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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | **Windy and colder today on the back side of a developing storm system over the northeastern states**

Paul Dorian

As a potent upper-level trough pushes into the Mid-Atlantic region later today, winds around here will stiffen out of the west-northwest and this will bring much cooler conditions to the region. After high temperatures on Wednesday close to 60 degrees, we’ll likely be confined to 50 degrees later today along with the strong winds gusting up to 30 mph or so.

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1:15 PM | ***Powerhouse storm to slam Pacific NW...significant storm coming to Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast US...multiple cold shots on the way central/eastern US***

Paul Dorian

The weather map is quite busy currently across North America with intense high pressure ridges combined with deep troughs of low pressure and on top of that we have some tropical moisture on the playing field as well. A deep trough over the northeastern Pacific Ocean will help to spawn a rapidly intensifying storm system that will slam into the Pacific Northwest from later today through tomorrow with hurricane-force winds, tremendous rainfall in low-lying areas, and substantial snowfall in the inland, higher elevation locations that will be on the order of several feet in some spots. This storm system will become a slow-mover and there will be lingering effects from northern California to Oregon and Washington all the way through the second half of the week.

Another upper-level trough will slide south and east during the next couple of days from the north-central states and deepen markedly as it reaches the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US by later Thursday. An initial low pressure system will head to the Great Lakes while a secondary forms near the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline. This unfolding storm system will also become a slow-mover during the latter part of the week and will bring with it beneficial rains, accumulating snows across inland, higher elevation locations, and a prolonged period of strong NW winds.

Looking ahead, there are signs for multiple cold air outbreaks to make their way from northern Canada into the central and eastern US as we push through the remainder of November and into the early part of December...quite a winter look to the overall pattern that should include threats of snow as well.

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11:30 AM | **An active and unusual weather pattern across North America...”bomb cyclone” to slam into Pacific Northwest...significant late week storm to impact Great Lakes/Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US**

Paul Dorian

Quite an active and somewhat unusual weather pattern is developing across North America and one that will feature multiple intense upper-level ridges of high pressure and deep troughs of low pressure. One result of this overall pattern will be a powerful storm system that will slam into the Pacific Northwest from later tomorrow into Wednesday. This storm will feature explosive intensification with as much as a 70 millibar drop in 24 hours of its central pressure yielding the strength of a “category 4” hurricane and easily classifying it as a “bomb cyclone”. Another significant storm system will develop in this active weather pattern during the late week bringing with it rain, accumulating snows, and a sustained period of strong winds across the Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | *An unsettled next couple of days with occasional showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

The next couple of days will be unsettled across the region as a cold front swings through the Tennessee Valley bringing with it the chance for occasional showers and thunderstorms. Some of the rain on Tuesday can be on the heavy side as the front pushes through the region and there can be some gusty winds as well. The second half of the week will be quieter and colder following the passage of the cold frontal system.

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11:00 AM | ***An update on the tropical system over the Caribbean Sea (and there is some good news for the Gulf coast)...an early preview of winter coming to the central/eastern US***

Paul Dorian

It is not all that unusual for the “last hurrah” of an Atlantic Basin tropical season to be followed by an influx of winter-like cold into the central and eastern US and, in some cases, it is a “pattern-changing” type of event. One such example of this kind of scenario unfolded with Hurricane Sandy at the end of October during 2012 which was then followed by a colder-than-normal month of November in almost all areas east of the Mississippi River. (In fact, cold air not only followed Hurricane Sandy, but actually wrapped into it with as much as 3 feet of snow piling up in portions of West Virginia during that event). It appears that this tropical season may finally wind down after the ultimate demise of the latest system now over the Caribbean Sea and cold air intrusions into the central and eastern may become much more commonplace beginning late next week. The tropical system is likely to intensify into a named tropical storm (“Sara”) in the near-term, but an extended time period over land will likely reduce its potential impact on the US Gulf coast.

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1:00 PM | **An update on the newest tropical system...very impressive upcoming cold shots for the central/eastern states**

Paul Dorian

It is not all that unusual for the “last hurrah” of an Atlantic Basin tropical season to be followed by an influx of winter-like cold into the central and eastern US and, in some cases, it is a “pattern-changing” type of event. One such example of this kind of scenario unfolded with Hurricane Sandy at the end of October during 2012 which was then followed by a colder-than-normal November in most areas east of the Mississippi. (In fact, cold air actually wrapped into Hurricane Sandy with as much as 3 feet of snow in West Virginia during that event). It appears a tropical system now forming over the Caribbean Sea may cross the Yucatan Peninsula by early next week and it then can take a turn to the northeast. Hopefully, this tropical system will weaken during its encounter with the Yucatan Peninsula and before a possible northeast turn towards the state of Florida. At the same time, cold air will be charging southeastward from Canada into the central states and other very impressive-looking cold shots are destined to work their way into the central and eastern states later in the month.

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7:00 AM | *The next frontal system brings us a chance of showers and thunderstorms from later tomorrow into Thursday*

Paul Dorian

Mainly sunny skies today following the passage of a frontal system on Monday and afternoon temperatures will be quite comfortable near the 70-degree mark. Another frontal system will arrive at mid-week bringing with it a chance of showers and thunderstorms from later tomorrow into Thursday. Nice weather returns for the late week and weekend with high pressure returning to the region.

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