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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | **An active week with a clipper system to deal with late tonight/early tomorrow and a southern system later Thursday**

Paul Dorian

An unsettled weather pattern continues this week with a couple of systems to deal with in the Mid-Atlantic region during the next few days. A clipper system will drop south and east across the Great Lakes region and it can produce some snow around here late tonight/early Wednesday. While any accumulations should be on the small side, the timing is not great as it can interfere with the morning commute. Yet another system will take a different track on Thursday and move in this direction from the Tennessee Valley and it can produce some rain, ice and/or snow from later Thursday into Thursday night.

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*Remembering the Tuskegee Weathermen...the Army created a program in 1941 to induct and train what would eventually amount to more than 14,000 airmen...some of whom became weathermen*

Paul Dorian

Running for his third presidential term, Franklin Roosevelt made a 1940 campaign promise to allow for the training of African American military pilots. In cooperation with the Tuskegee Institute in Alabama which was founded by Booker T. Washington in 1881, the Army created a program in 1941 to induct and train what would eventually amount to more than 14,000 airmen, of whom about 1,000 would become pilots; the others became navigators, bombardiers, radio operators, administrators, support personnel - and some became weathermen.

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6:00 AM | ****Intense low pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean only slowly pulls away from the region****

Paul Dorian

Intense low pressure will only slowly pull away from the Mid-Atlantic region on Monday leading to more snow around here, heavy at times, and additional accumulations of several inches are on the table. Winds will remain strong today as well with gusts possible to 50 mph or so. Temperatures will be well below normal for the next few days as a much colder-than-normal air mass will flood the eastern states on the heels of the storm. The patten remains active the chance of snow late Tuesday night/early Wednesday with a clipper system passing by to our north.

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6:00 AM | ****Intense low pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean only slowly pulls away from the region****

Paul Dorian

Intense low pressure will only slowly pull away from the Mid-Atlantic region on Monday leading to more snow around here this morning, a continuation of the strong winds, and some additional accumulations are likely. Temperatures will be well below normal for the next few days as a much colder-than-normal air mass will flood the eastern states on the heels of the storm. The overall pattern remains quite active with some snow possible late tomorrow night/early Wednesday as a clipper system passes by to our north.

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6:00 AM | ***Intense low pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean only slowly pulls away from the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

Intense low pressure will only slowly pull away from the Mid-Atlantic region on Monday leading to the chance of more snow around here early in the day and a continuation of the strong winds. Temperatures will be well below normal for the next couple of days as a much colder-than-normal air mass will flood the eastern states on the heels of the storm. The pattern remains quite active and there is the chance for a bit of snow or rain late tomorrow night/early Wednesday from a clipper system passing by to our north.

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*****Major snowstorm for many in the eastern Mid-Atlantic region including SE PA, NJ, DE, and NYC…significant snowfall…strong winds…possible "thundersnow"...a long duration event*****

Paul Dorian

What may become known as the “Blizzard of 2026” to many in the eastern Mid-Atlantic region begins rather innocuously this morning with plain rain and above freezing temperatures in some areas and a mixture of rain and snow is likely soon in other locations. However, precipitation will change over to all snow by later in the day in most areas, become heavy at times early tonight, and continue into mid-day Monday – a long duration event. In fact, the snow could fall heavy enough tonight in the eastern Mid-Atlantic region to produce 2+ inches per hour and “thundersnow” is on the table. Snowfall amounts in the eastern Mid-Atlantic will become significant with a foot or more in many areas. The DC metro region will escape the significant snowfall amounts coming to the eastern Mid-Atlantic, but at least a few inches are on the table in the nation’s capital. Winds will become a big factor by later tonight and continue strong on Monday resulting in blowing and drifting of snow during the latter stages of the storm. On the heels of the storm, a very cold air mass will flood the eastern US for the first half of the new week.

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*****Major winter storm to slam the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into Monday…all-out blizzard conditions in many areas*****

Paul Dorian

Major winter storm to slam much of the Mid-Atlantic region…

All-out blizzard conditions in many areas…

Low pressure will intensify rapidly later tomorrow as it pushes slowly northward just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline, and it is going to produce substantial snowfall in some areas and powerful winds as well especially along coastal sections. The precipitation in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor will begin on Sunday morning as plain rain in some areas, a mixture of rain and snow in others, but all areas will feature a changeover to snow by later Sunday. The snow is likely to fall heavily at times from Sunday evening into mid-day Monday, leading to big-time travel disruptions for the Monday commutes in many areas. On the heels of the storm, a very cold air mass will flood much of the eastern US during the early part of next week.

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*****Significant snowstorm for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor...low pressure to intensify off Mid-Atlantic coastline...likely timetable of Sunday AM to Monday AM*****

Paul Dorian

A significant snowstorm for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor…

Low pressure will intensify rapidly later Sunday over the western Atlantic Ocean, and it is very likely to produce accumulating snow in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with significant amounts of 6-12+ inches on the table. The precipitation may begin as rain or a mix of rain and snow on Sunday morning/midday before changing to all snow by later in the day and the snow can come down heavily at times from late Sunday into Monday morning…potentially leading to big-time travel disruptions for the Monday morning commute. The storm will intensify rapidly as upper-level support takes on a “negative tilt” and enhances upward motion at surface levels in the Mid-Atlantic region. The possibility of a significant snow event in the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor will largely depend on the ultimate track of the storm with a “hugging” of the coast more favorable for highest accumulation amounts…this scenario is looking increasingly likely. Farther up the I-95 corridor, a significant snowstorm is also quite likely across southern and eastern New England including the Boston metro. On the heels of the storm, a very cold air mass will flood much of the eastern US during the early part of next week.

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6:15 AM | ***Periods of rain today and some of it can be heavy...maybe even some thunder...late weekend storm to bring accumulating snow to the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor***

Paul Dorian

It remains quite unsettled around here today with a frontal boundary zone in close proximity. There will be periods of rain into the mid-day hours, some of the rain can be heavy, and temperatures hold on the cool side with a low-level ocean flow of air. The weekend will begin with some clearing skies on Saturday and relatively mild conditions. By early Sunday, all eyes will begin to focus on the Carolina coastline where low pressure will begin to develop. This system will head to the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean and rapid intensification is likely to take place. Precipitation is likely to break out as rain on Sunday along much of the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor, but a changeover to snow should occur later in the day. Snow is likely to fall on Sunday night…possibly heavy at times…and it could last into Monday morning potentially causing problems for the morning commute. Some accumulations are very likely in the I-95 corridor and there is the potential for a significant snow event depending on the ultimate track of the storm. A very cold air mass for this time of year will flood the eastern states early next week in the wake of the storm system…stay tuned.

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6:15 AM | ***Periods of rain today and some of it can be heavy...late weekend storm to bring accumulating snow to the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor***

Paul Dorian

It remains quite unsettled around here today with a frontal boundary zone in close proximity. There will be periods of rain and some of the rain can be heavy, temperatures will be on the chilly side with a low-level ocean flow of air. The weekend will begin with some clearing skies on Saturday and relatively mild conditions. By early Sunday, all eyes will begin to focus on the Carolina coastline where low pressure will begin to develop. This system will head to the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean and rapid intensification is likely to take place. Precipitation is likely to break out as rain on Sunday along much of the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor, but a changeover to snow should occur later in the day. Snow is likely to fall on Sunday night…possibly heavy at times…and it could last into Monday morning potentially causing problems for the morning commute. Some accumulations are very likely in the I-95 corridor and there is the potential for a significant snow event depending on the ultimate track of the storm. A very cold air mass for this time of year will flood the eastern states early next week in the wake of the storm system…stay tuned.

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