The remnants of Tropical Storm “Fred” have moved into upstate New York and attention will shift to Tropical Storm "Henri" which continues to churn slowly out over the western Atlantic Ocean. "Henri" is on the doorstep of attaining hurricane status with current maximum sustained winds at 70 mph. The unfolding upper air pattern may allow for movement of Henri towards New England later this weekend and all residents along the Northeast US coastline should monitor this system in coming days. Around here, the chance for daily showers and thunderstorms will continue right through the weekend and temperatures will climb early next week with highs likely well up in the 90's by mid-week.
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Tropical Storm Fred came ashore late yesterday in western Florida and the remains are now pushing north-northeastward across the northwestern part of Georgia. Despite its recent weakening, this system continues to produce some significant rainfall and strong thunderstorm activity in the Southeast US and Tennessee Valley and it will likely do so tomorrow and tomorrow night in the Mid-Atlantic region. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Grace is moving westward through the Caribbean Sea and is likely to reach the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico by Thursday – probably as a hurricane. Finally, Tropical Storm Henri has formed over the Atlantic and is currently meandering not too far from the island of Bermuda. This system is quite worrisome in that it may come awfully close to the US east coast before hopefully turning away…needs to be very closely monitored.
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Tropical Storm “Fred” came ashore last evening in the western part of Florida and has since weakened into a tropical depression now situated right near the Georgia/Alabama border. The biggest impact from the remnants of "Fred" will be to our north and east today as it pushes northeastward through the upper part of Georgia and into eastern Tennessee. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Tropical Storm "Grace" is likely headed west towards the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico and Tropical Storm "Henri" will meander over the Atlantic Ocean in coming days not too far from the island of Bermuda.
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Tropical Storm “Fred” is strengthening as it closes in on the Panhandle region of Florida and it could even reach hurricane status before making landfall this evening. “Fred” will weaken quickly after landfall in terms of its wind field; however, its tropical moisture field will push northward over the few days resulting in significant rainfall from the Gulf coast to Tennessee Valley to the Mid-Atlantic. “Grace” has weakened (temporarily) to tropical depression status and is likely to take a track much farther to the south of “Fred” as it becomes increasingly influenced by building high pressure over the western Atlantic. A third system over the Atlantic will tend to meander not too far from Bermuda and it could very well become Tropical Storm “Henri” in the near-term.
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The week ahead looks to be very unsettled around here with multiple chances for showers and thunderstorms and some of the rain will be heavy at times. This week will be cooler than last week with highs generally confined to the 80's across the Tennessee Valley. Meanwhile, Atlantic Basin tropical scene remains quite active with Tropical Storm "Fred" and Tropical Depression "Grace" on the playing field. TS "Fred" should reach far western Florida by later tonight and then its moisture field will push northward right into the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday resulting in an enhanced chance for significant rainfall around here. Tropical Depression "Grace" will take a more southerly track compared to "Fred" likely ending up out over the southern/western Gulf of Mexico.
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The Atlantic Basin remains quite active with two systems to monitor. The first system that was at one time classified as Tropical Storm “Fred” is now a “depression”, but it is likely to regain storm status again in the near future. This system will push towards the Florida Keys by early tomorrow then likely to a position over the warm waters of the far eastern Gulf of Mexico. After that, “Fred” will head towards the western part of Florida’s Panhandle and it could intensify further before making a landfall sometime late Sunday or on Monday. A second system that is now over the central Atlantic is very likely to become Tropical Storm “Grace” and it is likely to take a pretty similar track to its predecessor “Fred”.
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The Mid-Atlantic region remains quite hot and humid today and there is a chance for scattered strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity from later in the day through early tonight. Today will be the last day of the oppressive heat and humidity in the Mid-Atlantic as a cool frontal system will usher in more comfortable air for the weekend; especially, by the time Sunday rolls around when afternoon temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 80’s and humidity will be much more bearable.
Meanwhile, the Atlantic Basin remains quite active with two systems to monitor. The first system that was at one time classified as Tropical Storm “Fred” is now a “depression”, but it is likely to regain storm status again in the near future. This system will push towards the Florida Keys by early tomorrow then likely to a position over the warm waters of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. After that, “Fred” will head towards the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle and it could intensify further before making a landfall sometime late Monday. A second system that is now over the central Atlantic is very likely to become Tropical Storm “Grace” and it is likely to take a more southerly track to its predecessor “Fred” and possibly end up in the southern/western Gulf of Mexico.
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Tropical Storm “Fred” has weakened to a depression after an encounter with the high terrain of Hispaniola, but it is likely to strengthen again and head towards the southern part of Florida by the early weekend. After that, this tropical system is likely to move out over the warm waters of the eastern Gulf of Mexico and it could actually push northward next week right through the eastern states. One final note, the Perseid meteor shower peaks tonight so take a look outside should skies be cooperative.
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The Atlantic Basin tropical scene has become quite active with one named storm (“Fred”) just south of the Dominican Republic on the eastern side of the Caribbean island of Hispaniola and a second system intensifying in the eastern Atlantic. Tropical Storm “Fred” is likely headed to the Florida Keys by the early part of the weekend and then to the eastern part of the Gulf of Mexico where sea surface temperatures are generally warmer-than-normal. TS “Fred” could then reach the Panhandle region of western Florida by early next week and the remains may then push northward through the eastern states later in the week. Meanwhile, the second Atlantic tropical system could end up taking a similar track as “Fred” – perhaps impacting the same northern part of the Caribbean.
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A tropical system near the Caribbean island of Hispaniola has intensified enough to be classified as a named storm ("Fred"). It is likely to impact southern Florida by the early part of the weekend and then spill out over the eastern Gulf of Mexico before perhaps reaching the panhandle region of western Florida on its way to the north. Longer term, it is quite possible that the remains of this tropical storm push northward through the eastern states and right along the spine of the Appalachian Mountains bringing rain with it later next week.
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