A severe weather outbreak on Wednesday and Wednesday night is coming to the same part of the nation that was hit hard last week including the Deep South, Tennessee and Ohio Valleys. One of the highest weather risks in this region will be for damaging wind gusts aided by strong jet streaks in multiple levels of the atmosphere. In addition, tornadoes may become rather numerous with many ingredients coming together in the atmosphere for rotation to form in many locations. The severe weather threat will shift to the eastern states on Thursday - albeit not quite as high - as a strong cold front pushes towards the coast and damaging wind gusts will again be on the table. Looking ahead, cold air outbreaks will likely continue for the central and eastern US into at least the middle of April and this will likely result in additional severe weather outbreaks.
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A strong cold front will move across the Deep South at mid-week and the result here will be showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday night and some of the storms can reach severe levels. Winds will become a big factor on Wednesday gusting past 40 mph ahead of the front and damaging wind gusts are possible with any thunderstorm late tomorrow or tomorrow night. Multiple jet streaks will be nearby later tomorrow enhancing the chance for those potential damaging wind gusts. Cooler air will follow the passage of the front for the latter days of the work week.
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This is quite impressive cold today in the Mid-Atlantic region with many spots likely to have a real struggle to reach the freezing mark for highs – very late in the season for that to occur. The combination of early morning “spring-strength” sunshine and very cold conditions aloft has quickly destabilized the atmosphere and numerous snow showers and heavier snow squalls will affect the Mid-Atlantic region during the mid-day and afternoon hours. Any snow shower or heavier snow squall can put down a quick accumulation and create dangerous driving conditions. Winds remain strong as well today from a northwesterly direction producing wind chills even lower than the unusually cold actual air temperatures. Unfortunately, it looks like the cold air outbreaks can continue into the middle part of April.
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After a chilly weekend, conditions will improve today and temperatures should climb back into the 60’s for afternoon highs. The warm up will intensify on Tuesday with the middle 70’s back on the table and a strong front is likely to result in showers and thunderstorms at mid-week. Some of those mid-week thunderstorms can be on the strong-to-severe side in the Tennessee Valley.
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Temperatures over the next few days will stay below-normal with a chilly air mass remaining in place and there can be some late night patchy frost over the weekend. Much milder conditions will return to the Tennessee Valley early next week with highs climbing back to the 70 degree mark on Monday and perhaps to near 80 degrees on Tuesday and Wednesday.
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Temperatures over the next several days will reach near 60 degrees for afternoon highs and drop into the 40’s for overnight lows in the northern part of Alabama. The next good chance for 70+ degrees will be early next week and the overall pattern for the next several days will be dry with little to no chance of rain.
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The active weather pattern of the past couple of days will quiet down later today after early morning showers move out of the area. Skies will become partly sunny in a few hours and partly cloudy tonight and it’ll turn colder in the overnight hours. Decent weather pattern sets up for the late week and weekend with high temperatures generally within a few degrees of 60.
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Today will be an active weather day in the Deep South with a high probability of severe weather across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. Deepening low pressure will move northeast on Tuesday from Texas toward Iowa bringing us the good chance for PM showers and perhaps some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity. A key to the chances for severe weather in this region will be the movement of a warm front during the day….the farther to the north the warm air pushes, the farther to the north will be the chance for severe thunderstorm activity. Some of the rain later today and early tonight will be heavy at times as a cold front pushes towards the region.
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Spring season has begun and with it comes the threat of severe weather across much of the southern US during the next few days. Many ingredients are coming together for a severe weather event later today and tonight that will be focused on the central and eastern parts of Texas and this threat zone will shift slightly to the east on Tuesday encompassing the region from Louisiana-to-Mississippi-to-Alabama. A primary culprit in this unfolding scenario is an expansive upper-level trough whose base is now centered over the Southwest US and will shift only slightly to the east on Tuesday. In addition, there is a clash of air masses setting up in this part of the nation with cold, dry air sweeping eastward from the southwestern states into a very warm and humid air mass out ahead of it over the eastern half of Texas.
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There will be an increasing southeasterly flow of air today across the region with late day cloud cover after plenty of sunshine earlier in the day. Deepening low pressure will move northeast on Tuesday from Texas toward Iowa bringing us the chance for showers and perhaps some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity. Some of the rain later tomorrow can be on the heavy side as a cold front pushes towards the region and we’ll have to watch out for the possibility of severe weather going into tomorrow night.
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