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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

11:30 AM | ***Surge of record-warmth on Saturday in eastern US to be accompanied by showers/strong storms...wind gusts past 50 mph...severe weather today Mississippi Valley including tornado threat***

Paul Dorian

The weather has been rather chilly in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US during the past few days, but a major league warm-up is coming on Saturday. In fact, the surge of warmth tomorrow will quite likely result in record highs in many spots including perhaps the DC, Philly and NYC metro regions. Another factor on Saturday will be the winds which will intensify substantially ahead of an incoming strong cold front perhaps gusting up to 55 mph or so. Showers are likely to accompany this frontal system on Saturday in the eastern states and there can even be some strong thunderstorm activity. It’ll turn considerably colder on Sunday following the frontal passage, but then warmer conditions will return next week. For today, the warm air will explode northward through the Mississippi Valley and a severe weather outbreak is on the table which includes the threat of tornadoes.

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7:00 AM | ***Possible record-breaking warmth on Saturday and becoming very windy...noticeably colder on Sunday***

Paul Dorian

A warm up begins today in the Mid-Atlantic region, but it really intensifies on Saturday as winds will increase substantially as we begin the weekend from a southwesterly direction. In fact, winds on Saturday can gust past 50 mph and temperatures should soar well up into the 60’s around here which would threaten the December 11th record at Central Park of 64 degrees set way back in 1879. Late day and evening showers are likely to accompany the approach of the incoming strong cold front and there can even be a strong thunderstorm as well in some spots. Following the passage of the strong cold front, it’ll turn noticeably colder on Sunday with afternoon highs likely confined to the 40’s. Looking ahead, much of next week will turn out to be warmer-than-normal across the eastern two-thirds of the nation as strong high pressure ridging develops over the Great Lakes.

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7:00 AM | *Cold and dry today...a surge of record warmth possible here on Saturday*

Paul Dorian

Today will be a cold and dry day in the Mid-Atlantic region with plenty of cloud cover, but a big time warm up is coming by the weekend ahead of the next strong cold front. The surge of warmth expected on Saturday is likely to come with strong southwesterly winds and record high temperatures in much of the eastern US including perhaps the DC, Philly and NYC metro regions. Temperatures could actually soar into the mid 60’s around here which threaten the record of 64 degrees set way back in 1879. It’ll turn noticeably colder on Sunday following the passage of a strong cold front. However, the bulk of next week looks to be quite warm across the eastern two-thirds of the nation as strong high pressure ridging develops over the Great Lakes.

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10:30 AM | ***A surge of record-breaking warmth on Saturday in the eastern states with powerful and potentially damaging winds***

Paul Dorian

While the weather today is pretty cold in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US with a touch of snow in some spots, a big warm up is coming by the weekend and the bulk of next week looks to be on the warm side of normal as we head towards the middle part of December. In fact, the surge of warmth expected this Saturday is likely to come with record high temperatures in much of the eastern US including along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. Temperatures could actually soar towards the 70 degree mark in DC and Philly and climb into the middle 60’s in NYC – all well above-normal for this time of year and all would threaten record highs. This surge of record-breaking warmth will come ahead of the next strong cold front which can produce severe thunderstorms on Friday in the Mississippi Valley and even some strong thunderstorm activity later Saturday in the eastern states.

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7:00 AM | *Weak low pressure pushes well off the coast later today to our south and east...much milder again by the weekend*

Paul Dorian

Weak low pressure will push to a position off the Mid-Atlantic coastline by later today and it could produce a touch of snow in some spots at times, but its overall impact will be very limited. This system features little support in the upper atmosphere, a limited amount of moisture, and any intensification of the surface low is going to wait until it is well off the east coast. It remains cold on Thursday, but will turn much milder again by the beginning of the weekend. In fact, a surge of warmth on Saturday could bring record high temperatures to the metro region with temperatures soaring towards 70 degrees…turns colder again on Sunday.

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7:00 AM | *Cold and dry today with much less wind than on Monday...a touch of snow possible on Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front passed through the region in the overnight hours with scattered showers and some very gusty winds. After a cold, dry and much less windy day on Tuesday, weak low pressure will push to a position off the Mid-Atlantic coastline by early tomorrow morning. This system has little support aloft, limited moisture, and should only be able to produce a touch of snow in portions of the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday. It remains cold on Thursday, but will turn much milder again by the beginning of the weekend.

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11:00 AM | *Strong cold front arrives late today with powerful winds…some snow possible at mid-week in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US...another active front this weekend*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will arrive in the eastern states late today and its passage will set the stage for some snow at mid-week in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. It’ll turn very windy and much milder today just ahead of the front along with a few rain showers. Temperatures will drop sharply in the overnight hours behind the front as the strong winds shift to a northwesterly direction. After a cold, dry and much less windy day on Tuesday, low pressure will push to a position off the Mid-Atlantic coastline by early Wednesday morning. The fresh cold air mass that arrives shortly following the passage of the front will maintain its ground at mid-week allowing for primarily snow in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US and minor accumulations are on the table.

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7:00 AM | *Strong cold front arrives later today with gusty winds...some snow likely at mid-week*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will arrive in the eastern states later today and it’ll turn very windy and much milder ahead of it and then sharply colder behind it during the overnight hours. The winds can gust past 40 mph later in the day from a southwesterly direction and then again later tonight following the frontal passage from a northwesterly direction. After a cold and dry day on Tuesday, low pressure will push from the south-central states to a position off the Mid-Atlantic coastline on Wednesday bringing the chance of some snow which can be mixed with rain and/or sleet at times. Some snow accumulations are possible in the region with this mid-week system likely in the range of a coating to a couple of inches.

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12:50 PM | **An active pattern coming…strong cold front arrives on Monday with powerful winds...some snow at mid-week in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

The weather pattern for next week looks quite active with a strong cold front arriving in the eastern states on Monday and then a low pressure system to follow at mid-week. The cold air mass that arrives early next week in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US will be reluctant to give up its ground as soon as mid-week and this could set the stage for some accumulating snow and ice in portions of the Mid-Atlantic/NE US.

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7:00 AM | *Active weather next week...strong cold front arrives early...rain/snow/ice threat at mid-week*

Paul Dorian

The warm up that took place on Thursday is going to be rather short-lived as a cold front passed through the region in the overnight hours. A bit chillier air will move in for today and it’ll stick around through the upcoming weekend. The weather pattern for next week looks quite active with a strong cold front arriving in the eastern states on Monday and then low pressure may follow at mid-week. The cold air mass in the northeastern states that arrives early next week will be reluctant to give up its ground at mid-week and this could result in some snow and/or ice in portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US.

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