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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | *Turns noticeably milder on Wednesday ahead of next cold front*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will be in control today and Wednesday and it’ll turn milder tomorrow ahead of the next cold frontal system. That front will generate some rain shower activity tomorrow afternoon and night which can mix with or change to snow after midnight. It turns noticeably colder on Thursday with a residual snow shower possible and then we’ll have to see if a storm system develops in the eastern states in the late week time period that can have an impact on the Tennessee Valley.

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1:30 PM | ****Winter will not loosen its grip anytime soon in the eastern US…very cold and active pattern next couple of weeks to include a weekend storm threat****

Paul Dorian

Winter will not loosen its grip anytime soon in the eastern US as it appears a very cold weather pattern will continue through at least the remainder of the month. In addition, the overall pattern looks to be quite active as well with multiple storm threats possible and perhaps one by the early part of the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | **It remains quite chilly here today in the wake of the storm**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure that has impacted the region during the past 24 hours or so will push northward today into New York State and New England, but it’ll remain mainly cloudy around here today and still quite cold in its wake. Skies will clear later tomorrow and this will allow for the return of sunshine and milder conditions. It’ll turn even milder at mid-week ahead of the next strong cold front which could generate shower activity in the Tennessee Valley on Wednesday. In its wake, a colder air mass will return for the latter part of the week.

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10:15 AM Sunday | ***Accumulating snow and ice on the way with an impactful storm…rain, high winds, coastal flooding as well…another storm threat next weekend***

Paul Dorian

Very cold, dry and dense Arctic air is well established this morning in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US at the same time low pressure and its associated moisture field are now pushing to the north from the southeastern states...not a good combination. A significant ice and snow event is now unfolding for the interior sections of Georgia and the Carolinas and snow will push into the Mid-Atlantic region later in the day and early tonight with front-end accumulations in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. With an influx of milder air from the ocean, a transition will take place in the I-95 corridor from snow to sleet to freezing rain and ultimately to plain rain in some areas. In addition to the wide range of precipitation types, this storm will bring high and potentially damaging winds and coastal flooding to the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. Looking ahead, another storm could very well threaten the same part of the country next weekend.

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12:00 PM Saturday | ***Powerful storm on the way for the eastern US with a wide-ranging impact to include snow, sleet, freezing rain, plain rain, coastal flooding, high (potentially damaging) winds***

Paul Dorian

An Arctic air mass poured into the northeastern quadrant of the nation in the overnight hours resulting in very cold and extremely dry conditions. At the same time, a vigorous disturbance in the upper atmosphere has pushed southeastward from the central Plains into the southern Plains. This system will edge into the Deep South by later tonight and surface low pressure will form in the northern Gulf region. On Sunday, the intensifying low pressure system will push northward through the eastern states with its expanding moisture field producing a wide range of impacts from snow-to-ice-to-rain. High (and potentially damaging) winds and coastal flooding will become an increasing concern with this storm on Sunday and impacts will last well into the day on Monday; especially, across the northeastern states.

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1:30 PM Fri. | ***Significant storm to impact eastern US from Sunday to Monday…snow, ice, rain, coastal flooding, damaging winds all on the table…front-end accumulating snow/ice for I-95 corridor***

Paul Dorian

Many ingredients are coming together for a high impact type of storm system in the eastern third of the nation from Sunday into Monday with accumulating snow, ice, heavy rain, coastal flooding, and even high (potentially damaging) winds all on the table. The upper-level wave of energy that will be the catalyst for storm development has come ashore and it will dive to the south and east over the next couple of days. Low pressure will develop by early Sunday morning in the southeastern states and this system will then make a move to the northeast and it’ll encounter an Arctic air mass that will be quite reluctant to give up its ground. As a result, a significant snow and ice event is likely to take place across interior sections of Georgia and the Carolinas on Sunday morning and mid-day. After that, precipitation will push into the Mid-Atlantic region with cold, dense air in place and a period of snow and/or ice is likely in most interior sections with plain rain a likelihood along coastal areas. The DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor is in line for accumulating snow on the front-end of this storm and this can be followed by a period of icing given the expectation that the dense, cold low-level air mass will be tough to dislodge.

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7:00 AM | ***Chance for some accumulating snow on Sunday from unfolding significant storm system for the eastern third of the nation***

Paul Dorian

A strong low pressure system will impact the eastern third of the nation later this weekend and that will include the Tennessee Valley where there be some accumulating snow on Sunday. The storm begins here as a period of rain on Saturday with and increase in winds and then it can change to snow on Sunday morning with some accumulations possible. The responsible low pressure system will push northward later Sunday towards the Mid-Atlantic region and precipitation will wind down in the local region.

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****Significant storm threat for the eastern US for Sunday/Monday…snow, ice, rain, coastal flooding, damaging winds are all on the table…front-end accumulating snow/ice for I-95****

Paul Dorian

Many ingredients are coming together for a high impact type of storm system in the eastern third of the nation from Sunday into Monday with accumulating snow, ice, heavy rain, coastal flooding, and even high (potentially damaging) winds all on the table. The upper-level wave of energy that will be the catalyst for storm development is just now coming ashore in the Pacific Northwest and it will dive to the south and east over the next few days. Low pressure will develop by early Sunday morning in the southeastern states and this system will then make a move to the northeast and it’ll encounter an Arctic air mass that will be quite reluctant to give up its ground. As a result, a significant snow and ice event is likely to take place across interior sections of Georgia and the Carolinas on Sunday morning and mid-day. After that, precipitation will push into the Mid-Atlantic region with cold, dense air in place and a period of snow and/or ice is likely in most interior sections with rain a likelihood along coastal areas. The DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor is in line for accumulating snow on the front-end of this storm and this can be followed by a period of icing given the expectation that the dense, cold low-level air mass will be tough to dislodge.

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11:30 AM | ****Significant winter storm threat for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US later Sunday into Monday****

Paul Dorian

The chances are growing for a significant winter storm to impact the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US from later Sunday into Monday. In fact, many ingredients appear to be coming together for a storm system that can have a high impact over a large area of the eastern third of the nation from later Sunday into Monday with snow, ice, rain, coastal flooding, and even high (damaging) winds on the table. There are many details that still have to be ironed out with several days to go before this potential event and the main upper-level wave of energy is way out over the Pacific Ocean. The I-95 corridor may be right on or near the dividing line between substantial snowfall to the north and west and a mix of rain, ice and snow to the south and east.

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1:50 PM | ***Numerous power outages in New England from nor’easter…tornadoes in Deep South…next storm for the Mid-Atlantic/NE US arrives Friday with more significant rain and wind***

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern continues today with a powerful nor’easter finally starting to pull away from the New England coastline and a vigorous upper-level low over Texas that has resulted in an outbreak of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in the Deep South. This same upper-level low will push to the east over the next 24 hours and contribute to a windy and rainy end to the week in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US.

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