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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information
Filtering by Category: HSV
A cool front will pass through the region later in the day and pave the way for a stretch of decent weather across northern Alabama. In fact, temperatures should peak in the mid-to-upper 80’s for the most part during the next several days – not bad for early September.
Read MoreTropical Storm Lee is on the door step of “category 1” hurricane classification and all indications are that it will continue to intensify and reach “major” hurricane status by the weekend. In fact, the expected significant intensification of Lee could result in the storm climbing all the way to “category 5” classification sometime this weekend or early next week. The overall environment becomes very favorable for the strengthening of Lee with a relaxation of wind shear and a west-to-northwest trek over very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic. By early next week, the west-to-northwest path of Lee could change to a northerly direction which would reduce the chances of a direct impact on the US east coast. However, two systems that will likely dictate the ultimate storm track of Lee are many days away from even forming. They include an upper-level trough that may form over the Ohio valley/eastern US and upper-level ridge that may intensify over southeastern Canada/NW Atlantic. It is simply too early to say how this upper air pattern will unfold; therefore, too early to say if Lee can indeed directly impact the US east coast.
Read MoreA cold front across the Great Lakes will drop to the south and east later today and bring us the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. This system will tend to stall out in the general vicinity for a couple of days and that’ll keep it unsettled around here through Thursday evening with a continuing risk of showers and thunderstorms. By the end of the week, the front will likely pass through the area paving the way for some decent weather on Friday and this weekend.
Read MoreA tropical wave that pushed off of Africa’s west coast several days ago has officially become tropical depression #13 in the Atlantic Ocean. This system is likely to reach named tropical storm status within 24 hours or so (will be named Lee) and very well could intensify to “major” hurricane status by the upcoming weekend. The overall environment will become increasingly conducive for intensification of the soon-to-be named tropical system in coming days as it continues on a long track across the Atlantic Ocean. Wind shear will relax as an upper-level ridge builds nearby and it’ll move over very warm waters to the east of the Lesser Antilles. Looking ahead, it appears this system may push to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles - avoiding the Caribbean Sea - and then head on a course towards the US east coast as a “major” hurricane. Whether or not this developing tropical storm ever reaches the US east coast is simply too early to call.
Read MoreStrong high pressure continues to dominate the scene in the eastern part of the nation and it stays very warm around here with highs at 90+ degrees into mid-week. While today is likely to be rain-free, there will be the threat of showers and thunderstorms on both Wednesday and Thursday.
Read MoreThere is a threat for a shower or thunderstorm today, but the weekend and the first half of next week look rain-free and increasingly warm in the Tennessee Valley. Temperatures today should peak in the low-to-mid 80’s and then climb to the 90 degree mark from Sunday through Wednesday of next week.
Read MoreDrier air pushed into the region on Wednesday thanks in part to the remnants of Hurricane Idalia moving well to the east of here and it’ll stay comfortable today as well. In fact, while a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out on Friday, the stretch of weather from today into early next week looks generally rain-free and comfortably warm for the beginning of September.
Read MoreHurricane Idalia makes landfall this morning as a “major” along Florida’s Gulf coast and will push to the northeast over the next 24-36 hours likely reaching the Carolina coastline by early Thursday. High pressure to our northwest will build into the Northeast US in this same 24-36 hour time period halting any northward advance of Idalia past the state of North Carolina. This same high pressure system will combine with the tropical cyclone to our east to push drier air into the Tennessee Valley featuring comfortable temperatures as we wind down the month of August.
Read MoreHurricane Idalia continues to intensify today as it encounters more favorable environmental conditions with diminished wind shear and it is likely to attain “major” classification of category 3 or higher before making landfall early tomorrow along Florida’s Gulf coast. Hurricane Idalia will then turn northeast, weaken slowly, and push towards the Carolina coastline as it becomes increasingly influenced by building high pressure ridging aloft to its west and north. As a result of the developing widespread upper-level ridge, Idalia will likely meander over the western Atlantic Ocean for several days and there is even an outside chance that it could loop back around to revisit Florida in a weakened state about a week from now. Meanwhile, Hurricane Franklin maintains status as a category 4 “major” system. It will pass to the northwest of Bermuda on Wednesday bringing tropical storm conditions to the island. After that, Hurricane Franklin will push northeastward to the open waters of the North Atlantic as southwesterly flow ahead of an incoming upper-level trough steers it in that direction.
Read MoreHurricane Idalia will likely strengthen over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later today and it could reach “major” hurricane status before landfall along Florida’s Gulf coast early Wednesday. After that, Idalia will push towards the GA/SC coastal region and then ultimately to a position just off the Carolina coastline. This tropical cyclone will actually help to dry out our atmosphere on Wednesday after another volatile day today that likely features additional showers and storms across the region.
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