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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

****Some accumulating snow on Sunday night across eastern PA, New Jersey, and NYC...dynamical cooling results in changeover to snow to the north of the PA/MD border****

Paul Dorian

A storm system that came ashore in California at mid-week is crossing the southern states and will spread its precipitation shield into the Mid-Atlantic region from later Sunday into Sunday night. The air mass will initially be only marginally cold enough to support frozen precipitation; however, dynamical cooling in the atmosphere associated with a strong upper level jet streak should result in more favorable conditions for snow by Sunday night across eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New York City and up to a few inches are on the table. To the south of the PA/MD border, rain is likely to be the predominate precipitation type in the immediate DC metro area with no accumulations expected. However, snow and/or ice can mix in across some of DC’s far northern suburbs, and the northern part of Maryland that is close to the Pennsylvania border and northern Delaware can certainly see some small accumulations.

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6:00 AM | **Showers from time-to-time this weekend and maybe even a strong-to-severe thunderstorm**

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern looks to favor increasing warmth for the Tennessee Valley with high temperatures over the next couple of days in the lower 60’s and then 70 degrees will be possible by early next week. The weather will be somewhat unsettled as well during the next few days with showers possible from time-to-time and a strong thunderstorm cannot be ruled out.

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6:00 AM | **Moderately cold to end the work week...snow showers likely tonight**

Paul Dorian

It’ll be colder-than-normal today to end the work week despite some sunshine and then a disturbance can produce some snow shower activity around here during the nighttime hours. It turns slightly milder on Saturday to begin the weekend and then a southern storm system can brush us with some snow by late Sunday or Sunday night. Following the passage of that storm system, milder air should reach our area by the middle of next week and temperatures can climb to near 50 degrees for afternoon highs.

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6:00 AM | **Moderately cold to end the work week...snow or a mix possible late Sunday and small accumulations are possible...milder weather by mid-week**

Paul Dorian

It’ll be colder-than-normal today to end the work week despite plenty of sunshine and then slightly milder on Saturday to begin the weekend. A storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it can produce some snow around here from later Sunday into Sunday night or perhaps a mixture of snow, ice and rain…small accumulations are possible. Following the passage of that storm system, milder air should reach our area by the middle of next week and temperatures can climb to near 50 degrees for afternoon highs.

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6:00 AM | *Moderately cold to end the work week...rain likely late Sunday...may mix with snow/ice across northern suburbs...milder weather by mid-week*

Paul Dorian

It’ll be colder-than-normal today to end the work week despite plenty of sunshine and then slightly milder on Saturday to begin the weekend. A storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it should produce primarily plain rain around here from later Sunday into Sunday night…snow and/or ice can mix in at times across the northern suburbs. Following the passage of that storm system, milder air should reach our area by the middle of next week and temperatures can climb to near 60 degrees for afternoon highs.

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**Southern storm to produce widespread rain this weekend in the Deep south and a severe weather threat...Mid-Atlantic region on the northern fringes by late Sunday**

Paul Dorian

A low pressure system that produced some beneficial rain and snow across California on Wednesday will ride along the newly activated sub-tropical jet stream and re-emerge over the south-central states early this weekend. Warm and humid air will flow northward into this system from the Gulf, and this will help to intensify and expand the storm’s precipitation shield...all good news for the Deep South where it has been quite dry in recent weeks. The influx of warm and humid air will also help to destabilize the atmosphere, leading to a severe weather threat by later Saturday and Saturday night in portions of the south-central US. This system will then push eastward and head towards the eastern seaboard on Sunday potentially bringing some mixed precipitation to the Mid-Atlantic region which will be on the northern fringes of its moisture field. Much milder weather will follow across the northeastern states by the middle of next week.

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