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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

12:45 PM | ****Nationwide cold pattern follows weekend exit of tropical storm…snow threat for the interior, higher elevation Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US…signs of longer-term cold pattern****

Paul Dorian

At the same time Tropical Storm Nicole was pounding Florida on Friday with rain and wind, a blizzard was raging in the Northern Plains where two feet of snow piled up in such places as Bismarck, North Dakota. That late week cold air mass situated in the Northern Plains subsequently made its way into the northeastern US following the departure of Nicole to the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. The exit of Nicole helped to bring about a change to the overall upper air wind pattern across North America. In fact, not only has the eastern US chilled down during the past 24 hours, virtually the entire nation is now featuring colder-than-normal temperatures and will likely do so right through the weekend. By the end of the week, many low temperature records will have been broken; especially, across the center part of the nation and every state in the Lower 48 can experience below-freezing temperatures.

In terms of snow potential, a coastal low will intensify by tomorrow night just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline resulting in a cold, soaking rain in the immediate I-95 corridor and to coastal sections, but the first accumulating snowfall of the season is likely in many of the interior, higher elevation locations across the northeastern states. The chill may ease up for awhile later next week, but there are signs for a resumption of the cold pattern going into late November and December.

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7:00 AM | **A chilly pattern all week and a coastal low to impact us with soaking rain later tomorrow/tomorrow night**

Paul Dorian

At the same time Tropical Storm Nicole was pounding Florida on Friday with rain and wind, a blizzard was raging in the Northern Plains where two feet of snow piled up in such places as Bismarck, North Dakota. That cold air mass in the Northern Plains subsequently made its way into the northeastern US following the departure of Nicole to the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean which set off a change to the overall upper air wind pattern across North America. High pressure builds into the region today, but then a coastal low will bring rain here by late tomorrow/tomorrow night and it could turn out to be a soaking rain event. It’ll be cold enough for snow across eastern West Virginia and far western Virginia with accumulations possible in those higher elevation locations. Cold high pressure will then edge into the region for the second half of the week and temperatures will hold at well below-normal levels.

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7:00 AM | ***A significant rain and wind event through late tonight as the remains of Nicole ride up along the Appalachians...a colder pattern to follow***

Paul Dorian

A significant wind and rain event is in store for the region from today through late tonight as the remains of Tropical Storm Nicole ride up along the spine of the Appalachian Mountains. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are likely with isolated higher amounts possible by the end of the storm and winds can gust up to 50 mph or so as the storm center tracks just to our west late tonight. After the exit of Nicole early this weekend, a big-time change to the overall temperature pattern will take place across the eastern states. Temperatures will drop noticeably on Saturday night and after a cold, sunny day on Sunday, they are likely to bottom out near freezing by early Monday morning.

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10:00 AM | ***Significant rain and wind event from Florida-to-Maine next 24-48 hours as tropical moisture rides up through eastern states…cold pattern to follow across much of the nation***

Paul Dorian

Nicole climbed to category 1 hurricane status late yesterday and came ashore in the overnight hours near Vero Beach in east-central Florida. After landfall, Nicole has weakened slightly back to tropical storm status and will become increasingly influenced by a deep upper-level trough over the north-central states that is contributing to blizzard-like conditions in the Upper Midwest/Northern Plains. The remains of Nicole will ride up along the spine of the Appalachian Mountains over the next 24-48 hours resulting in a significant rain and wind event all the way from Florida-to-Maine. On the east side of the expected storm track, severe weather will be a possibility including the threat of isolated tornadoes. The passage of the tropical storm will be part of an overall significant temperature pattern change in the central and eastern US that will bring much colder weather conditions for the remainder of November.

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7:00 AM | ***A significant rain and wind event from tomorrow into tomorrow night as remnants of TS Nicole ride up along the Appalachian Mountains***

Paul Dorian

A significant wind and rain event is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region from tomorrow into tomorrow night as the remains of Tropical Storm Nicole ride up along the spine of the Appalachian Mountains after making landfall overnight near Vero Beach in east-central Florida. Rainfall amounts around here from the tropical storm can end up in the 1-2 inch range by early Saturday with isolated higher amounts possible and winds can gust up to 50 mph as the storm tracks just to our west. Strong thunderstorms are also possible along the I-95 corridor and to the coast with the threat there for isolated tornadoes. After the exit of Nicole early this weekend, a big-time change to the overall temperature pattern will take place across the eastern states. Temperatures will drop noticeably on Saturday night and after a cold, sunny day on Sunday, they are likely to bottom out below freezing by early Monday morning.

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7:00 AM | ***A significant rain and wind event on Friday/Friday night as tropical storm rides up the Appalachians...a change to a much colder pattern follows the storm***

Paul Dorian

Nicole remains a tropical storm early Wednesday, but it has a good chance of attaining hurricane status later today as it heads for a landfall early Thursday in east-central Florida. The tropical moisture associated with Nicole will then push northeastward through the eastern states resulting in a heavy rain event all the way from Florida-to-Maine with 1-3 inches possible in the Mid-Atlantic region. Winds will become quite gusty on Friday and especially during Friday night and strong-to-severe thunderstorms are also possible given the likely storm track of Nicole that puts the coastal plain in an unstable atmosphere. After the exit of Nicole early this weekend, a big-time change to the overall temperature pattern will take place across the eastern states. Temperatures will drop noticeably on Saturday night and low temperatures by late Sunday night/early Monday morning should be below freezing in most spots.

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12:00 PM | ***TS Nicole headed towards east-central Florida…can reach hurricane status…major rain event from Florida-to-Maine…severe weather threat in coastal plain…cold pattern begins this weekend***

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm Nicole is headed towards east-central Florida for a likely landfall early Thursday morning. Some intensification is likely during the next 24-36 hours before landfall which could result in Nicole reaching category 1 or even 2 hurricane status before making landfall. After landfall, Nicole will be increasingly influenced by a deep upper-level trough over the central states and it’ll turn to the north and northeast resulting in a major rain event all along the east coast from Florida-to-Maine. In addition to the rain, severe weather will be a threat in the coastal plain from the Carolinas to the Northeast US which will be on the right side of the storm track…prime location for tornadic activity. The passage of the tropical system will be part of an overall significant temperature pattern change in the eastern US that will bring much colder weather conditions beginning this weekend and likely lasting through the remainder of November.

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7:00 AM | ***Major rain event Friday/Friday night as tropical moisture rides up the coast...big-time change to cold pattern begins this weekend in wake of storm***

Paul Dorian

Yesterday was very likely the warmest day that we’ll experience around here until next spring as a cold frontal passage has ushered in a noticeably cooler air mass for the next couple of days and a big-time pattern change to cold begins later this weekend. Before we get to the transition to a cold pattern, a major rain event is in the cards for the eastern seaboard from Florida to Maine as tropical moisture associated with Tropical Storm Nicole rides up along the coast. The rain is likely to begin here during the day on Friday and then intensify on Friday night before winding down early Saturday. By later Sunday night into early Monday, a widespread hard freeze will be possible with temperatures likely dropping to well below freezing levels.

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9:00 AM | ***Tropical Storm Nicole to reach Florida later in the week…possibly reaches hurricane status…moisture to ride up along east coast…part of transition to much colder pattern***

Paul Dorian

The tropical scene is still active and kicking in the Atlantic Basin and an area of disturbed weather in recent days has organized into Tropical Storm Nicole over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. This system is likely to reach Florida later this week and there is a chance that it reaches category 1 hurricane status before making landfall. The moisture associated with Nicole is likely to then ride up along the eastern seaboard at week’s end. The passage of the tropical system will be part of an overall significant temperature pattern change across the nation that will bring much colder weather conditions to the central and eastern US.

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7:00 AM | **Tropical moisture may ride up along the east coast by week's end**

Paul Dorian

The week will start off on the warm side, but a cold front swings through later in the day and it’ll usher in cooler air for later tonight and Tuesday. High pressure takes control for the mid-week and then attention will turn down the coast at week’s end. A tropical system could ride up along the eastern seaboard from Friday into Saturday and this could result in a heavy rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region. Following the passage of the tropical system, the weekend is likely to see a flip in the overall temperature pattern to one that is noticeably colder for the eastern states.

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