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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | *Lingering showers possible today, maybe an isolated thunderstorm...significant rain from late Wednesday night into Thursday night and perhaps strong-to-severe thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

A warm frontal system generated rain in our area during the overnight hours and today there will be occasional showers today and perhaps even an isolated thunderstorm as a cold front approaches. Following the frontal passage, high pressure will build into the region for the mid-week, but then an intense low pressure system will produce significant rain here from late Wednesday night into Thursday night - and perhaps even some strong-to-severe thunderstorms for the Mid-Atlantic region.  The steadiest, heaviest rain from this next system is likely to be off to our northeast come early Friday, but it’ll turn quite windy and cool here with additional rain showers possible as deep upper-level low spins over the Northeast US.  Accumulating snow is likely to occur on the backside of this late week event in the Ohio Valley and Appalachian Mountains from NY to Tennessee

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12:20 PM | **Two more rain events in the Mid-Atlantic between tonight and Friday…rain and perhaps a strong thunderstorm tonight/Tuesday...heavy rain/severe thunderstorm threat Thursday into Friday**

Paul Dorian

Two strong upper-level waves of energy will bring rain events to the Mid-Atlantic region between tonight and Friday and each event can feature strong or severe thunderstorms.  The first wave arrives this evening and will produce rain in the overnight hours in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor and perhaps a strong thunderstorm or two.  On Tuesday, the steadiest and heaviest rain will be gone, but there can be an occasional shower and perhaps a strong thunderstorm or two in the I-95 corridor as it turns noticeably windy and warmer.  

The next event looks especially volatile and will feature a powerful low pressure system in the Northeast US and it'll impact the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from Thursday into Friday night. Rain is likely to be quite heavy on Thursday and Thursday night and there can be some severe thunderstorm activity in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region. On the backside of the storm, it’ll turn much cooler and very windy around here on Friday with additional rain showers likely. Accumulating snow is likely on Friday in the Ohio Valley and also in the higher elevation locations of western NY, western PA, western MD, West Virginia, and the Smoky Mountains of the Tennessee Valley. One final note, grounds are now pretty well saturated after the recent heavy rain event and this will raise concerns for localized flooding during each of the this week’s rain events.

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7:00 AM | *Two rain events this week as active pattern continues...a strong thunderstorm possible with the initial event and severe thunderstorms are possible with the second event*

Paul Dorian

After a pretty tranquil weekend, there will be two rain events this week as the nationwide active weather pattern continues. The first rain event will take place tonight and Tuesday as the next wave of low pressure arrives from the "wave train" that has been crossing the country from west-to-east in recent days. This initial event will likely be a moderate rain event with a possible strong thunderstorm in some spots. The total rainfall by later tomorrow should be anywhere from a quarter inch to three quarters of an inch and keep in the mind, the ground is now saturated. The second rain event this week will feature a powerful low pressure system and arrives here on Thursday.  It could result in heavy rainfall around here and possibly even some severe thunderstorm activity in much of the Mid-Atlantic. It'll turn windy and noticeably cooler on Friday on the backside of that storm with possible lingering rain showers around here and accumulating snow in the mountains of western NY, western PA, western MD and West Virginia. One final note, as far as early planting is concerned, it appears there will be occasional cold shots in the Mid-Atlantic region going right into at least the middle part of the month.

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7:00 AM | **Heavy rain event today into tonight...active pattern brings more significant rain next week**

Paul Dorian

Talk about going out like a lion! March will end with a heavy rain event in the Mid-Atlantic region and the result could be more than three inches of rain in some spots by early tomorrow morning.  The rain will fall heavily at times today into tonight and there can even be a strong thunderstorm or two in the mix.  Any lingering rain early tomorrow will give way to mainly cloudy skies and then Sunday is likely to turn out to be a pretty decent day.  However, the next wave in a series of waves traversing the country from west-to-east in this active weather pattern will likely bring more significant rain to the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor later Monday into Tuesday.  Following that early week rain threat, there are signs for another big rain event here in the Mid-Atlantic region late next week – most likely in the later Thursday/Friday time period - and this one looks like it could be followed by an impressive surge of cold air for the eastern US.

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12:40 PM | **Active weather pattern to bring heavy rain to the Mid-Atlantic, significant snow to interior upstate NY/New England/Colorado Rockies, and severe weather to the Midwest, southern US**

Paul Dorian

The next week to ten days will feature numerous strong upper-level waves of energy traveling from the eastern Pacific Ocean all way across to the northeastern US on a fairly regular basis averaging every few days or so. Today's tranquil weather in the Mid-Atlantic region will soon give way to a major rain event for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor that could result in more than two inches of rain by early Saturday in some spots. This active weather pattern will not only bring soaking rain to the Mid-Atlantic as we close out this current work week, but there will be another chance for significant rain early next week and then yet another chance late next week. In addition to the heavy rain in the Mid-Atlantic, this active pattern will bring substantial springtime snowfall to interior upstate New York and New England as well as across the Colorado Rockies in the western US. Severe weather will also be a major consequence of this energetic weather pattern with numerous threats coming to the Midwest, south-central, and southeastern US.

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7:00 AM | *Soaking rain event to end the work week...others are coming next week (late Monday/early Tuesday, late Thursday)*

Paul Dorian

An active weather will bring multiple low pressure systems across the country over the next week to ten days and each one of these systems can generate significant rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region. The next wave of low pressure in this train of systems arrives here by early tomorrow and this end-of-week event is likely to be quite a soaker with up to two inches possible in much of the I-95 corridor from DC-to-Philly-to-NYC.  Another low pressure system is already taking shape over the Pacific Ocean and this one could bring more rain to the region by late Monday/early Tuesday of next week.  Beyond that, yet another system could produce significant rainfall around here on Thursday or so of next week.  In addition to the rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region, this active weather pattern is likely to produce significant snowfall in the Rocky Mountains and interior New England as well as severe weather in much of the central and southern US. In fact, up to a foot of snow is possible in both of these sections of the country by the weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Active weather pattern brings another significant rain event here on Friday*

Paul Dorian

Yesterday’s rain and thunderstorm activity in the Mid-Atlantic region is just the opening round in what is looking like a very active weather pattern for much of the nation in the foreseeable future. The next ten days or so will feature wave-after-wave traveling across the country in a general west-to-east fashion and each one can produce snow over the Rockies and New England, severe weather in the central and southern states, and significant rain in the Mid-Atlantic region.  In fact, its been somewhat dry in recent weeks in much of the south-central and eastern US and these are the regions that are most likely to get pounded with significant rainfall in this unfolding active weather pattern.  The next event is already taking shape and likely to arrive here on Friday.  The late week event is likely to become a significant rain producer for the Mid-Atlantic region with up to two inches possible in parts of the I-95 corridor from Friday into Saturday.  Beyond that, it appears the next wave in a series of waves will arrive here around next Tuesday of next week and this too has the potential of resulting in some soaking rainfall for the Mid-Atlantic region, and then yet another one could follow by the end of next week.

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11:20 AM | *Active weather pattern to bring significant rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic region, snow and severe weather to other parts of the country*

Paul Dorian

Today's soaking rain and thunderstorm activity in the Mid-Atlantic region appears to be just the opening round in what is looking like a very active weather pattern for much of the nation in the foreseeable future. The next ten days or so will feature wave-after-wave traveling across the country in a general west-to-east fashion and each one can produce snow over the Rockies and in New England, severe weather in the central and southern states, and significant rain in the Mid-Atlantic region. In fact, its been somewhat dry in recent weeks in much of the south-central and eastern US and those are the regions that are most likely to get pounded with significant rainfall in this unfolding active weather pattern.

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7:00 AM | *Occasional rain today and a couple of strong thunderstorms...active pattern to bring us possible significant rain at the end of the week*

Paul Dorian

Yesterday, a warm front produced showers in the region and today low pressure will combine with a cold front to generate additional showers and perhaps a couple of strong thunderstorms, some of the rain will fall heavily for a brief time.  Canadian high pressure will build into the area late tonight and on Wednesday and we’ll cool down some for much of the second half of the week.  Another low pressure area will approach by the end of the week and more rain is likely on Friday and this could turn into a significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | Warmer this afternoon and Tuesday with occasional showers and possible PM thunderstorms

Paul Dorian

Unsettled weather will be the rule for the first couple of days of the new work week.  A warm front will advance through the area today and then a cold front will approach on Tuesday and both systems will generate showers in the area with a strong thunderstorm also possible each afternoon.  Canadian high pressure will return at mid-week and we’ll turn cooler and then more unsettled weather returns by the end of the week. 

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