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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | **Quite humid next few days and becoming more unsettled...Perseid meteor shower peaks late tonight/pre-dawn tomorrow (but lots of low-level moisture)**

Paul Dorian

It’ll be quite humid in the Mid-Atlantic region for the next few days as high pressure pushes farther offshore and the overall pattern becomes more unsettled. A trough of low pressure will slide into the area on Wednesday increasing the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and then a weak cold front can be the impetus for another round of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. The end of the week and upcoming weekend look to be quite warm and likely rain-free with high pressure back in control.

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Tuesday PM - **TS Erin continues churning to the west...should become a hurricane by week's end and perhaps a "major" this weekend...odds continue to favor it curving away from the US east coast**

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm Erin continues to churn to the west today with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and it is very likely to become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic Basin season by the end of the week. In fact, Erin could become a “major” hurricane (category 3 and higher) over the upcoming weekend as it pushes over increasingly warm waters of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. After that, Hurricane Erin will probably begin a curve in its path to the north/northeast over the western Atlantic Ocean and likely resulting in it never reaching the US east coast. However, there are still several days to go before this expected curve and it is something we’ll continue to closely monitor in coming days.

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6:00 AM | *Quite warm and humid again for Tuesday and Wednesday and the pattern becomes more unsettled*

Paul Dorian

High pressure that developed over southeastern Canada last week has shifted offshore and it will tend to weaken and push farther away by mid-week. In addition, a trough of low pressure looks to become established by mid-week and the result will be a more unsettled weather pattern and a returning chance of showers and thunderstorms. Later in the week, a weak cold front will approach the region - perhaps with another chance of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday - and then dry, very warm weather should return for Friday and Saturday.

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6:00 AM | *Quite warm and humid again for Tuesday and Wednesday and the pattern becomes more unsettled*

Paul Dorian

High pressure that developed over southeastern Canada last week has shifted offshore and it will tend to weaken and push farther away by mid-week. In addition, a trough of low pressure looks to become established by mid-week and the result will be a more unsettled weather pattern and a returning chance of showers and thunderstorms. Later in the week, a weak cold front will approach the region - perhaps with another chance of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday - and then dry, very warm weather should return for Friday and Saturday.

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6:00 AM | *Quite warm and humid again for Tuesday and Wednesday and the pattern becomes more unsettled*

Paul Dorian

High pressure that developed over southeastern Canada last week has shifted offshore and it will tend to weaken and push farther away by mid-week. In addition, a trough of low pressure looks to become established by mid-week and the result will be a more unsettled weather pattern and a returning chance of showers and thunderstorms. Later in the week, a weak cold front will approach the region - perhaps with another chance of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday - and then dry, very warm weather should return for Friday and Saturday.

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*The annual Perseid meteor shower peaks this year from late Tuesday night into early Wednesday...the moon will be somewhat of a hindrance, but there will be a special bonus in the eastern sky*

Paul Dorian

The annual Perseid meteor shower began on July 17th and will continue through August 23rd, but the peak viewing times will be during the late-night hours on Tuesday, August 12th to the pre-dawn hours of Wednesday, August 13th. The Perseid meteor shower comes every July/August as the Earth passes through a cloud of dust that comes from Comet Swift-Tuttle as it approaches the sun. The moon will be somewhat of a hindrance this year as it will be just beyond its full moon phase which took place on August 9th. One special bonus for sky watchers, however, will be the conjunction of Venus and Jupiter visible in the eastern sky during the pre-dawn hours so look for that feature as well early Wednesday.

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6:00 AM | *High pressure remains in control into early next week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure centered over southeastern Canada will shift slowly offshore during the next couple of days and it will continue to influence the weather around here. Given the position of the high, there will be a continuing broad low-level flow of air from the ocean (i.e., east-to-northeast winds) into the northeastern states and this will keep temperatures in check right through the weekend. By the middle of next week, this high will weaken and shift farther offshore opening the door for somewhat more unsettled weather to return to the region.

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