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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

6:15 AM | *****Severe weather threat comes in two time frames...late tonight into mid-morning on Saturday...mid-day Saturday into Saturday evening*****

Paul Dorian

A powerful low pressure system will form in the central Plains on Friday and take a northeastward track towards the western Great Lakes region. There will be strong support in the upper-atmosphere for this system and a second strong upper-level low will slide eastward across the southern states on Saturday morning and then turn northeast to the Tennessee Valley. This southern system will combine with multiple jet streaks to help destabilize the atmosphere here from late tonight through tomorrow evening.  As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely here from late tonight into Saturday night and some of the thunderstorms can reach severe levels with damaging wind gusts and strong tornadoes on the table. The greatest chance for severe weather may be in two different time frames…one being late tonight between 1 and 7am and the second from mid-day Saturday to late evening Saturday...stay tuned to all local warnings.

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****An intense storm system and a multi-day severe weather threat from the central US to the east coast****

Paul Dorian

Numerous ingredients are coming together for what is likely to be a multi-day severe weather event from the central US to the east coast during the period from later Friday to Sunday night. These ingredients include not just one, but two strong upper-level lows, powerful jet streaks at multiple levels of the atmosphere, an influx of warm, humid air on the storm’s front side, and a surface low pressure system that will deepen to rarely ever seen barometric pressure levels as it moves from the central Plains to the western Great Lakes. All severe weather parameters are on the table during this multi-day event including swaths of intense and damaging winds, strong tornadoes, hail, and torrential rainfall that can result in flash flooding.

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7:00 AM | ***Severe weather threat here from late Friday night through Saturday night***

Paul Dorian

A powerful low pressure system will form in the central Plains on Friday and take a northeastward track towards the western Great Lakes region. There will be strong support in the upper-atmosphere for this system and a second strong upper-level low will slide eastward across the southern states on Saturday morning and then turn northeast to the Tennessee Valley. This southern system will combine with multiple jet streaks to help destabilize the atmosphere from late Friday night through Saturday evening.  As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely here from late Friday night into Saturday night and some of the thunderstorms can reach severe levels with damaging wind gusts and strong tornadoes on the table.

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7:00 AM | ****Severe weather threat here from alte Friday night through Saturday night****

Paul Dorian

A powerful low pressure system will form in the central Plains on Friday and take a northeastward track towards the western Great Lakes region. There will be strong support in the upper-atmosphere for this system and a second strong upper-level low will begin to slide eastward across the southern states. This southern system will combine with multiple jet streaks to help destabilize the atmosphere around here from late Friday night through Saturday.  As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely here late Friday night and through the day on Saturday and some of the thunderstorms can reach severe levels with damaging winds and tornadoes on the table.

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****An intense spring storm system and a multi-day severe weather threat from the central states to the eastern seaboard****

Paul Dorian

The combination of an intense upper-level low, powerful jet streaks at multiple levels of the atmosphere, strong southerly low-level flow of warm, moist air, and a deepening surface low pressure system will likely lead to a severe weather outbreak from later Friday into Friday night. Indeed, this threat of severe weather may continue right through the upcoming weekend as it shifts slowly to the east reaching the Atlantic seaboard by the latter part of the weekend. The deepening surface low pressure system may reach central pressures not often seen in this part of the nation which will result in a very strong pressure gradient potentially leading to widespread damaging winds. In addition, this unfolding atmospheric setup can lead to some strong tornado activity from later Friday into Saturday across portions of the central and eastern US.

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7:00 AM | *The 60's today to start off the week and 70+ degrees for the next couple of days*

Paul Dorian

Upper-level high pressure ridging will dominate the scene across the eastern US this week and it’ll lead to a relatively warm week across the northern part of Alabama. Temperatures today will reach the lower 60’s and can peak near 70 degrees on Tuesday and Wednesday. The threat of showers will return later in the day and temperatures will remain above-normal for this time of year.

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12:20 PM | ***Severe weather today focused on Lower Mississippi Valley/central Gulf coast...threat shifts to the east coast on Wednesday***

Paul Dorian

Ingredients are in place for a severe weather outbreak today and tonight with its focus on the Lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf coast. There is a high risk of damaging wind gusts in this scenario and tornadoes are certainly on the table with the possibility of a few strong ones. This threat shifts to the east coast on Wednesday where damaging wind gusts, heavy downpours, and even isolated tornadoes will be a possibility from the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast US.

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