Hurricane Lee remains as a “major” category 3 system and has begun its turn to the north as it becomes increasingly influenced by an upper-level trough over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley. This turn to the north will come with gradually increasing forward speed and will bring Hurricane Lee to the west of Bermuda on Thursday where there will be tropical storm conditions. As an upper-level ridge intensifies over the NW Atlantic late in the week, Hurricane Lee may actually take a turn slightly to the left which will bring it close to southeastern New England. Hurricane Lee is then likely to become “post-tropical” as it potentially reaches coastal Maine/New Brunswick later in the weekend. Despite movement over colder waters before its landfall and a likely slight weakening in central pressure, the pressure gradient will remain intense between this powerful storm system and intensifying high pressure to the north. As a result, a significant impact is possible this weekend from eastern New England to Atlantic Canada (New Brunswick, Nova Scotia) with torrential rains and hurricane-force winds on the table.
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A cool front passed through the region late Tuesday and comfortable weather will follow for the next few days. Temperatures will climb no higher than about 80 degrees for afternoon highs and overnight lows are likely to range from the upper 50’s to lower 60’s. The next chance for a shower or thunderstorm likely comes on Friday and the weekend can be somewhat unsettled.
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The climatological peak of the Atlantic Basin tropical season is right around this time of year and it is certainly living up to its billing. Lee remains a category 3 “major’ hurricane today and continues to move slowly on a west-northwest track over very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. It will soon take a turn to the north as it becomes increasingly influenced by an upper-level trough that will build over the eastern states. Lee will likely have a significant impact on eastern New England this weekend with heavy rains and strong winds as it pushes towards Maine or Nova Scotia as a tropical storm or a “post-tropical” system. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Margot has reached hurricane status; however, its future looks rather harmless as it likely weakens on its northward trek to a position over the Northern Atlantic. Another tropical system is located over the eastern Atlantic and it should intensify in coming days as it pushes over some very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic.
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The climatological peak of the Atlantic Basin tropical season is right around this time of year and it is certainly living up to its billing. Lee is a category 3 “major’ hurricane today and continues to move slowly on a west-northwest track over very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. It will take a turn to the north later in the week as it becomes increasingly influenced by an upper-level trough that will build over the central and eastern states. Lee will likely have a significant impact on eastern New England this weekend with heavy rains and strong winds as it pushes towards Maine or Nova Scotia as a tropical storm or “post-tropical” system.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Tropical Storm Margot may indeed reach hurricane status in the near-term; however, its future looks rather harmless as it likely stays over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. Another tropical system has just pushed off the west coast of Africa and is now located over the far eastern Atlantic. It is likely that this system intensifies in coming days and may ultimately present a threat to the US east coast sometime later this month.
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The week starts off quite warm with today’s high temperatures well up in the 80’s, but a frontal passage by mid-week ushers in quite comfortable conditions for the second half of the week. That frontal passage will renew the chance of showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday and Tuesday night, but the second half of the week should be rain-free and quite pleasant for September.
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A cool front pass through the region on Thursday and has paved the way for a stretch of decent weather across northern Alabama. In fact, high temperatures are likely to be confined to the middle 80’s in general during the next several days which is not bad at all for the early part of September.
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Lee is intensifying rapidly and is likely to become a “major” hurricane later in the day as a category 3 or even higher. The overall environment is very favorable for the strengthening of Lee with the relaxation of wind shear as it moves underneath an upper-level ridge and its WNW trek continues over very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Hurricane Lee has been on a consistent path to the WNW and that should bring it to a position north of the northern Leeward Islands this weekend.
By early next week, the west-to-northwest path of Lee should change to a northerly direction which would reduce the chances of a direct impact on the US east coast. However, any small deviation in the timing or magnitude of this potential “turn” can have significant implications downstream. Two systems that will likely play a big role in the ultimate track of Lee are many days away from even forming. They include an upper-level trough that may develop over the Ohio Valley/eastern US later next week and an upper-level ridge that may intensify over southeastern Canada/NW Atlantic.
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A cool front will pass through the region later in the day and pave the way for a stretch of decent weather across northern Alabama. In fact, temperatures should peak in the mid-to-upper 80’s for the most part during the next several days – not bad for early September.
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Tropical Storm Lee is on the door step of “category 1” hurricane classification and all indications are that it will continue to intensify and reach “major” hurricane status by the weekend. In fact, the expected significant intensification of Lee could result in the storm climbing all the way to “category 5” classification sometime this weekend or early next week. The overall environment becomes very favorable for the strengthening of Lee with a relaxation of wind shear and a west-to-northwest trek over very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic. By early next week, the west-to-northwest path of Lee could change to a northerly direction which would reduce the chances of a direct impact on the US east coast. However, two systems that will likely dictate the ultimate storm track of Lee are many days away from even forming. They include an upper-level trough that may form over the Ohio valley/eastern US and upper-level ridge that may intensify over southeastern Canada/NW Atlantic. It is simply too early to say how this upper air pattern will unfold; therefore, too early to say if Lee can indeed directly impact the US east coast.
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A cold front across the Great Lakes will drop to the south and east later today and bring us the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. This system will tend to stall out in the general vicinity for a couple of days and that’ll keep it unsettled around here through Thursday evening with a continuing risk of showers and thunderstorms. By the end of the week, the front will likely pass through the area paving the way for some decent weather on Friday and this weekend.
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