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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | ***Some snow later today/tonight...more snow likely on Friday...very cold weekend on the way***

Paul Dorian

Weak low pressure will head in this direction today and it can produce some snow around here tonight with small accumulations on the table of a coating to an inch. The next weather system of note will be a strong Arctic cold front that arrives at the end of the week and it can produce some snow in the Mid-Atlantic region during the afternoon and evening hours on Friday. The passage of the late week Arctic front will result in a bitter cold weekend in the Philly metro region with temperatures likely to be confined to the teens for afternoon highs on both Saturday and Sunday. In addition, the winds will be powerful on both days as the result of a tight pressure gradient across the northeastern states and the combination of the bitter cold and strong winds will produce dangerously low wind chill values. Looking ahead, it does appear that, for the first time in awhile, milder weather might just make it all the way into the northeastern states by the second half of next week.

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6:00 AM | **Weak low pressure stays to our south today...some snow likely on Friday with Arctic front...bitter cold weekend on the way**

Paul Dorian

Weak low pressure will head in this direction today and it can produce some snow in the southern Mid-Atlantic by tonight, but probably not this far to the north. The next weather system of note will be a strong Arctic cold front that arrives later Friday and it can produce some snow in the Mid-Atlantic region during the afternoon and evening hours on Friday. The passage of the late week Arctic front will result in a bitter cold weekend in the NYC metro region with temperatures likely to be confined to the teens for afternoon highs. In addition, the winds will be powerful on both weekend days as the result of a tight pressure gradient across the northeastern states and the combination of the bitter cold and strong winds will produce much lower wind chill values. Looking ahead, it does appear that, for the first time in awhile, milder weather might just make it all the way into the northeastern states by the second half of next week.

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*The role of the weather on “The Day the Music Died” – February 3rd, 1959*

Paul Dorian

It was a little past 1 AM on February 3rd, 1959 when American musicians Buddy Holly, Ritchie Valens and J.P. “The Big Bopper” Richardson were killed in a plane crash near Clear Lake, Iowa along with pilot Roger Peterson.  Weather conditions were certainly contributing factors in the plane crash as there was poor visibility on that cold night with snow blowing across the runway. Hours before, Holly and his tour mates were on the eleventh night of their “Winter Dance Party” tour through the snow-covered Midwest.  It was a Monday and a school night, but 1,100 teenagers crammed into the Surf Ballroom in Clear Lake, Iowa for two sold out shows with the second one ending around midnight.  The event later became known as “The Day the Music Died” after singer-songwriter Don McLean referred to it as such in his 1971 song “American Pie” which paid homage to the tragedy of February 3rd, 1959. 

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****Bitter cold this weekend with a direct discharge of Arctic air from eastern Canada...snow showers and possible squalls with Arctic front...powerful winds on both weekend days****

Paul Dorian

Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning suggesting there will be six more weeks of winter, and I certainly have faith in all Pennsylvania prognosticators. One thing is for sure...the next 7 days will feature more in the way of well below-normal temperatures, and the upcoming weekend will be bitterly cold across the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US with a direct discharge of Arctic air from eastern Canada. The Arctic front at the leading edge of this brutally cold air mass can produce snow showers and squalls on Friday, and powerful winds will add to the misery on both weekend days. The big cities from DC-to-Boston will likely experience single digit lows once again during the weekend and wind chills will be at dangerously low levels on both days.

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6:00 AM | ****Some snow Tuesday night/early Wednesday...snow showers later Friday...intensely cold this weekend****

Paul Dorian

It remains quite cold around here today and it will for the rest of the week and then intensely cold air is destined to arrive for the upcoming weekend. The pattern becomes somewhat active as well with a couple chances of snow in the Mid-Atlantic region. Weak low pressure will push across the area with some snow from Tuesday night into early Wednesday…small accumulations are likely on the order of a coating to an inch or two. Later in the week, a strong clipper system and its associated cold front can bring snow showers to the area later Friday…perhaps even a snow squall. That clipper system will usher in another brutally cold Arctic air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region for the first full weekend of February with strong winds adding to the misery.

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6:00 AM | ****Some snow later Tuesday/Tuesday night...snow showers later Friday...intensely cold this weekend****

Paul Dorian

It remains quite cold around here today and it will for the rest of the week and then intensely cold air is destined to arrive for the upcoming weekend. The pattern becomes somewhat active as well with a couple chances of snow in the Mid-Atlantic region. Weak low pressure will push across the area with some snow from Tuesday night into early Wednesday…small accumulations are likely on the order of a coating to an inch or two. Later in the week, a strong clipper system and its associated cold front can bring snow showers to the area later Friday…perhaps even a snow squall. That clipper system will usher in another brutally cold Arctic air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region for the first full weekend of February with strong winds adding to the misery.

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6:00 AM | ****Some snow Tuesday night/early Wednesday...snow showers later Friday...intensely cold this weekend****

Paul Dorian

It remains quite cold around here today and it will for the rest of the week and then intensely cold air is destined to arrive for the upcoming weekend. The pattern becomes somewhat active as well with a couple chances of snow in the Mid-Atlantic region. Weak low pressure will push across the area with some snow from Tuesday night into early Wednesday…small accumulations are likely on the order of a coating to an inch or two. Later in the week, a strong clipper system and its associated cold front can bring snow showers to the area later Friday…perhaps even a snow squall. That clipper system will usher in another brutally cold Arctic air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region for the first full weekend of February with strong winds adding to the misery.

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6:00 AM | ***A brutally cold day to end the work week with afternoon temperatures generally confined to the teens***

Paul Dorian

It remains brutally cold around here today with temperatures struggling to make it past the upper teens for afternoon highs and overnight lows again will fall to single digits in most areas. The bitter cold conditions continue through the weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region and will extend all the way down to southern Florida where Sunday morning temperatures could be near freezing in Miami. Another big story will be the the explosive cyclogenesis that’ll take place as the central pressure of a low-pressure system drops dramatically between later Saturday and early Sunday. Low pressure will move near the Carolina coastline by later Saturday and then it’ll get juiced up by the phasing of a northern stream wave of energy and a southern wave. The biggest impact from this weekend storm will likely be across southern Virginia, the Carolinas, and eastern New England can get hit hard as well...all locations with snow and strong winds. The DC metro region will not go completely unscathed as winds will pick up noticeably from later Saturday into Sunday and there can be some snow across eastern sections.

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6:00 AM | ***A brutally cold day to end the work week with afternoon temperatures generally confined to the teens***

Paul Dorian

It remains brutally cold around here today with temperatures struggling to make it past the upper teens for afternoon highs and overnight lows will be in the low-to-mid single digits in many spots. The bitter cold conditions continue through the weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region and will extend all the way down to southern Florida where Sunday morning temperatures could be near freezing in Miami. Another big story will be the the explosive cyclogenesis that’ll take place as the central pressure of a low-pressure system drops dramatically between later Saturday and early Sunday. Low pressure will move near the Carolina coastline by later Saturday and then it’ll get juiced up by the phasing of a northern stream wave of energy and a southern wave. The biggest impact from this weekend storm will likely be across southern Virginia, the Carolinas, and eastern New England can get hit hard as well...all locations with snow and strong winds. The NYC metro region will not go completely unscathed as winds will pick up noticeably from later Saturday into Sunday and there can be some snow in the area.

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6:00 AM | ***A brutally cold day to end the work week with afternoon temperatures confined to the teens***

Paul Dorian

It remains brutally cold around here today with temperatures struggling to make it past the middle teens for afternoon highs and overnight lows will fall to near zero in many areas. In fact, this could set a record for the lowest high temperature ever recorded on this date besting the record of 18 degrees set in 1965 at Philly Airport. The bitter cold conditions continue through the weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region and will extend all the way down to southern Florida where Sunday morning temperatures could be near freezing in Miami. In addition to the continuing cold, a big weather story will be the explosive cyclogenesis that’ll take place as the central pressure of a low-pressure system drops dramatically between later Saturday and early Sunday. Low pressure will move near the Carolina coastline by later Saturday and then it’ll get juiced up by the phasing of a northern stream wave of energy and a southern wave. The biggest impact from this weekend storm will likely be across southern Virginia, the Carolinas, and eastern New England can get hit hard as well...all locations with snow and strong winds. The Philly metro region will not go completely unscathed as winds will pick up noticeably from later Saturday into Sunday and there can be some snow across far eastern sections.

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