The intensity of Tropical Storm Erin has been relatively unchanged during the past 24 hours maintaining maximum sustained winds of around 45 mph as it churns to the west across the tropical Atlantic. There is not likely to be much intensification over the next 24 hours or so as it continues to deal with a dry air mass and moves over only modestly warm waters. Later this week, TS Erin will push over increasingly warm water in the western Atlantic Ocean and this will very likely result in intensification to category 1 hurricane status...the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic Basin tropical season.
Over the weekend, overall environmental conditions will become more favorable for intensification as it moves over very warm water and this can result in Erin attaining “major” hurricane status of category 3 (or higher). It is at this time that the overall flow aloft should allow for Erin to begin a curve to the north over the western Atlantic Ocean and then ultimately to the northeast…likely resulting in it not reaching the US east coast. However, there are several days to go and this system needs to be closely monitored as nothing is written in stone this far out.
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The weather becomes unsettled today as a trough of low pressure extends into the Mid-Atlantic region raising the chance for afternoon and nighttime showers and thunderstorms….some of the storms can be strong with downpours possible, watch for localized flash flooding. It’ll remain somewhat unsettled on Thursday as well as a weak cold front settles into the area from the northwest and this system could be the impetus for additional showers and thunderstorms. The end of the week and upcoming weekend look to be warm and generally rain-free with high pressure back in control.
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The next couple of days will feature hot and generally rain-free conditions with high temperatures likely in the upper 90’s. There will be an increase in moisture later in the week and this should lead to an increasing chance of PM showers and thunderstorms.
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The remainder of the week will feature very warm and humid conditions and a daily shot of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. High pressure off the northeast coastline (Bermuda high position) continues to be the main player across the eastern states.
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The weather becomes unsettled today as a trough of low pressure extends into the Mid-Atlantic region raising the chance for afternoon and nighttime showers and thunderstorms….some of the storms can be strong with downpours possible, watch for localized flash flooding. It’ll remain somewhat unsettled on Thursday as well as a weak cold front settles into the area from the northwest and this system could be the impetus for additional showers and thunderstorms. The end of the week and upcoming weekend look to be warm and generally rain-free with high pressure back in control.
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The weather becomes unsettled today as a trough of low pressure extends into the Mid-Atlantic region raising the chance for afternoon and nighttime showers and thunderstorms….some of the storms can be strong with downpours possible, watch for localized flash flooding. It’ll remain somewhat unsettled on Thursday as well as a weak cold front settles into the area from the northwest and this system could be the impetus for additional showers and thunderstorms. The end of the week and upcoming weekend look to be warm and generally rain-free with high pressure back in control.
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It’ll be quite humid in the Mid-Atlantic region for the next few days as high pressure pushes farther offshore and the overall pattern becomes more unsettled. A trough of low pressure will slide into the area on Wednesday increasing the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and then a weak cold front can be the impetus for another round of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. The end of the week and upcoming weekend look to be quite warm and likely rain-free with high pressure back in control.
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It’ll be quite humid in the Mid-Atlantic region for the next few days as high pressure pushes farther offshore and the overall pattern becomes more unsettled. A trough of low pressure will slide into the area on Wednesday increasing the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and then a weak cold front can be the impetus for another round of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. The end of the week and upcoming weekend look to be quite warm and likely rain-free with high pressure back in control.
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It’ll be quite humid in the Mid-Atlantic region for the next few days as high pressure pushes farther offshore and the overall pattern becomes more unsettled. A trough of low pressure will slide into the area on Wednesday increasing the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and then a weak cold front can be the impetus for another round of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. The end of the week and upcoming weekend look to be quite warm and likely rain-free with high pressure back in control.
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Tropical Storm Erin continues to churn to the west today with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and it is very likely to become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic Basin season by the end of the week. In fact, Erin could become a “major” hurricane (category 3 and higher) over the upcoming weekend as it pushes over increasingly warm waters of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. After that, Hurricane Erin will probably begin a curve in its path to the north/northeast over the western Atlantic Ocean and likely resulting in it never reaching the US east coast. However, there are still several days to go before this expected curve and it is something we’ll continue to closely monitor in coming days.
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