Tropical Storm “Fred” came ashore last evening in the western part of Florida and has since weakened into a tropical depression. This system will, however, continue to produce significant rainfall as it pushes northward along the Appalachian Mountains during the next 24-48 hours. The biggest impact in the Mid-Atlantic region will come later tomorrow into Thursday when significant rain can fall in some spots; especially, on the western side of Route I-95. In addition to the threat of some significant rain, there is the chance that thunderstorms at mid-week reach strong-to-severe levels with isolated tornadoes on the table in the Mid-Atlantic region. By later Thursday, the remnants of "Fred" will have passed by to the north, but the weather will remain somewhat unsettled going into the weekend. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Tropical Storm "Grace" is likely headed west towards the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico and Tropical Storm "Henri" will meander over the Atlantic Ocean in coming days not too far from the island of Bermuda.
Read More
Tropical Storm “Fred” is strengthening as it closes in on the Panhandle region of Florida and it could even reach hurricane status before making landfall this evening. “Fred” will weaken quickly after landfall in terms of its wind field; however, its tropical moisture field will push northward over the few days resulting in significant rainfall from the Gulf coast to Tennessee Valley to the Mid-Atlantic. “Grace” has weakened (temporarily) to tropical depression status and is likely to take a track much farther to the south of “Fred” as it becomes increasingly influenced by building high pressure over the western Atlantic. A third system over the Atlantic will tend to meander not too far from Bermuda and it could very well become Tropical Storm “Henri” in the near-term.
Read More
The week ahead looks to be very unsettled with multiple chances for showers and thunderstorms and some of the rain will be heavy at times. In fact, the rain chances this week will be enhanced by the addition of tropical moisture that will feed in from the southern states and localized flash flooding could become a widespread concern in the Mid-Atlantic regio. It will also be much cooler this week compared to last with high temperatures confined to the 80's and generally below-normal for the middle of August. The Atlantic Basin tropical scene remains quite active with "Fred" and "Grace" on the playing field. "Fred" has regained status as a tropical storm and should reach the western part of Florida's Panhandle by late tonight and then its moisture field will push northward into the Tennessee Valley and then the Mid-Atlantic region by mid-week. Meanwhile, "Grace" will take a more southerly path compared to "Fred" and likely end up in the southern/western part of the Gulf of Mexico.
Read More
The Mid-Atlantic region remains quite hot and humid today and there is a chance for scattered strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity from later in the day through early tonight. Today will be the last day of the oppressive heat and humidity in the Mid-Atlantic as a cool frontal system will usher in more comfortable air for the weekend; especially, by the time Sunday rolls around when afternoon temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 80’s and humidity will be much more bearable.
Meanwhile, the Atlantic Basin remains quite active with two systems to monitor. The first system that was at one time classified as Tropical Storm “Fred” is now a “depression”, but it is likely to regain storm status again in the near future. This system will push towards the Florida Keys by early tomorrow then likely to a position over the warm waters of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. After that, “Fred” will head towards the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle and it could intensify further before making a landfall sometime late Monday. A second system that is now over the central Atlantic is very likely to become Tropical Storm “Grace” and it is likely to take a more southerly track to its predecessor “Fred” and possibly end up in the southern/western Gulf of Mexico.
Read More
Today will be another hot one in the Mid-Atlantic region with afternoon temperatures likely well up in the 90’s and there will be a continuing chance of showers and thunderstorms during the PM hours. A cold front should pass through the region on Saturday perhaps associated with additional showers and storms; especially, along and to the east of Route I-95. More comfortable air will push into the region for the end of the weekend and for the first half of next week.
Read More
The next couple of days will continue to be quite hot in the Mid-Atlantic region with afternoon high temperatures well up in the 90’s. The chance for late day and evening showers and thunderstorms will continue given the high moisture content and generally unstable atmospheric conditions; however, much of the time will be rain-free. A cold front should arrive on Saturday and provide some relief in temperatures and humidity with more comfortable conditions by Sunday. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm “Fred” has weakened to a depression after an encounter with the high terrain of Hispaniola, but it is likely to strengthen again and head towards the southern part of Florida by the early weekend. After that, this tropical system is likely to move out over the warm waters of the eastern Gulf of Mexico and it could actually push northward next week right through the eastern states – potentially resulting is some rain for the Mid-Atlantic region. One final note, the Perseid meteor shower peaks tonight so take a look outside should skies cooperate.
Read More
The Atlantic Basin tropical scene has become quite active with one named storm (“Fred”) just south of the Dominican Republic on the eastern side of the Caribbean island of Hispaniola and a second system intensifying in the eastern Atlantic. Tropical Storm “Fred” is likely headed to the Florida Keys by the early part of the weekend and then to the eastern part of the Gulf of Mexico where sea surface temperatures are generally warmer-than-normal. TS “Fred” could then reach the Panhandle region of western Florida by early next week and the remains may then push northward through the eastern states later in the week. Meanwhile, the second Atlantic tropical system could end up taking a similar track as “Fred” – perhaps impacting the same northern part of the Caribbean.
Read More
The next few days will be quite hot in the Mid-Atlantic region with afternoon temperatures likely reaching at least the middle 90’s in the DC metro region. The chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will continue given the high moisture content and generally unstable atmospheric conditions; however, much of the time will be rain-free. A cold front should arrive on Saturday and provide some relief in temperatures as we head through the upcoming weekend. Elsewhere, a tropical system near the Caribbean island of Hispaniola has intensified enough to be classified as a named storm ("Fred"). It is likely to impact southern Florida by the early part of the weekend and then spill out over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Longer term, it is quite possible that the remains of this tropical storm push northward through the eastern states to potentially result in some rainfall around here sometime later next week.
Read More
An extended stretch of hot and humid weather is setting up for the Mid-Atlantic region for the period from today through Friday. High temperatures will climb to 90 degrees this afternoon and perhaps reach the middle 90’s on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday and there will be a daily shot at afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. A cold front should arrive at week’s end and provide some relief as we head into the upcoming weekend. Elsewhere, the tropical Atlantic has become active once again and a system now over the eastern Caribbean Sea is very likely to become a named storm ("Fred"). It could have an impact on southern Florida by the early part of the weekend and then spill out over the eastern Gulf of Mexico…stay tuned.
Read More
After “Elsa” came ashore in northwestern Florida on July 7th, the tropical Atlantic experienced an extended quiet stretch of weather….that quiet stretch is now over. There are two tropical systems currently located in the central Atlantic and it is the frontrunner that is of increasing concern. This system is nearing the Caribbean Sea and it has a good chance of becoming a named (“Fred”) storm in coming days and could ultimately have an impact on southern Florida and then spill out over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
Read More
