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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | **Cooler for the remainder of the week...patchy frost possible late tomorrow night...monitoring weekend coastal storm threat**

Paul Dorian

Lingering showers this morning as a cold front works its way through the region and it’ll turn noticeably cooler for the remainder of the week following the unseasonably warm start on Monday and Tuesday. Canadian high pressure will take control of the weather by tomorrow and it’ll lead to excellent radiational cooling conditions later tomorrow night with clear skies and light winds. As a result, the first frost of the season is possible in some N/W suburbs by early Friday morning with overnight lows down in the 30’s.

Looking ahead to the weekend, strong low pressure will form over the western Atlantic Ocean and likely produce heavy rainfall and strong winds for the Carolinas. This system has an increasing chance of impacting the Mid-Atlantic region as well with some heavy rainfall and strong winds, but an “escape” to the east-northeast and away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline is still a scenario that is on the table. The time period of concern for the Mid-Atlantic region for rain and wind would be from Saturday night to Monday.

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***Low pressure to intensify significantly this weekend near the Southeast US coastline...heavy rain/strong winds on tap for the Carolinas and potentially northward to the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure is going to intensify significantly this weekend near the Southeast US coastline, induced by a frontal boundary zone that slides into the region. It appears quite certain that this strong storm will then push far enough to the north to pound away at the coastal Carolinas with heavy rainfall and strong winds. It is a little less certain if this strong storm can then extend far enough to the north along the eastern seaboard to produce heavy rainfall and strong winds in the Mid-Atlantic region, but that scenario is certainly on the table. Whether this system becomes a named tropical storm by NOAA’s National Hurricane Center is still too early to say; however, the effects could be much the same along coastal sections of the Carolinas and potentially to the Mid-Atlantic region...namely with heavy rainfall and strong winds...a kind of classic autumnal Nor’easter. Some of the key players involved include strong high-pressure ridging which will set up over southeastern Canada and a cold front that will slide to the southwestern Atlantic Ocean by the end of the week and help to act as a catalyst for the significant intensification of surface low pressure.

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6:00 AM | **Beneficial rainfall from tonight into early Wed. with cold front...strong low pressure over the western Atlantic threatens the Carolinas this weekend and potentially the Mid-Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

Clouds will increase here today ahead of an approaching cold front which will bring us some beneficial rainfall from tonight into early Wednesday...perhaps a thunderstorm included in the mix. The unseasonably warm temperatures that started the week will be replaced by noticeably cooler conditions for the second half as Canadian high pressure takes control following the cold frontal passage. In fact, the first frost of the season will be possible on Thursday night in some suburban locations with overnight lows in the 30’s. Strong low pressure is likely to form over the western Atlantic Ocean later this weekend and threaten the Carolinas with some heavy rainfall and strong winds…potentially a threat northward into the Mid-Atlantic region.

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6:00 AM | **Beneficial rainfall from tonight into early Wed. with cold front...strong low pressure over the western Atlantic threatens the Carolinas this weekend and potentially the Mid-Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

Clouds will increase here today ahead of an approaching cold front which will bring us some beneficial rainfall from tonight into early Wednesday...perhaps a thunderstorm included in the mix. The unseasonably warm temperatures that started the week will be replaced by noticeably cooler conditions for the second half as Canadian high pressure takes control following the cold frontal passage. In fact, the first frost of the season will be possible on Thursday night in some suburban locations with overnight lows in the 30’s. Strong low pressure is likely to form over the western Atlantic Ocean later this weekend and threaten the Carolinas with some heavy rainfall and strong winds…potentially a threat northward into the Mid-Atlantic region.

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6:00 AM | **Beneficial rainfall from tonight into early Wed. with cold front...strong low pressure over the western Atlantic threatens the Carolinas this weekend and potentially the Mid-Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

Clouds will increase here today ahead of an approaching cold front which will bring us some beneficial rainfall from tonight into early Wednesday...perhaps a thunderstorm included in the mix. The unseasonably warm temperatures that started the week will be replaced by noticeably cooler conditions for the second half as Canadian high pressure takes control following the cold frontal passage. In fact, the first frost of the season will be possible on Thursday night in some far N/W suburban locations with overnight lows in the 30’s. Strong low pressure is likely to form over the western Atlantic Ocean later this weekend and threaten the Carolinas with some heavy rainfall and strong winds…potentially a threat northward into the Mid-Atlantic region.

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***Low pressure to intensify over the western Atlantic Ocean this weekend...a threat to the coastal Carolinas and potentially to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure is likely to rapidly intensify this weekend over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean and it is a threat for heavy rainfall and strong winds along coastal sections of the Carolinas and potentially to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. Whether this system becomes a named tropical storm is too early to say; however, the effects could be the same along parts of the eastern seaboard…namely with heavy rainfall and strong winds likely in the Saturday night to Monday time period. Some of the key players involved include strong high-pressure ridging which will set up over southeastern Canada and a cold front which will slide to the southwestern Atlantic Ocean later in the week and help to act as a catalyst for the intensification of low pressure.

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7:00 AM | *Unsettled weather to start the week in the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

Unsettled weather begins the week here in the Tennessee Valley with occasional showers today and perhaps a thunderstorm or two mixed in. The combination of a strong ridge to our east and strong trough to our west will lead to the unsettled conditions here for the next day or so, but improvement comes for the second half of the week and it’ll turn slightly cooler as well.

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7:00 AM | *Cold frontal passage brings us showers from tomorrow night into Wednesday...warm start to the week and a cool second half*

Paul Dorian

The main weather event of the next few days in the Mid-Atlantic region will be a cold frontal passage that takes places from later tomorrow night into the day on Wednesday. This front should be accompanied by showers and isolated thunderstorms that’ll break the dry spell of recent days. After a warm start to the work week with above-normal temperatures, cooler-than-normal conditions are likely during the second half. Low pressure off the eastern seaboard may become the main player to watch this weekend with the possibility of some rainfall around here by the time we get to Sunday and Monday.

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7:00 AM | *Cold frontal passage brings us showers from tomorrow night into Wednesday...warm start to the week and a cool second half*

Paul Dorian

The main weather event of the next few days in the Mid-Atlantic region will be a cold frontal passage that takes places from later tomorrow night into the day on Wednesday. This front should be accompanied by showers and isolated thunderstorms that’ll break the dry spell of recent days. After a warm start to the work week with above-normal temperatures, cooler-than-normal conditions are likely during the second half. Low pressure off the eastern seaboard may become the main player to watch this weekend with the possibility of some rainfall around here by the time we get to Sunday and Monday.

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