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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:15 AM | *California-to-Texas heat to intensify and expand eastward next week to Southeast US...revisiting the brutally hot summer of 1980...hard-pressed to match that one*

Paul Dorian

Highs temperatures on Friday are likely to reach 100 degrees in Dallas, Texas and this could begin an impressive string of days at or above the century mark in that particular location. High pressure ridging has been quite strong recently in the region from California-to-Texas and it will intensify over the next few days and then build eastward next week all the way to the Southeast US coastline. It is not unprecedented to see this kind of June heat in Texas or other parts of the southern states and Dallas will have a tough time matching the sustained and extreme heat of the summer of 1980.

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7:00 AM | *A break in the action through tomorrow...showers return here this weekend and it turns cooler*

Paul Dorian

High pressure builds into the region later today with an influx of drier air and gusty winds and then a comfortably cool night will be followed by a nice day on Friday. Another low pressure system will develop in the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday and there will be a noticeably cooler air mass pushing into the area. Showers are likely to go along with the unusually cool conditions and temperatures will no better than the low-to-mid 70’s for afternoon highs. It’ll stay unsettled on Sunday given the chilly air aloft with the continuation of below-normal temperatures and a threat for showers.

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11:40 AM | ***Heavy rain and a strong-to-severe thunderstorm threat in the Mid-Atlantic region from early tonight into early Thursday***

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern continues across the nation with multiple upper-level disturbances moving along in a west-to-east fashion and this is resulting in numerous rain threats for the Mid-Atlantic region. One such upper-level disturbance will help set off the formation of a low pressure system today over the Upper Midwest and this system will intensify later tonight over the Mid-Atlantic region enhancing the chance here for some heavy rainfall, flash-flooding, and potentially strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity.

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7:00 AM | **Shower and thunderstorm threat from later today into early Thursday...some of the overnight rain can be heavy at times**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will form later today along a stalled-out frontal boundary zone near the east coast enhancing the chances here for showers and thunderstorms from later tonight into early Thursday. Some of the overnight rain can be heavy at times and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe. High pressure builds into the region later tomorrow and the work week will close out on a positive note with plenty of sunshine on Friday and comfortably warm conditions. Low pressure will form near the east coast on Saturday and the first half of the weekend could turn out to be unusually cool for this time of year and wet with occasional showers likely in the Mid-Atlantic region. It’ll stay unsettled on Sunday given the chilly air aloft with the continuation of below-normal temperatures and the threat of showers.

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7:00 AM | **Active weather pattern continues into the weekend with multiple chances of rain**

Paul Dorian

A cool front will approach the region later today and it is a system that will be slowing down as it reaches the eastern seaboard. As a result, low pressure is likely to form later tomorrow along the stalling-out frontal boundary zone near the east coast. Showers are possible later today and tonight associated with the arrival of the frontal system and then more rain is likely later tomorrow and tomorrow night linked with the low pressure. Some of the rain later tomorrow and tomorrow night can be heavy at times. High pressure builds into the region for the latter part of the work week, but the early part of the weekend could feature another low pressure system in the Mid-Atlantic region. As a result, Saturday could actually turn out to be a rather cool and rainy day for this time of year with some improvement possible on Sunday, but still cooler-than-normal temperatures.

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7:00 AM | *No sustained heat this week and a couple chances for significant rainfall*

Paul Dorian

June is now well underway and the good news in the weather department is that it looks like we can get through this first full week of the month without hitting the 90 degree mark. The bad news is that there will be at least a couple of chances for some significant rainfall. A cool front will approach the region on Tuesday and its slow movement will allow low pressure to develop at mid-week along its boundary zone. Consequently, the threat of rain will increase later tomorrow and continue into Wednesday night and some of it can be heavy at times. High pressure builds into the region for the latter part of the work week, but the early part of the weekend could feature another low pressure system in the Mid-Atlantic region. As a result, Saturday could be wet and cool for this time of year and some of that rainfall can be heavy at times.

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7:00 AM | *A nice first weekend of June...comfortably warm temperatures and low humidity levels with plenty of sunshine*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the region last night and its passage will pave the way for a nice weekend throughout the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure builds into the eastern states today and will control the weather through the weekend which will feature comfortable temperatures and humidity levels along with plenty of sunshine. Another cold front approaches the area from later Tuesday into Wednesday of next week bringing with it our next chance of showers.

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12:45 PM | ***An update on the season’s first tropical threat…an update on the heavy rain/severe thunderstorm threat in the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

The tropical season in the Atlantic Basin officially got underway on June 1st and there is a growing threat for Florida from a system now located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. An area of showers and thunderstorms has better organized over the last 24 hours or so over the northwest Caribbean as atmospheric conditions are becoming more and more favorable for intensification. This system is likely to become the first named storm of the 2022 season (would be “Alex”) and is increasingly likely to bring heavy rainfall to western Cuba, central and southern Florida including the Keys, and to the Bahama Island chain.

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7:00 AM | **Unsettled conditions through tonight with the threat of showers and thunderstorms...some of the rain can be heavy and some of the storms can be strong**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will form along an incoming frontal system boundary zone today and it will enhance the chances of more rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region. In addition, the atmosphere will become quite unstable and this is likely to lead to some strong-to-potentially severe thunderstorm activity from later today into early tonight. High pressure will take back control of the weather around here on Friday and the weekend is shaping up to be quite nice across the entire Mid-Atlantic region.

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11:15 AM | *Unsettled weather for the Mid-Atlantic region from later today through tomorrow night to include the chance of some heavy rain and strong thunderstorms…an early tropical threat*

Paul Dorian

The passage of a back door cool front has brought relief today to the New York City metro region, New Jersey and it’ll turn out to be a bit better in the Philly area as well as easterly low-level winds have developed during the past few hours. Unfortunately, there will be no relief today in the DC metro region with highs likely to again be in the 90’s. This weak frontal boundary zone and another front will cause unsettled weather in the Mid-Atlantic from later today through tomorrow night that will include the chance for heavy rain and strong thunderstorms. High pressure will take back control at the end of the week and the weekend is shaping up to be quite nice across the region.

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