperatures will soar on Friday with afternoon highs likely in the middle 90’s. A cold front approaches the area by tomorrow night and then stalls out in close proximity this weekend. This slow-moving frontal system will bring us the chance of showers and thunderstorms late tomorrow and some of the storms can be strong…weekend looks somewhat unsettled as well.

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*Unsettled weather returns this weekend and next week’s pattern with northwest flow aloft could produce “mesoscale convective complexes”...a pleasant start to August is on the table*

Paul Dorian

The last few days have been relatively quiet in the Mid-Atlantic region with dry and warm conditions dominating the scene. Heat and humidity will build up later in the week and an approaching frontal system could lead to showers and thunderstorms by Friday night. That front will stall-out nearby this weekend and likely result in a shower and thunderstorm threat on both weekend days.

The upper-level pattern next week will feature strong high pressure ridging over the south-central states and a northwest flow of air from the Great Lakes to the Northeast US. This kind of pattern sometimes produces complexes of thunderstorms that travel in the northwest flow from the Great Lakes/Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US...something to monitor during the next several days. Looking ahead, there are signs that a strong upper-level trough may become positioned over southeastern Canada at the end of next week potentially bringing a pleasant start to the month of August.

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6:15 AM | *Buildup of heat and humidity on Thursday and Friday...shower/thunderstorm threat late Friday and on both days this weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure that had been positioned to our northwest during the past couple of days will shift offshore today and then even farther out to sea on Thursday. This re-positioning of the high pressure system will open the door for a buildup of heat and humidity in the Mid-Atlantic region during Thursday and Friday with temperatures likely peaking on Friday afternoon in the mid-to-upper 90’s. In terms of rainfall, a cold front approaches the area late in the day on Friday and then hangs nearby through the upcoming weekend. As a result, unsettled weather conditions will make a return with the chance of showers and thunderstorms late Friday and again on both weekend days.

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6:15 AM | *Buildup of heat and humidity on Thursday and Friday...shower/thunderstorm threat late Friday and on both days this weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure that had been positioned to our northwest during the past couple of days will shift offshore today and then even farther out to sea on Thursday. This re-positioning of the high pressure system will open the door for a buildup of heat and humidity in the Mid-Atlantic region during Thursday and Friday with temperatures likely peaking on Friday afternoon in the middle 90’s. In terms of rainfall, a cold front approaches the area late in the day on Friday and then hangs nearby through the upcoming weekend. As a result, unsettled weather conditions will make a return with the chance of showers and thunderstorms late Friday and again on both weekend days.

Read More

6:15 AM | *Buildup of heat and humidity on Thursday and Friday...shower/thunderstorm threat late Friday and on both days this weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure that had been positioned to our northwest during the past couple of days will shift offshore today and then even farther out to sea on Thursday. This re-positioning of the high pressure system will open the door for a buildup of heat and humidity in the Mid-Atlantic region during Thursday and Friday with temperatures likely peaking on Friday afternoon in the mid-to-upper 90’s. In terms of rainfall, a cold front approaches the area late in the day on Friday and then hangs nearby through the upcoming weekend. As a result, unsettled weather conditions will make a return with the chance of showers and thunderstorms late Friday and again on both weekend days.

Read More